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Budi Kurniawan
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Journal : Journal of Statistics and Data Science

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Goodness Test of Adaptability to Model of Technical Changes and Test of Forecasting Accuracy susiawati, susiawati; Kurniawan, Budi
Journal of Statistics and Data Science Vol. 2 No. 1 (2023)
Publisher : UNIB Press

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33369/jsds.v2i1.27257

Abstract

The technical coefficient input-output as an element of the technical coefficient matrix (A) is estimated to have good forecasts for the next several periods . By substituting the final demand (F) for the period into the Input Output (IO) model in the equation the total output for the period will be obtained from the forecasting results. The total output of forecasting results is then compared with the actual total output to see the magnitude of the deviation. In the regression equation, the coefficient of determination is a measure of “goodness of fit” which states how well the regression line explains the independent variable with the dependent variable. The test is carried out by regressing the technical coefficient of input-output in the year against the technical coefficient in the nth year in a simple linear regression equation . This test was conducted to see the validity of the technical coefficients in forecasting the IO model. This research is an empirical study that uses data from the Jambi Province Input Output Tables in 1998, 2007 and 2016, each of which has been collected in a common set to see the comparability between observation periods. The results show that the technical change model is quite well used for forecasting according to the assumption that the technical coefficient level is constant during the planning period. Meanwhile, the estimated output deviation tends to be higher than that of the actual data.
Co-Authors Achmad Hidir Adrian Muluk, Muhammad Adriana, Marlia Afriandi, Dian Agustin, Widya Agustina, Dian Sri Agustine Dwianika Ahmad, Rizqy A. R. Ahmady, Taufik Ain, Naougy Hurun Aktalina, Lucia Alghi Fari, Faishal Amelia, Febrina Risky Andriani, Nia Andrianto, Charles Arifin, Didik As'ad, M Astuty, Dewi Yuni Aulia Bacotang, Bacotang Balangga, Muffaridun Basri K, Ivo Basri K., Ivo Basri, K. Ivo Basuki Toto Rahmanto Benny, Vrencia Liviana Budiantoro, Tekad Chao, ShanHua Christian, Matthew Darmansyah Tjitradi Davtywa, Daffa Dede, Salfian Ismail Dedy Hermawan Defi Pujianto Dewi Apriyani, Dewi Dewi, Bela Purnama Dewi, Norminawati Dicky Yuswardi Wiratma Donant Alananto Iskandar, Donant Alananto Dwi Martha, Andre DWI SURYANTO E. Fernandes, Elisabeth Efadeswarni Eva Herianti Fajar Kurniawan Febianty, Evania Febriliyan Samopa Febryana, Shania Fernandes, Elisabeth E. Fernandes, Elisabeth Ernawaty Fernando, Kenny Florencia Irena Lawita Frisia Metta Kurnia, Frisia Metta Gunawan HANS-JOACHIM FREISLEBEN Hefni Effendi Hendrayudi, Hendrayudi Henny P. S. Wijaya Himawan Indrajat Hurip Pratomo Imawati, Sri Indah Masri Intan Permatasari Intan Safitri Intan Safitri, Intan Ismail Dede, Salfian Jenny Hidayat Joppy Mudeng Julia, Jeanny Jumili Arianto Kasse, Monica Marsalina Krishna Mochtar Kristiarini, Susiawati Kurniati Kemer Kusnandar ,, Kusnandar Kusuma Widiastuti, Ni Putu LETASADO, MUHAMAD RUSADI Lina Said Lukito, Alamsyah Machfiroh, Ines Saraswati Manlian Ronald A. Mantiri, Desy M. H Maria, Lisda Martina, Elti Marundha, Amor Meilani, Dian Mohamad Ali Hisyam, Mohamad Ali Muhajir Arafat, Muhajir Muhammad Romzi, Muhammad Muhammad, Romzi Mukhlis, Muhammad Na P. Bo Nabillah, Jihan Alya Nataline, Lianda Ni Putu Eka Widiastuti Nickson J. Kawung, Nickson J. Ninik Umi Hartanti Noorfauzi, Ahmad Ridhani NURIYAH Nuriyah, Nuriyah Nurjanah , Nurjannah Nurjannah Nursatwika, Marcella Abellia Nuryati, Tutty Ono Wiharna, Ono Palla, Karima Tunisa Pustika A. Wahidiyat Ramadhianti, Sandika Randy Kuswanto Retno Budhiati, Retno Robi Cahyadi Kurniawan Rompas, Rizald M. Rondang R. Soegianto Rusidi, Rusidi Salma, Afia Sambuaga, Elfina Astrella Sanjaya, Felicya Saprudin Saprudin, Saprudin Saputro, Haris Sartika, Ghina Satria Novari Sembiring, Rinawati Seruni K.U. Freisleben Setefanus Suprajitno Soehardjo Poertadji Sofiyyah , Sofa Sofiyyah, Sofa Sri Handayani Sri Mulatsih Sri Mulyani Sri Tita Faulina Suryanto Suryanto Susanto, Ahmad Susiawati, Susiawati Susilawati, Susilawati Suwanto, Yohanes Syahputra, Muhammad Budi Syaiful, Deni Tabah Maryanah Tatang Permana, Tatang Tjandring, Sahrul Tri Jaka Kartana Widiastuti, Ni Putu Kusuma Widiya Astuti Alam Sur Wijaya, Elisabet Natalia Wijaya, Filona Sagita Wiratama, Yolanda Rian Wiwi Idawati Yahya, Evelyn Yosephine Wignyo Zahirman, Zahirman Zhu, Shuiqing