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METODE BAYESIAN UNTUK DATA BINOMIAL DENGAN PENERAPANNYA PADA KASUS TIDAK RESPON Sri Subanti
STATISTIKA: Forum Teori dan Aplikasi Statistika Vol 3, No 1 (2003)
Publisher : Program Studi Statistika Unisba

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29313/jstat.v3i1.563

Abstract

Bayesian estimation methods for several binomial probabilities are studied by using a mixture of a product of betaprior distributions. Approximations to the posterior means and credible regions are derived. The result obtained are applied to asample survey problem in which there is significant nonresponse.
DESCRIPTION OF THE DIFFICULTY OF STUDENTS' MATHEMATICS PROBLEM SOLVING ASSESSED FROM ADVERSITY QUOTIENT (AQ) Amiratih Siti Aisyah; Riyadi Riyadi; Sri Subanti
AKSIOMA: Jurnal Program Studi Pendidikan Matematika Vol 10, No 2 (2021)
Publisher : UNIVERSITAS MUHAMMADIYAH METRO

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (977.126 KB) | DOI: 10.24127/ajpm.v10i2.3663

Abstract

This study aims to determine the difficulty of solving mathematic problems among students AQ climbers, AQ campers, and AQ quitters. This type of research was qualitative research with a descriptive approach. The subject of this study is the 3rd grade of  XI MIPA Batik High School 2 Surakarta in the academic year 2020/2021 which constitutes 6 students. The subject taking was done by giving an adversity quotient questionnaire. From the results of filling out the questionnaire, the subjects were categorized based on their AQ. Furthermore, given a mathematic problem-solving test. After seeing the test results, three subjects representing AQ climbers, AQ campers, and AQ quitters were selected purposively for further interviews. The results showed: 1) The climbers subject experienced two difficulties in solving mathematic problems, namely difficulties in understanding problems and difficulties in implementing plans. 2) The subject of the campers has three difficulties in solving mathematic problems, namely difficulties in understanding problems, difficulties in implementing plans, and difficulties in reviewing. 3) The quitters subject experiences four difficulties in solving mathematic problems, namely difficulties in understanding problems, difficulties in planning, difficulties in implementing plans and difficulties in reviewing, and difficulties in revisiting.
ESTIMASI JUMLAH KUNJUNGAN WISATAWAN OBYEK WISATA MUSEUM KERETA API AMBARAWA DENGAN MODEL REGRESI DOBEL LOG Sri Subanti
Proceeding Biology Education Conference: Biology, Science, Enviromental, and Learning Vol 9, No 1 (2012): Prosiding Seminar Nasional IX Biologi
Publisher : Universitas Sebelas Maret

