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Widyastutik
2Department Of Economics, Faculty Of Economics And Management, IPB University, Jl. Agatis, Dramaga, Bogor, 16680, Indonesia
Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Humanities Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Earth & Planetary Sciences Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Environmental Science Materials Science & Nanotechnology Medicine & Pharmacology Nursing Public Health Social Sciences Other

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Journal : Economic Journal of Emerging Markets

 1 
The impact of oil price shocks on macroeconomic indicators: Evidence from four ASEAN countries Adawiya Taufani; Dedi Budiman Hakim; Widyastutik Widyastutik
Economic Journal of Emerging Markets Volume 14 Issue 2, 2022
Publisher : Universitas Islam Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20885/ejem.vol14.iss2.art10

Abstract

Purpose ― This study examines the impact of oil price shocks on macroeconomic indicators, namely real GDP, real exchange rates, inflation, real interest rates, the balance of payments, and unemployment rates in four ASEAN countries, namely Brunei Darussalam, Malaysia, Indonesia, and Thailand. Methods ― This research uses a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). The oil price variable in this study was divided into two, namely, the increase and decrease in oil prices based on the Mork transformation. Findings ― The analysis showed that the impact of price increases tended to encourage the economy of Brunei Darussalam and Malaysia. The shock of falling oil prices tended to cause a decline in the economy of Brunei Darussalam and Malaysia. The shock of rising prices tended to hamper the economies of Indonesia and Thailand. The shock of falling oil prices did not always positively impact the economy of the importing country, especially for the balance of payments. Implication ― These results show that price shocks will produce different economic responses. Understanding a country's macroeconomic framework is important before implementing effective policies. Originality ― These results expand the literature on the impact of oil price shocks on macroeconomic indicators in developing countries and small open economies, while studies related to macroeconomics generally focus on growth and inflation. This study also distinguishes oil price shocks into rising and falling oil price shocks using the Mork transformation.
Co-Authors . Hariyono A. Anditta A. Faroby Falatehan Abdul Kharis Almasyhari Adawiya Taufani Ahmad Zaenal Ashiqin Ahmad, Fahmi Salam Al Qodri, Muhammad Iqbal Alexandi, Muhammad Findi Alfian Helmi Almasyhari, Abdul Kharis Almuttaqin Almuttaqin Alqodri, Muhammad Iqbal Amandra, Miko Novri Aminah, Mimin Amzul Rifin Anditta, A. Arief Daryanto Arien Rosetika Arif Satria Arno Nugroho Astari Ayuwangi Bayu Krisnamurthi Biantara, I Dewa Gede Bagus Birka Septy Meliany Br Sembiring Bugi Biruloma Lagaida Bustanul Arifin Deden Djaenudin Dedi Budiman Hakim Dedi Budiman Hakim Dewi Sukmawati Dewi, Farida Ratna Dian Verawati Panjaitan Diese Septia Gifarani Djamester Simarmata Dominicus Savio Priyarsono Eisha Maghfiruha Rachbini Eka I. K. Putri Eka Intan Kumala Putri Eka Puspitawati Endang Sari Simanullang Erliza Noor Eva Anggraini Fadhilah, Muhammad Arief Fahmi A Salam Fajrian, Muhammad Aja Fasya Miftah Akbar Feryanto Fikri Aldi Dwi Putro Fitria Yuliani Florika Malau Florika Malau Ghina Saarah Nibras Gumelar Adhimandala, Dwiki Cacala Guntur Riyanto Guntur Riyanto Hafid Raharjo Harahap, Hotsawadi Harianto Heny Daryanto Hermanto Siregar Heti Mulyati Hubbansyah, Aulia Keiko Ika Yulisyawati Inda Dwi Setiawati Indah Indra Putri, Dennis Iskandar Panjaitan Iskandar Panjaitan Iwan Hermawan Iwan Hermawan Kartika Rahma Sari Kuntoro, Eri Kurniawan Khristianto Kurniawan Khristianto Lagaida , Bugi Biruloma Lina Yanti Lisa Dwi Lestari Lukytawati Anggraeni Masbantar Sangadji Meidah Azhari Meliany, Birka Septy Miko Novri Amandra Muhammad Aja Fajrian Muhammad Fawaiq, Muhammad Muhammad Firdaus muhammad Firdaus Muhammad Firdaus Nadiah Hidayati Nia Kurniawati Hidayat Nia Kurniawati Hidayat, Nia Kurniawati Nia Puspita Sari, Nia Puspita Nimmi Zulbainarni Nisrina Rofifah Nugraheni, Sri Retno Wahyu Nunung Kusnadi Nunung Nuryartono Pini Wijayanti Prihartono, Rendy Putro, Fikri Aldi Dwi Raditya Anggoro Raharjo, Hafid Raiyatu Imadidin Ranti Wiliasih Reni Kristina Arianti Reni Kristina Arianti Reni Kristina Arianti Reny Andriyanty Rina Oktaviani Rina Oktaviani Rizal Rahman H. Teapon Rizky Savitri Sahara Salahuddin El Ayyubi Setyawati, Dewi Shabira, Citra Sri Amanda Fitriani Sri Hartoyo Sri Hartoyo Sri Mulatsih Sri Retno Wahyu Nugraheni Sri Retno Wahyu Nugraheni Suahasil Nazara Syamsiar, Syamsiar Syarifah Amaliah Syarifah Amaliah Syarifah Amaliah Toni Irawan Trian Maulana, Trian Ucik Indrawati Vadilaksono, Muhammad Ivan Yenni Nur 'Aini Yenni Nur’aini Youshy Fahreiza Yusman Syaukat Yusuf Yusuf Zahra, Zhena Nofhatiaz