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All Journal Harmoni Sosial: Jurnal Pendidikan IPS Journal of Economic, Bussines and Accounting (COSTING) JITIPARI (Jurnal Ilmiah Teknologi dan Industri Pangan UNISRI) Jurnal Pertanian Agros IKRA-ITH EKONOMIKA Aptisi Transactions on Management Aptisi Transactions on Technopreneurship (ATT) MANAJEMEN DEWANTARA Jurnal Informatika Ekonomi Bisnis Management Studies and Entrepreneurship Journal (MSEJ) Journal of Applied Science, Engineering, Technology, and Education Budapest International Research and Critics Institute-Journal (BIRCI-Journal): Humanities and Social Sciences Jurnal Abdimas Kartika Wijayakusuma Journal Of Sustainable Research In Management Of Agroindustry (SURIMI) Jurnal Ilmiah SIGMA: Informatics Engineering Journal of UPB Nautical: Jurnal Ilmiah Multidisiplin Indonesia Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Manajemen, Bisnis dan Akuntansi Formosa Journal of Applied Sciences (FJAS) JURNAL AGROTEKNOSAINS JURNAL ILMU MANAJEMEN SABURAI (JIMS) Jurnal Ilmiah MEA (Manajemen, Ekonomi, dan Akuntansi) Kompeten: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Bisnis Indonesian Journal of Contemporary Multidisciplinary Research Innovative: Journal Of Social Science Research COREAI: Jurnal Kecerdasan Buatan, Komputasi dan Teknologi Informasi Jurnal Pelita Manajemen Jurnal Informatika Ekonomi Bisnis Journal Of Informatics And Busisnes Triwikrama: Jurnal Ilmu Sosial Proceeding International Pelita Bangsa GLOBAL: Jurnal Lentera BITEP Jurnal Pelita Pengabdian GEMBIRA (Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat) PEDAMAS (Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat) Prestise: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Bidang Ekonomi dan Bisnis PENG: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Manajemen Jurnal Riset Sistem Informasi Indonesian Journal of Research and Service Studies Ulil Albab Neraca: Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen dan Akuntansi Journal of Computer Science and Technology Application
Gunawan, Ahmad
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Comparative Analysis of Arima Model and Exponential Smoothing in Predicting Inventory in Automotive Companies Pujiharta, Pujiharta; Darma, Yuki Dwi; Wiyanti, Novita Riska; Gunawan, Ahmad
Budapest International Research and Critics Institute (BIRCI-Journal): Humanities and Social Sciences Vol 5, No 1 (2022): Budapest International Research and Critics Institute February
Publisher : Budapest International Research and Critics University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33258/birci.v5i1.3707

Abstract

Forecasting is an activity to predict future events by using and considering data from the past. Forecasting is an important tool in effective and efficient planning. So that demand forecasting can be predicted and the amount of inventory can be determined in order to anticipate the number of varied and fluctuating demand. In order to obtain good forecast results, a forecasting method is used that can predict seasonal data. This study aims to determine the best forecasting model using ARIMA and exponential smoothing methods and to compare the forecasting results with the two methods in order to obtain the best method. Data on the number of requests for cars PT. Suzuki Indomobil Motor 2017 – 2019 is data that contains seasonal patterns so that ARIMA and Holt-Winters exponential smoothing can be used. Data obtained by means of documentation with secondary data collection and literature study. The results show that PT Suzuki Indomobil Motor is more appropriate to use the Holt-Winters Additive exponential smoothing method because the resulting error rate is smaller.
Co-Authors Abdul Kosim, Abdul Abdul Rahman Rahim ABDUS SAMAD Ahmad, Asyari Akhmad Mustofa Al Ghozali, Muhammad Iqbal Alawiyah, Siti Dewiningsih amelia, Fannisya Andriyansah . Apdillah, Zaka Ardhana, Argi Yhudin Avri Assifah, Rachmah Ayu Rahayu Ayu Septia Wulandari Badruzzaman, Aceng Baijuri, Achmad Bunyamin Maftuh Chintya Anggraini Putri Clara, Citra Alda Puspa Dadang Heri Kusumah Damayanti, Alfina Damayanti, Hilda Darma, Yuki Dwi Darwis, Hilda Sayafitri Dyah Ayu Puspitaningrum ed, Sarwo Enok Maryani Ernawati, Ede Fadhilah, Chaerunnisa Nurul Fatia Fatimah Firda, Firda umil Barokah Fitriyaningrum, Rista Indah Gunawan , Ahmad Hamida, Nurul Nur Hardianti, Yuni Harris, Ethan Hasan, Dina Nurmala Heri Kusumah, Dadang Hidayatullah, Dimas Hisniati, Sally Badriya Hoeroni, Rizqon Hutapea, Sharon Nathaniela Badia Ida Abdul Gopar Imam Sucipto Irma Rohmatul Manan Istianti, Tuti Istikhola, Yulfa Janah, Widia Nur Karsih, Karsih Karyono Karyono Karyono Komara, Maulana Arif Kristiningsih, Ari Kusumah, Dadang Heri Larasati, Muti Lusiana Nurwidia Ma’arif Al-Haq, Tasnim Madani, Muchlisina Maharani, Meilia Merkuria Karyantina Muhammad Yasin Nawangsih, Ismasari Nenda Ni’mah, Faidatun Nudita, Afifi Nurcholisa, Elsa Nurhasanah Nurhasanah Nurjanah, Puput Ayu Nurkholiq, Agus Nurzaman, Adnan Octaviany, Tia Pratama, Fidya Arie Pujiharta, Pujiharta Puspitasari, Adinda Putih, Muhadar Putri Aprilia Putri Munjaroh Putri, Agustina Mulia Putri, Eki Wijayanti Rahayu, Antina Rayhan Afdillah, Mohammad Rizky, Agung Rizqon Hoeroni Rohmatul Manan, Irma Ruth Megawati, Ruth Santiago Ikhsan, Ramiro Septi Gumiandari Setia Ningsih, Sandra Nurfadila Siti Aisah Siti Masitoh Soer, Ucok Darmanto Stephanie Stephanie Sucipto, Imam Suer Darmanto, Ucok Sugesti, Melisa Suryadi Suryadi Suryadi Susanto Susanto Syazeedah, Haudli Nurfitrah Uskytia Tanjung, Dicky Zulkarnain Tri Wahyu Wirjawan Ucok Darmanto Soer Wachid Hasyim, Wachid Wahyu Hadikristanto Wahyu Wirjawan, Tri Wahyudi Wahyudi Widianto, Risko Wirjawan, Tri Wahyu Wittrinsyah, Khoeruddin Wiyanti, Novita Riska Wulandari, Tri Widiani Zahra, Titis Wahyu