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TREND EKSPOR INDONESIA KE 3 NEGARA ASEAN SINGAPURA, FILIPINA DAN LAOS (SFL) Dewi Mahrani Rangkuty; Bakhtiar Efendi; Noni Ardian
Akuntansi & Ekonomika Vol 9 No 2 (2019): JURNAL AKUNTANSI DAN EKONOMIKA
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Muhammadiyah Riau

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

Indonesia as one of among emerging markets enhances the economy through international export trade activities. By using the 2005-2018 time-series data period, the aim of the research was to analyze Indonesia's export performance trend to 3 ASEAN countries Singapore, Philippines and Laos. The results showed that the trend of Indonesia's exports to 3 countries of the ASEAN region for the next 10 years showed a positive and bearish bullish trend in the year 2019-2028. In addition, there is a long-term balance relationship between the research variables. The rate and export of Indonesia to Singapore have a causality relationship. And there is no causal relationship between the research variables in the Philippine and Laos countries. The Ministry of Trade is recommended for the improvement of Indonesia's export performance focusing on semi-finished and finished products. Because of the achievement of trade balance surplus for encouraging an accelerated increase in Indonesia's economic growth.
FLUKTUASI CURRENT ACCOUNT DAN PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT TERHADAP CADANGAN DEVISA INDONESIA Dewi Mahrani Rangkuty; Rusiadi Rusiadi
JURNAL EKOMBIS Vol 6, No 1 (2020) April
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35308/ekombis.v6i1.2013

Abstract

Foreign exchange reserves are the central bank's assets as a source of financing funds for international trade transactions in the global market. This research aims to analyze the current account fluctuations and portfolio investment against Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves. By using the time series 1981-2018 data sourced from the World Bank, the research results based on the method Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) indicates that the current account and the foreign exchange reserves have a two-way causality relationship and portfolio investment has a two-way causality relationship at Lag 3. The short-term estimate shows that the current account has a significant positive effect while the portfolio of investments affects negatively and significantly against the foreign exchange reserves. Long-term estimation of current account and portfolio investment is a positive and significant effect on foreign exchange reserves. Variance decomposition on short-term, intermediate and long-length contributions to the first largest foreign exchange reserves described by the foreign exchange reserves variable itself. The government should maintain the position of balance of transactions running on a surplus condition to support the increase in the number of foreign exchange reserves from time to time to encourage the acceleration of increasing the number of foreign exchange reserves cause in the short, medium and long-term first contribution to the variable foreign exchange reserves are on the foreign exchange reserves.Keywords: current account, exchange rate, GDP per capita, portfolio investment, reserves
Analisis Ekspor Indonesia Ke Jepang Dewi Mahrani Rangkuty
TANSIQ: Jurnal Manajemen Dan Bisnis Islam TANSIQ | Vol. 1 | No. 2 | 2018
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Islam Universitas Islam Negeri Sumatera Utara Medan

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Abstract

Japan is one of developed countries had been Indonesian fixed consumer at international market. High value exports an country would be increasing domestic economic growth because international trade (exports-imports) as component for economic growth. Indonesia’s export for Japan has fluctuation growth rate for this research period. This research has aimed for analyze Indonesia’s export to Japan and GDP Japan with time series 1987-2017. The result of counteraction test showed no equilibrium relation for long term between Indonesia’s export and GDP Japan. And with granger causality test showed for Lag 2 and 5 Indonesia’s export to Japan and GDP Japan showed two-way direction. It means Indonesia’s export to Japan has influence GDP Japan and GDP Japan has influence Indonesia’ export to Japan in this research period. In recommended for government as the Indonesian trade ministry hopely could keep growth rate stability of Indonesia’s export to Japan because Japan has one of developed country as Indonesian fixed partner at international market, and the goals for equilibrium relation for long term between Indonesia’s export to Japan and GDP Japan.
Analisis Fluktuasi Cadangan Devisa: studi kasus Indonesia, Vietnam, dan Malaysia Dewi Mahrani Rangkuty; Rusiadi Rusiadi; Kiki Ramadhani
Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 9, No 1 (2020): Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/ecosains.11549457.00