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

ABSTRAK   Museum Kereta Api Ambarawa terletak di pusat Ambarawa, satu-satunya museum peninggalan berteknologi kuno di Indonesia yang digunakan sebagai alat transportasi bangsa Indonesia sebelum kemerdekaan sampai tahun 1964. Dalam museum ini terdapat 21 lokomotif uap yang berada di utara dan barat museum, 5 lokomotif uap yang berada di depo 3 diantaranya dapat beroperasi dengan baik, selain itu terdapat pula 3 mesin ketik, 3 mesin hitung, beberapa pesawat telpun dan peralatan kuno lainnya. Museum ini mempunyai nilai historis dari alat transportasi berupa ketel uap yang merupakan implikasi penemuan oleh James Watt. Di tempat ini juga menyediakan paket wisata dengan menumpang kereta api tenaga uap melalui rel yang bergerigi dan kereta lori dengan rute Ambarawa-Bedono Ambarawa-Tuntang. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis faktor-faktor yang berpengaruh terhadap jumlah kunjungan wisatawan dan mengestimasi modelnya. Teori yang digunakan dalam analisis adalah teori permintaan. Penelitian dilakukan di obyek wisata Museum Kereta Api Ambarawa Kabupaten Semarang dengan 78 responden. Estimasi penelitian diformulasikan dalam bentuk persamaan tunggal (single equation), dengan variabel dependen adalah permintaan pariwisata yang diproksi dengan jumlah kunjungan wisatawan, sedangkan variabel independennya adalah harga pariwisata yang diproksi dengan kemauan membayar (willingness to pay /WTP), harga pariwisata obyek wisata lain yang diproksi dengan WTP obyek wisata lain, pendapatan, biaya perjalanan, biaya perjalanan obyek wisata lain (di luar Kabupaten Semarang), jarak, pendidikan, umur, persepsi daya tarik obyek wisata,  asal wisatawan (wisnus dan wisman),  komunitas, jenis kelamin,   promosi pariwisata,   dan  kunjungan sebelumnya. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa variabel-variabel yang signifikan adalah variabel WTP, WTP_owl, dan  PENDP signifikan pada = 1%; dan BPERJ, PENDI, dan UM  signifikan pada = 5%.dan diperoleh nilai R2 sebesar 0,9774 yang berarti bahwa 97,74% dari variasi variabel jumlah kunjungan wisatawan mampu dijelaskan oleh variasi  (himpunan) variabel WTP, WTP_owl, pendapatan, biaya perjalanan, biaya perjalanan_owl, jarak, pendidikan, umur, persepsi, asal wisatawan, komunitas, jenis kelamin, promosi dan kunjungan sebelumnya. Sedangkan sisanya sebesar 2,26% dari variasi variabel jumlah kunjungan wisatawan dijelaskan oleh variasi faktor-faktor atau variabel-variabel lain di luar model. Dengan nilai R2 yang tinggi yaitu sebesar 97,74%  semakin baik kualitas model, karena semakin dapat menjelaskan hubungan antara variabel dependen dan independen.   Kata kunci:  permintaan, WTP, pendapatan, jumlah kunjungan wisatawan
The Effect of Inquiry Learning and Discovery Learning on Student Learning Achievement Viewed from Spatial Intelligence Abdul Aziz; Budiyono Budiyono; Sri Subanti
Southeast Asian Mathematics Education Journal Vol 7, No 2 (2017)
Publisher : SEAMEO Regional Centre for QITEP in Mathematics

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (419.397 KB) | DOI: 10.46517/seamej.v7i2.54

Abstract

The goal of this study is to determine the effects of inquiry learning and discovery learning upon learning achievement of junior high school students viewed from spatial intelligence. The learning models compared were inquiry learning, discovery learning, and classical model. This study used a quasi-experimental approach with a 3 x 3 factorial design. The population was all students Grade 8 of junior high school in Solo. The sample used a stratified cluster random sampling strategy which consisted of 260 students, divided into three groups, namely: 86 students in experimental group 1, 86 students in experimental group 2, and 88 students in control group. The instruments used included a mathematics achievement test and a spatial intelligence test. The data analysis used the two-way multivariate analysis of variance. The results of this study are as follows: (1) inquiry learning and discovery learning gave better learning achievement than the classical model, while inquiry learning and discovery learning resulted the same learning achievement, (2) students with high spatial intelligence had similar learning achievement with those with middle spatial intelligence, and (3) students with high and middle spatial intelligence had better learningachievement than students who had low spatial intelligence.
Regression of Discovery Learning Model and PBL Perspective Realistic Mathematics Education (RME) in Algebraic Materials Diana Tri Purnamasari; Riyadi Riyadi; Sri Subanti
Budapest International Research and Critics in Linguistics and Education (BirLE) Journal Vol 5, No 1 (2022): Budapest International Research and Critics in Linguistics and Education, Februa
Publisher : BIRCU

