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All Journal Jurnal Ilmu Ternak JOURNAL ON SOCIAL ECONOMIC OF AGRICULTURE AND AGRIBUSINESS Jurnal Kesehatan Masyarakat Andalas (Andalas Journal of Public Health) SEL Jurnal Penelitian Kesehatan Quantitative Economics Journal Abdimas Talenta : Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Journal of Economic, Bussines and Accounting (COSTING) Indonesian Journal of Agricultural Research JURNAL AGRICA Journal of Saintech Transfer Agro Bali: Agricultural Journal Jurnal Akademi Akuntansi (JAA) Randwick International of Social Science Journal Jurnal Ekonomi International Journal of Economic, Business, Accounting, Agriculture Management and Sharia Administration (IJEBAS) International Journal of Social Science, Educational, Economics, Agriculture Research, and Technology (IJSET) Sanitasi: Jurnal Kesehatan Lingkungan Jurnal AGRISEP: Kajian Masalah Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian dan Agribisnis Baileo: Jurnal Sosial Humaniora West Science Agro Jurnal Ekonomi Kesehatan Indonesia
Sri Fajar Ayu
Faculty Of Agriculture, Universitas Sumatera Utara, Indonesia
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Humanities Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Environmental Science Health Professions Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Medicine & Pharmacology Public Health Social Sciences Veterinary Other

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Indonesia’s Mangosteen Export Risk Management Strategy to China Sri Fajar Ayu; Patricia Srisere Ikaria Situmorang
Agro Bali : Agricultural Journal Vol 8, No 2 (2025)
Publisher : Universitas Panji Sakti

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37637/ab.v8i2.2418

Abstract

Indonesia is one of the leading global producers of mangosteen, with China absorbing over 70% of its export volume. Despite this, Indonesia’s market share remains limited compared to its competitors, such as Thailand. This study examines the short- and long-term relationships between key macroeconomic variables—mangosteen export price (HEC), export value (NE), Yuan to USD exchange rate (NTC), Rupiah to USD exchange rate (NTI), Indonesia’s real exchange rate (NTR), and export volume (VE)—and the performance of exports to China using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), which is appropriate for examining both long-run equilibrium (cointegration) and short-run dynamics among the macroeconomic variables. The model captures cointegration, causal interactions, impulse responses, and variance decomposition. Findings indicate that, in the long run, NTC, NTI, NTR, and VE have a significant influence on export prices, while no statistically significant short-run causality is observed. Key risks identified include exchange rate volatility, over-reliance on the Chinese market, price fluctuations, high logistics costs, and inconsistent product quality. To mitigate these issues, the study recommends exchange rate stabilization, export market diversification, investment in cold chain logistics, and the adoption of Good Agricultural Practices (GAP) with digital traceability systems. The findings support the formulation of evidence-based policies to strengthen the global competitiveness of Indonesia’s horticultural exports.
Co-Authors A R Wibowo S Adelina Lubis adha, apritama - Adolf Paskaris Sitohang Afifuddin, Sya'ad AGATHA SIREGAR Aniia, Destanui Anisa Yuliandha Apriyani Barus Arianty Lediana Damanik Arif Qaedi Hutagalung Ayu Hartati Anggreini Limbong Azrani, Utari Bagus Agung Susetiyo Budi, Usman Cecep Kusmana Darma Bakti Desta Aulia Destanui Aniia Destanul Aulia Destanul Aulia, Destanul Destanul Aulia, SKM., MBA., M.Ec., Ph.D Dian Citra Amelia Diana Chalil Diana Chalil Diana Chalil Diana Chalil Diana Chalil Diana Chalil Dina Hafizah Siregar Ditanisa Amira Silitonga Dorma H. Sinaga Dwi Delvi Yanthi E. F. Fadillah Edi Batara Mulya Siregar Edi Batara Mulya Siregar Emalisa Emalisa Emma Regina Pinem Farwah Inal Abdi Fauzan nur ahmadi Fazidah Agulina Siregar Fazidah Aguslina Siregar, Fazidah Aguslina Febriyana Silalahi Fransisca Natalia Sihombing Gultom, Jontar Habibulah Hamat Sarif Batubara Hanafi, Nevy Diana Hasman Hasyim Hasman Hasyim Hasman Hasyim Herbert Leonardy Herry Arie Chandra Lubis HM Mozard B Darus Idris, Nor Aini Haji Ika Rosalia Saragih Irania, Vinny Miari Iskandarini Iskandarini Kelin Tarigan Liana Dwi Sri Hastuti Liasna Demkrina Line O. R Hutabarat Liskawati Sihaloho Loriwan Loriwan Luhut Sihombing Luhut Sihombing Luhut Sihombing Lumbantobing, Roida M. Mozart B. Darus M. Taufiq Mahda Sari Putri Marito Hasibuan Maulidya Sari Meutia Nauly Michaela Glady Sinambela Mimi Heri Karni Mita Suryani Limbong Mitra Musika Lubis Muhammad Alviza Muhammad Bangun Siregar Muhammad Khaliqi Muhammad Nazarul Yanis Mukhlis Mukhlis Nababan, Selsa Juita Nadila Savira Nefonafratilova Nefonafratilova Nelva Ginting Nevy Diana Hanafi Nevy Diana Hanafi Nor Aini Haji Idris Novita Anggraini Nur Meity Utary Nur Meity Utary Nurul Ildrakasih Panjaitan, Ade Putera Arif Patricia Srisere Ikaria Situmorang Putri Dian Sari Damanik R. S. Sitorus Rahmanta Rahmanta Ginting Rahmanta Ginting Rahmanta Rahmanta Rahmanta Rahmanta Rajagukguk, Pasu Ramadani Ramadani Ratna Saragih Riantri Barus Ritha F Dalimunthe Ritha F.Dalimunthe Ritonga, Nefonafratilova Rizki Andini Salmiah Salmiah Salmiah Saragih, Ika Rosalia Satia Negara Emalisa Lubis Satia Negara Lubis Satia Negara Lubis Sinaga, Hotnida Sinar Indra Kesuma Sinar Indra Kesuma Siti Mardiana Siti Nur Arafah Sitri Sorga Sonia Ramadhani Hutasuhut Sonya Elisabeth Silaen Sunny , Rainal Supriadi Supriadi Susetiyo, Bagus Agung Sya'ad Afifuddin Tavi Supriana Tavi Supriana Tavi Supriana Tavi Supriana Telaumbanua, Eben Haezarni Thomson Emalisa Sebayang Thomson Sebayang Tindaon, Wensdy Unchu Maiwanda Wibowo, Rulianda P. Wilda Kartika Yusak Maryunianta