Abstract

This study aims to analyze of fluctuations in foreign exchange reserves in three developing countries using time series data for the period 2000-2018 with the Research Method Of Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL). The results showed that foreign exchange reserves were the leading indicator in three developing countries (Indonesia, Vietnam, and Malaysia) but were unstable in the short run.  In the long and short term, significant variables affect fluctuations in foreign exchange reserves in three developing countries, namely exports and foreign debt. It is recommended to the Government to increase exports rather than imports to increase gold reserves which can later increase output towards economic growth.
Perbandingan Modal Ventura Konvensional dan Syariah : Studi Literatur Model Pembiayaan Startup dan UMKM di Provinsi Sumatera Barat Dewi Mahrani Rangkuty; Alfian Zulmi
Ekonomi, Keuangan, Investasi dan Syariah (EKUITAS) Vol 1 No 2 (2020): February 2020
Publisher : Forum Kerjasama Pendidikan Tinggi (FKPT)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (193.239 KB) | DOI: 10.47065/ekuitas.v1i2.65

Abstract

Venture capital is one of the alternative sources of financing for beginner entrepreneurs (startups) and Micro Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs). Sharia venture capital is a model of venture capital with the application of Sharia principles in its financing activities. The existence of Sharia venture capital will support the growth of SMEs and startups, especially in West Sumatera. The paper uses a literature study on the venture capital model and the Sharia venture capital model to see a more precise financing model for startup and MSME growth in West Sumatera. Reviews of the study of literature show that, by applying Shariah principles in accordance with the principles of living in society and to support the vision of RPJMD West Sumatra province, the Sharia venture capital model is more appropriate to apply to the startup business and SMEs in West Sumatera. The existence of a Sharia venture capital company became very urgent to be realized immediately. If necessary, sharia venture capital companies can be established in every Regency/city in West Sumatera. The Government should also pay attention to the socialization of Sharia venture capital and also venture capital fund so that the Sharia venture capital that was established can run as the purpose of establishment
EDUKASI KEPADA MASYARAKAT KELOMPOK NELAYAN DESA PAHLAWAN TENTANG MANFAAT PENERAPAN BANTUAN ALAT TANGKAP Dewi Mahrani Rangkuty; Lia Nazliana Nasution
RESWARA: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Vol 1, No 2 (2020)
Publisher : Universitas Dharmawangsa

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (830.198 KB) | DOI: 10.46576/rjpkm.v1i2.567