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33258/birle.v5i1.4371

Abstract

The benefit of this research is to overcome student learning problems in algebraic material. The low learning achievement of students with the average national exam is low below the minimum completeness of graduation, this is influenced by one factor, namely conventional learning models or methods that do not support mathematics learning. Based on this, an alternative learning model is needed that can provide an understanding of student achievement abilities. In this case the Model of Discovery Learning and PBL with the Realistic Mathematics Education (RME) perspective. This study aims to determine the Regression Model of Discovery Learning and PBL from the Realistic Mathematics Education (RME) Perspective on Algebraic Materials. This study was conducted in Surakarta Junior High School with the subject of class VIII students. This type of research is an experiment with a 3x3 factorial design with a random sampling technique, each of which is taught using the discovery model and PBL perspective Realistic Mathematics Education (RME). The data was collected using a test, while the data analysis technique used inferential analysis of two-way ANOVA through prerequisite, balance, hypothesis, and further tests. The conclusion is that the problem-based learning model is better than discovery learning and direct learning. Problem-based learning Students who have low, medium, and high initial abilities who are treated with the Problem Based Learning model with the Realistic Mathematics Education approach have better mathematics learning achievements than the Discovery Learning model and the direct learning model. Students who have moderate initial abilities who are treated with the Problem Based Learning model with a Realistic Mathematics Education approach have better mathematics learning achievements than the Discovery Learning model and direct learning model, while students who receive the Discovery Learning model treatment have the same mathematics learning achievement with a direct learning model on the material of a two-variable linear equation system.
Peramalan Data Inflow dan Outflow Uang Kartal Bank Indonesia Provinsi DKI Jakarta Menggunakan Model ARIMAX dan SARIMAX Atika Amalia; Etik Zukhronah; Sri Subanti
Indonesian Journal of Applied Statistics Vol 4, No 2 (2021)
Publisher : Universitas Sebelas Maret

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.13057/ijas.v4i2.45673

Abstract

Abstract. DKI Jakarta Province plays a crucial role as the center of government and economy in Indonesia. The description of currency inflows and outflows is highly required before Bank Indonesia formulates the appropriate policies to control the circulation of money. The monthly data of currency inflow and outflow of Bank Indonesia of DKI Jakarta show a significant increase in each year particularly before, during, and after Eid al-Fitr. The determination of Eid al-Fitr does not follow the Gregorian calendar but based on the Islamic calendar. The difference in the use of the Gregorian and Islamic calendars in a time series causes a calendar variation. Thus, the determination of Eid al-Fitr in the Gregorian calendar changes as it goes forward eleven days each year or one month every three years. This study aims to obtain the best model and forecast currency inflows and outflows of Bank Indonesia DKI Jakarta using the ARIMAX and SARIMAX models. The study used in-sample data from January 2009 to December 2018 and out-sample data from January to October 2019. The best model was selected based on the smallest out-sample MAPE value. The result showed that the best forecasting model of inflow was ARIMAX (1,0,1). Meanwhile, the best forecasting model for outflow was SARIMAX (2,0,1)(0,0,1)12.Keywords: ARIMAX, calendar variation, forecasting, SARIMAX
Pengeluaran Pariwisata dan Karakteristik Sosial Demografi Rumah Tangga di Provinsi Jawa Tengah Sri Subanti; Arif Rahman Hakim
Indonesian Journal of Applied Statistics Vol 1, No 1 (2018)
Publisher : Universitas Sebelas Maret

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.13057/ijas.v1i1.24120

Abstract

The study about tourism expenditure had been one of the important things in the formulation of tourism development, such as marketing analysis, strategies, and policies. Based on this condition, the purpose of our paper wants to know about the determinants of tourism expenditure at households level based on their demographic characteristics. The findings of this paper, (1) the important factors affecting household tourism expenditure are marital status, sex, household income per capita, education for heads of households, the length of study for household members in average, number of households, urban-rural, and industrial origin for head of household; (2) variables that are positively related to tourism expenditure are marital status, age, education, number of household, household income per capita, the length of study for household members in average, urban-rural, and home ownership. This paper suggest that the local governments should give an attention on households demographic characteristics to formulate the tourism marketing and the tourism policies.Keywords : tourism expenditure, demographic characteristics, households
Analisis Faktor yang Berpengaruh terhadap Waktu Survival Pasien Penyakit Ginjal Kronis menggunakan Uji Asumsi Proportional Hazard Assyifa Lala Pratiwi Hamid; Sri Subanti; Yuliana Susanti
Indonesian Journal of Applied Statistics Vol 5, No 1 (2022)
Publisher : Universitas Sebelas Maret