Abstract

Desa Pahlawan merupakan salah satu desa yang terletak di Kecamatan Tanjung Tiram Kabupaten Batu Bara Provinsi Sumatera Utara. Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat (PKM) ini dilakukan untuk meningkatkan pemahaman masyarakat kelompok nelayan di Desa Pahlawan tentang manfaat serta perbedaan sebelum dan sesudah penerapan bantuan alat tangkap oleh Pemerintah melalui Kementerian Kelautan dan Perikanan (KKP). Pengabdian dilakukan dengan metode ceramah/ sosialisasi/ penyuluhan kepada mayarakat kelompok nelayan sehingga mendapatkan wawasan/informasi terkait manfaat penerapan bantuan alat tangkap dan bagaimana perbedaan secara signifikan terhadap produktivitas dan pendapatan nelayan sebelum dan sesudah adanya bantuan alat tangkap. Monitoring dan evaluasi juga dilakukan pada tahap akhir dari pengabdian ini untuk mengetahui keberhasilan kegiatan penyuluhan yang dilakukan. Hasil evaluasi menunjukkan peningkatan produktivitas nelayan melalui jumlah produksi/hasil tangkap, jam kerja, dan harga jual di Tempat Pelelangan Ikan (TPI). Di samping itu, wanita nelayan dapat mengolah hasil tangkap melalut yang kemudian dijual di pasar setempat yang berada di lingkungan pemukiman, yang dinamakan sebagai usaha rumah tangga wanita nelayan. Indikator produktivitas menunjukkan bahwa nelayan memperoleh pendapatan secara berkala yang dapat mendukung pemenuhan kebutuhan ekonomi rumah tangga nelayan. Hal ini yang akan meningkatkan kesejahteraan hidup rumah tangga nelayan dalam negeri. Adapun yang dapat direkomendasikan kepada pemerintah, yakni KKP melalui Dinas Kelautan dan Perikanan Kabupaten Batu Bara agar melakukan pendampingan sosialisasi edukasi tentang manfaat bantuan alat tangkap secara berkala demi mendukung produktivitas nelayan yang berkelanjutan. Sebab nelayan Desa Pahlawan juga dapat berkontribusi pada peningkatan pertumbuhan ekonomi Kabupaten Batu Bara
Family Business Sustainability Strategy In Sme Sector At West Sumatera Province Dewi Mahrani Rangkuty; Alfian Zulmi
Ekopem: Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 2 No 3 (2020): Ekopem: Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Program Studi Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Timor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (602.392 KB) | DOI: 10.32938/jep.v5i3.673

Abstract

The family company is a phenomenon in the business world. In addition to the numerous numbers, the family company also has a significant amount of the nation's economy. In Indonesia, for example, business people are dominated by a family company. Based on the results of the PWC survey in 2014 showed that more than 95% of businesses in Indonesia were family-owned and had a contribution of 25% of Indonesia's GDP. Small and medium industries in West Sumatera based on the 2018 BPS data amounted to 35. 592 Company and absorb 120,060 Labor. Micro and small companies totaled 108,588 companies and have absorbed 202,330 Labor. It is demonstrated that this sector is the largest sector that absorbs manpower in West Sumatera. Thus, it is necessary to formulate a family business resilience strategy in the MSME sector in West Sumatera. By using the analysis based on the study of literature that is formulated that to be able to grow, develop and endure in a long time SMEs actors need to 1) get the capitalization easy, safe and transparent, venture capital should be considered to be the main choice as a source of financing because it has a more "friendly" system and more suitable for SMEs entrepreneurs, 2) Pay attention, the understanding of SME entrepreneurs to institutional, human resources, accounting, networking, information technology and so forth will certainly be needed, 3) think of innovative marketing, where to be able to compete entrepreneurs need to create their own "blue ocean" market rather than having to compete in the "Red Ocean" market that nudges more bloody and have a lot of competitors, 4) always doing sustainable innovation, it becomes an important key for SMEs to survive, information technology developments and market uncertainty.
Study of Indonesia's international macroeconomic indicators before and during the covid-19 pandemic Dewi Mahrani Rangkuty; Bakhtiar Efendi; Lia Nazliana Nasution
Jurnal Riset Pendidikan Ekonomi Vol. 6 No. 1 (2021): APRIL
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomika dan Bisnis, Universitas Kanjuruhan Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21067/jrpe.v6i1.5352

Abstract

This study aims to review Indonesia's macroeconomic indicators before and during the covid-19 pandemic. Using time-series data sourced from ceicdata, this study uses non-parametric statistical methods of different tests (sign tests). The results showed that there is a significant difference between before and during the covid-19 pandemic on international macroeconomic indicators of the rupiah exchange rate against USD, external debt, reserves, and Indonesian CPI. Recommended to the Government of Indonesia through Bank Indonesia and other relevant Ministries need a strict policy on a rupiah exchange rate that leads to price stability to reduce the rate of inflation, management and disclosure of external debt information, the achievement of trade balance surplus to increase reserves towards increasing domestic economic growth.
Analisis Neraca Perdagangan Indonesia-India Periode 2013-2018 Mohammad Yusuf; Dewi Mahrani Rangkuty
Jurnal Penelitian Medan Agama MEDAN AGAMA, VOL. 10, NO. 1, 2019
Publisher : Universitas Islam Negeri Sumatera Utara

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (527.249 KB) | DOI: 10.58836/jpma.v10i1.5693

Abstract

This study aims to find out the Analysis of Trade, Exports, Imports on the Indonesia-India Trade Balance, Period 2013-2018. As independent variables in this study are Trade, Export and Import. While the dependent variable is the Trade Balance.The research uses the data analysis method used is associative / quantitative research which is analyzed by descriptive statistics in this test using the E-Views program. In addition to using descriptive statistical test tools also use the Classical Assumption test. The classic assumption test used includes normality test, multicollinearity test, linearity test and autocorrelation test. Meanwhile, the test of goodness of fit test uses an interpretation formula, namely interpretation of the R value (coefficient of determination), interpretation of the F test (Fisher) and interpretation of the t test.Meanwhile the data used in this study are secondary data sourced from the Department of Commerce and BPS which are analyzed using quantitative methods with a descriptive approach and the study population is a report on Analysis of Trade, Exports, Imports on the Indonesia-India Trade Balance, 2013-2018.The results of this study conclude that the trade sector has a positive and significant effect on the trade balance, the export sector has a positive and insignificant effect on the trade balance, the import sector has a negative and significant effect on the trade balance.
Pengaruh Pendapatan Asli Daerah, Dana Perimbangan dan Belanja Daerah terhadap Indeks Pembangunan Manusia di Provinsi Sumatera Utara Dewi Mahrani Rangkuty; Mohammad Yusuf; Rothsalina Agustia Pasaribu
Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 11, No 1 (2022): Ecosains: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24036/ecosains.11813157.00