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.13057/ijas.v5i1.48121

Abstract

Chronic kidney disease is a disease whose risk of death is always increasing. This disease was ranked as the 13th leading cause of death in Indonesia in 2017. One of the successful managements of chronic kidney disease can be seen from the possibility of survival of patients with chronic kidney disease. To identify the probability of survival of an object, survival analysis is used. One method of survival analysis that can be used to determine the survival time of patients with chronic kidney disease is Cox regression. Cox regression must satisfy the proportional hazard assumption, where the ratio of the two hazard values must be constant with time. The graphical method, namely the log-log graph, can be used to test the proportional hazard assumption, but the results are only used as a provisional estimate. In this study, the goodness of fit test was used to test the assumptions by calculating the correlation between the Schoenfeld residuals and the survival time rank. In conclusion, the variables of hypertension and haemodialysis frequency meet the proportional hazard assumption.Keywords: chronic kidney disease; Cox regression; goodness of fit; log-log graph; proportional hazard assumption
Implementasi Text Mining Pada Analisis Sentimen Pengguna Twitter Terhadap Marketplace di Indonesia Menggunakan Algoritma Support Vector Machine Dyah Auliya Agustina; Sri Subanti; Etik Zukhronah
Indonesian Journal of Applied Statistics Vol 3, No 2 (2020)
Publisher : Universitas Sebelas Maret

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.13057/ijas.v3i2.44337

Abstract

In this digital era, technology development has changed the behavior of society from buy offline to online. One of this behavioral changes is marked by the growth of global marketplace including in Indonesia. The big marketplaces in Indonesia that have received a lot of public response on social media are Tokopedia, Shopee, and Bukalapak. This research determines the public sentiment toward both the service and issues surrounding these three marketplaces on media social especially Twitter. Public opinion is classified into a positive or negative sentiment. The data used in this study is obtained from Twitter API (Application Programming Interface) using keyword Shopee, Tokopedia, and Bukalapak. Preprocessing texts are divided into five steps: cleansing, case folding, stemming, stopwords, and tokenizing. Training and testing data are divided using k-fold cross validation method, while visualization the characteristic of text is using word cloud. Research shows that public are posting tweet more positive sentiment than negative one. The perfomance of classification shows that the best G-mean and AUC value for Bukalapak testing data are 0.85 and 0.86 in the first fold. While the best G-mean and AUC value for Shopee testing data are 0.76 and 0.77 in the seventh fold and the best G-mean and AUC value for Tokopedia testing data are 0.82 and 0.83 in the sixth fold.Keywords : sentiment analysis, marketplace, support vector machine, twitter
Early Detection of South Korean Financial Crisis using MS-GARCH Based on Term of Trade Indicator Husna Afanyn Khoirunissa; Sugiyanto Sugiyanto; Sri Subanti
Indonesian Journal of Applied Statistics Vol 4, No 2 (2021)
Publisher : Universitas Sebelas Maret