Abstract

The study aims to test the influence of local native income, balanced funds, and regional spending on the human development index. The method used is multiple linear analysis. This type of quantitative research uses secondary data on local government financial statements that have been audited by the CPC and statistical data from www.bps.go.id. The study sample criteria cover all 33 Regencies / Cities of North Sumatra in 2018-2019 with SPSS version 20. The results showed that the original income of the region, the balance fund affected the human development index. In comparison, regional spending did not significantly affect the human development index. Simultaneously the original income of the region, balanced funds, and provincial spending are jointly influential on the human development index of North Sumatra province. Every government in North Sumatra province is expected to increase investment in the physical form further so that fixed assets increase every year. With increased means, it can support the economic welfare of the community
Co-Authors Abdiyanto Abdiyanto Abdul Haris Baeha Ade Novalina Ade Novalina Adjie Hermawansyah Ahmad Fadlan Ahmad Ramadhan Ahmad Ramadhan Ahmad Yazid Ahmad Yazid Alan Muhammad Fauzi Albi Tania S Albi Tania Sembiring Aldi Agustino Alfian Zulmi Alfian Zulmi Alifah Humairah Anaya Rezeki Salsabila Andi Setiawan Andini, Della Surya Andra Pribadi Anggia Ramadhan Anggun Putri Anggun R Sulistia Anisah Siregar Antonius Gulo Anwar Sanusi Anwar Suhut Apriyaningsih, Lilis Arini Juwita Ayu Attaullah, Rezi Ayu Roudhatul Jannah Bakhtiar Efendi Bakhtiar Efendi Bhaktiar Efendi Biwi Cahya Wigrha Br Barus, Novita Putri Ramadhani Br Naibaho, Yanti Br Tarigan, Nuragus Listiyani Br. Sembiring, Celly Shetyana Butar-Butar, Nunut Syahputra Celly Shetyana Br. Sembiring Christine Adeina Sihotang Damanik, Rapita Della Surya Andini Devani Pratiwi Dewi, Tridia Kumala Dian Yulis Wulandari Didi Firmansyah Dinata, M. Gilang Dirga Ardian Syahputra Diwayana Putri Nasution Dwi Aulia Putri Edi Suprayetno Edi Suprayetno Edy Suprayetno Efendi, Bakhtiar Eldo Anggi Ferdien Saragih Elfira Annisa Eva Vany Akselia Malau Fahri Yadi Fahrul Yusro Kudadiri Faradiba Ulfa Purba Faried, Annisa Ilmi Firmansyah, Didi Fitri Annisa Friska Sitompul Gilang Irwanto Harefa, Yopi G.O.S Hendra Fahruddin Siregar Herdianto Herdianto Hidayati Purnama Lubis Humairah, Alifah Icha Tamara Tambunan Igk Adhi Sugara Igk Adhi Sugara Ika Andryani Ika Rahayu Indah Kesuma Jannah, Ayu Roudhatul Jannatun Aswani Jumadil Saputra Katarin Putri Hartati Kiki Farida Ferine Kiki Hardiansyah Siregar Kiki Ramadhani Kristian Reinhat Simamora Lia Nazliana Nasution Lia Nazliana Nasution Lidia Wanti Siregar Lidya Permata Sari Lola Irmayunda Lubis, Anggi Permata Rizky Lubis, Hidayati Purnama Lubis, Najma Azhira Lucya Br. Manik Luwy Berto Murbun Luwy Berto Murbun M Zakaria Anshori M. Aga Ashari Marcella Marcella Marshanda Sylvia Maya Macia Sari Melva Adelia Putri Mesra B Miftahul Jannah MIFTAHUL JANNAH Miftahul Jannah Mita Mutiara Zora Mohammad Yusuf Mohammad Yusuf Mohammad Yusuf Muhammad Hidayat Nadya Fasya Naibaho, Yanti Br Nasib Noni Ardian Novita Putri Ramadhani Br Barus Nunut Syahputra Butar-Butar Nur Gita Sari Pane, Sanusi Gazali Permata, Suarika Diah Pipit Yuspira Pipit Yuspira Pitri Br. Sitorus Prasetio Prasetio Purba, Faradiba Ulfa Putri Alifa Dafina Putri Subakti Putri, Melva Adelia Rahmadhani Fitri Raihan Zuhri Rapita Damanik Resti Triana Ningsih Rezki Apri Zulharji Siswanto Rianto, Hartato Riska Franita Rita Saragih Rizky Pramudita Bukit Rizky Pramudita Bukit Romaito Aritonang Romaito Aritonang Rothsalina Agustia Pasaribu Roy Andi Syaputra Hia Rut Anatasya Simatupang Rut Anatasya Simatupang Sajar, Suryani Sajar, Suryani Samuel Frans Deo Samuel Frans Deo Sanusi Ghazali Pane Saor Menanti Dolok Saribu Saputra, Jumadil Saputra, Muhammad Ilham Saragih, Rita Sari, Wahyu Indah Satria, Wisnu Sihotang, Christine Adeina Siregar, Sulisna Dewi Sisiliana Sisiliana Sisiliana Siti Wardah, Siti Sitompul, Friska Sopyan Handoko Suarika Diah Permata Suhendi Suhendi Suhendi Suhendi Suhut, Anwar Suryani Sajar Tanjung, Anisa Tarisya Alfadhilla Tesalonika Br Tarigan Titah Enjelina Manurung Toman Sony Tambunan Ulfah Setia Iswara Vanny Euorita Tarigan Wahyu Indah Sari Wanti Siregar, Lidia Wigrha, Biwi Cahya Winda Safrida Windi Aulia Wisnu Satria Wiwied Risdianto Putri Yanti Br Naibaho Yopi G.O.S Harefa Yunda, Lola Irma Yuni Sahara Yusnita Yusnita Zata Hasyyati Zuhri, Raihan Zulharji Siswanto, Rezki Apri Zuliyansah Zuliyansah Zuziva Apriliani Zuziva Apriliani Dewi