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.13057/ijas.v4i2.49169

Abstract

Abstract. The 1997 Asian financial crisis, which occurred until 1998, had a significant impact on the economies of Asian countries, including South Korea. The crisis brought down the South Korean currency quickly and sent the economy into sudden decline. Because the impact of the financial crisis was severe and sudden, South Korean requires a system which able to sight crisis signals, therefore that, the crisis will be fended off. One in all the indicators that can detect the financial crisis signals is that the term of trade indicator which has high fluctuation and change in the exchange rate regime. The mixture of Markov Switching and volatility models, Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH), or MS-GARCH could explain the crisis. The MS-GARCH model was built using data from the South Korean term of trade indicator during January 1990 until March 2020. The findings obtained in this research can be inferred that the best model of the term of trade is MS-GARCH (2,1,1). Term of trade indicator on that model could explain the Asian monetary crisis in 1997 and also the global monetary crisis in 2008. The smoothed probability of term of trade indicators predicts in April till December 2020 period, there will be no signs of the monetary crisis in South Korea.Keywords: financial crisis, MS-GARCH, South Korea, term of trade indicator
Co-Authors A.A. Ketut Agung Cahyawan W Abdul Aziz Abdul Aziz Abdul Aziz Hidayat Achmad Nurrofiq Achmad Nurrofiq Adi Wicaksono, Nanda Adigama Tri Nugraha Aflich Yusnita Fitrianna Aflich Yusnita Fitrianna Agus Supriyanto Ahmad Abdul Mutholib Aji Susanto Amalia Zulvia Widyaningrum Amanda, Nabila Tri Ambarawati, Mika Amiratih Siti Aisyah Andhika, Niken Dwi Anggraira, Attilah Suci Annisa Swastika Annur, M. Firman Anwar Ardani Aprilia, Nabila Churin Arianto, Febri Arif Rahman Hakim Arif Rahman Hakim Arif Rahman Hakim Arif Rahman Hakim Arifa Apriliana Arifa Apriliana, Arifa Ariska Yuliana Putri Ariska Yuliana Putri Arsita Anggraeni Pramesti Arum Dwi Rahmawati Dwi Rahmawati, Arum Dwi Rahmawati Dwi Assyifa Lala Pratiwi Hamid Astuti, Arinda Tri Astuti, Indra Puji Atika Amalia Attilah Suci Anggraira Aulia Rizki Destarani Ayu Rahmawati Bastian Al Ravisi Brilliyanti, Fanny Brilliyanti, Fanny Budi Santosa Budi Santosa Budi Santosa Budi Usodo Budi Usodo Budi Usodo Budi Usodo Budi Usodo Budi Usodo Budi Usodo Budi Usodo Budiyono Budiyono Budiyono Budiyono Budiyono Budiyono Budiyono Budiyono Budiyono Budiyono Budiyono Budiyono Budiyono Budiyono Budiyono, Budiyono Budiyono, Budiyono Danar Supriadi Desi Tri Utami, Desi Tri Diana Tri Purnamasari Dini Yuniarti Dwi Ambarwati, Dwi Dwi Retnowati Dwi Retnowati Dyah Auliya Agustina Endang Widiyastuti Era Hervilia Etika, Erdyna Dwi Exacta, Annisa Prima Fajar Suryatama Farida Nurhasanah Fhadilla, Nahdatul Fitri Apriyani Pratiwi, Fitri Apriyani Fitri Era Sugesti Fitria, Camelina Fitriana Anggar Kusuma Fitriana, Laila Getut Pramesti Giant Aprisetyani Giant Aprisetyani H Hartatik, H Hendriyanto, Agus Hervilia, Era Husna Afanyn Khoirunissa Iffah, Rona Dhiya Layli Ikrar Pramudya Ikrar Pramudya, Ikrar Imam Sujadi Imam Sujadi Imam Sujadi Imam Sujadi Indra Raditya , Dionisius Intan Novia Sari Intan Novia Sari Irwan Susanto Irwan Susanto Isnaini, Bayutama Isnandar Slamet Isnandar Slamet Isnandar Slamet Isnandar Slamet, Isnandar Iwan Kurnianto Kadar, Jimmy Abdel Karina Pramitasari Karina Pramitasari, Karina Kartikaningtyas, Nafiqoh Elsa Katherine Her Pratiwi Khafittulloh Viqriah Khafittulloh Viqriah, Khafittulloh Khoiriyah, Nor Kumarahadi, Brigitta Melati Kurniasih, Rini Kurniati, Edy Dwi Lestari, Fajar Lina Muawanah, Lina Mahmudah Titi Muanifah Mahmudah Titi Muanifah Mahmudati, Rina Maratu Shalikhah Maratu Shalikhah, Maratu Mardiyana Mardiyana Mardiyana Mardiyana Mardiyana Mardiyana Mardiyana Mardiyana Mardiyana Mardiyana Mardiyana Mardiyana Mardiyana Mardiyana Mardiyana, Mardiyana Mardiyana, Mardiyana Marfuah, Ismiyati Mida Nurani Mika Ambarawati Mohamad Nur Fauzi Muhammad Bayu Nirwana Muhammad Wildan Fadilah Mulyadi Mulyadi Mulyadi Mulyadi Nais Qonita Salsabila Ningsih, Maya Kristina Nirwana, Muhammad Bayu Nopiana, Medi Nor Khoiriyah Novi Dya Meylasari Nugraha, Titis Jati Nugroho, Purwo Setiyo Nuraini, Latifah Nurudin, M. Pardede, Hilman Ferdinandus Permatasari, Dinda Agnes Prabowo, Haniftia Haqqiendini Pramesti, Arsita Anggraeni Prasasti, Berlyana Ayu Pratiwi, Fitri Apriyani pratiwi, hasih Proborini, Ellen Purna Bayu Nugroho Purnamasari, Anita Pusaka, Semerdanta Putra Adi Wibowo Putra Adi Wibowo Rachmawati, Intan Rahmita Ika Sari Raodatul Jannah Raodatul Jannah Rara Sugiarti Ratih Kusumaningrum Ratih Kusumaningrum Reka Pramukti Reka Pramukti, Reka Respati wulan Retno Anggraheni Ria Wahyu Wijayanti Rina Mahmudati Riyadi Riyadi Riyadi Riyadi Riyanto, Nandyar Fisthi Riyanto, Nandyar Fisthi Rizky Wahyudi Sandhy Prasetyo Tito Kurniawan Sandhy Prasetyo Tito Kurniawan, Sandhy Prasetyo Satrio Wicaksono Sudarman Savitri, Maria Endah Savitri, Maria Endah Septiana Wijayanti Setiaputra, Felix Indra Sri Adiningsih Sri Sulistijowati Handajani Sugesti, Fitri Era Sugianto Sugianto Sugiyanto - Sugiyanto Sugiyanto Sugiyanto Sugiyanto Sugiyanto, Sugiyanto Sujadi, Imam Sujadi, Imam Sujadi, Imam Sulandari, Winita Sumantri, Astri Wiliastri Susilotomoa, Dhestahendra Citra Titik Yuniarti Triyazulfa, Azkiya Umi Fadlilah, Umi Umi Supraptinah Umi Supraptinah, Umi Veronica Sri Wigiyanti Veronica Sri Wigiyanti Very Hendra Saputra Virlina Zuhanisani Wahyuni, Fina Tri Wahyuni, Fina Tri Wahyuningtyas, Widyana Wardani, Endang Purwati Wardani, Endang Purwati Widyana Wahyuningtyas Wihasti Imas Priyandani Wihasti Imas Priyandani, Wihasti Imas Winita Sulandari Winita Sulandari Winita Sulandari Winita Sulandari Wulandari, Lina Yadi Ardiawan Yadi Ardiawan Yudho Yudhanto Yudho Yudhanto Yudho Yudhanto, Yudho Yuliana Susanti Yuliana Susanti, Yuliana Yuniarti, Titik Yusnita Rahmawati Yusnita Rahmawati Zainal Arifin Zuhanisani, Virlina Zuhdha Basofi Nugroho Zuhdha Basofi Nugroho, Zuhdha Basofi Zukhronah, Etik