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All Journal IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI) Jurnal Informatika dan Teknik Elektro Terapan Global Medical and Health Communication Jurnal Sains Matematika dan Statistika Jurnal Sains dan Informatika BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan JURNAL PENDIDIKAN TAMBUSAI Journal TEPAT: Teknologi Terapan untuk Pengabdian Masyarakat Jurnal Tarbiyah : Jurnal Ilmiah Kependidikan Jurnal Arajang GERAM (GERAKAN AKTIF MENULIS) Jurnal Keperawatan Dirgahayu (JKD) Dinasti International Journal of Economics, Finance & Accounting (DIJEFA) Tsaqafatuna: Jurnal Ilmu Pendidikan Islam Jurnal Applied Science in Civil Engineering JTEIN: Jurnal Teknik Elektro Indonesia Engineering, Mathematics and Computer Science Journal (EMACS) Jurnal Teknologi Sistem Informasi dan Sistem Komputer TGD Jurnal Arastirma Jurnal Peternakan Lokal Journal of Law, Administration, and Social Science Jurnal Bisnis Mahasiswa Environmental Pollution Journal Idarah Tarbawiyah: Journal of Management in Islamic Education EDUSTUDENT: Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan dan Pembelajaran Kandang : Jurnal Peternakan Jurnal Sains Informatika Terapan (JSIT) Jurnal Teknik Mesin Sinergi Journal of Comprehensive Science PENDALAS: Jurnal Penelitian Tindakan Kelas dan Pengabdian Masyarakat Governors Jurnal Keperawatan Universitas Jambi EJOIN : Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Euclid Makkareso : Riset Pengabdian Masyarakat Parameter: Jurnal Matematika, Statistika dan Terapannya Indonesian Journal of Islamic Law (IJIL) AL-UKHWAH Jurnal Kebijakan Pembangunan Daerah (JKPD) Jurnal Keperawatan Universitas Jambi Ekonomipedia: Jurnal Ekonomi Manajemen dan Bisnis Jurnal Pendidikan Progresif Jurnal Sistem Komputer (SISKOM) Jurnal Gladiator Integrasi: Jurnal Studi Islam dan Humaniora
Muhammad Fajar
Halu Oleo University
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Journal : BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan

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LEE-CARTER MODELING FOR MORTALITY IN INDONESIA WITH A BAYESIAN APPROACH Fajar, Muhammad; Fajariyanto, Eko
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 16 No 4 (2022): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (393.899 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol16iss4pp1241-1248

Abstract

This study aims to model Lee-Carter mortality with a Bayesian approach, where the parameters in the model are assumed to be random variables. The data used in this study is data on mortality rates by age group from the period 1950–2015. The sourced of data was from the UN website. Age groups are categorized by age 0 years, 1-5 years, 6-10 years, 11-15 years, ..., 86-90 years. The results of this study are from Bayes estimation obtained information that the average infant mortality rate (population aged less than one year) is high, then at the age of toddlers (1-4 years) average mortality rate decreases. Furthermore, the average mortality rate for children, adolescents, young and older people has increased again. Meanwhile, the relative speed of the pattern of changes in mortality at infant age (less than one year) is high enough. At the age of toddlers (1 – 4 years), the pattern of changes in mortality has increased. Then, in the population of the next age group until the older age group, the mortality continues to decrease. The pattern of changes in mortality is lowest in the elderly population.
Co-Authors Abdul Husain, Muhammad Abdul Rachman Abdullah, Ramadhani Afriyanti, Desi Ahmad Luviadi Akhiriyanto, Khafid alfira, alfira Andrew Andrew, Andrew Andung Dwi Haryanto Anggraini, Nabila Ardo, Okilanda Arizal Eka Putra Armada, Ari Astuti, Putri Widiya Atmaja, Sigit Tri Azzahra, Bela Barkah, Lia Basorudin, Muhammad Bastoni, Bastoni Burhanurobbi, Irsyad Chairil Ichsan , Andi Clausthaldi, Fadhil Rizki dila, farra Dillena, Kennith G.C. Faizah, NM Fajariyanto, Eko Fauyan, Muchamad Fauziah, Tiara Dilla Fazri AR, M. Rizal Fitri Dian Perwitasari Fitri, Anisa Fratama Putra, Gimel Gunawan, Muhammad Isral Hajriani, Meilisa Halomoan, Abdul Hardi, Rudi Herfia Rhomadhona Herman Nauwir Hermanzoni, Hermanzoni Hidayat, Kurnia Hudatwi, Mu'alimah Irawan, Yeyen Gustina Iriana, Nona ISLAMUL HADI Ismawati Ismawati Isra Thristy IZZAH, NURUL Jannah, Eneng Raudatul Jirana M , Nurul Juli Sardi Juliandra, Galih Juliandri Juliandri Kamil, Muflichan Karo Karo, Panser Kartika, Linda Khairul Anwar Hafizd, Khairul Anwar Khairunnisa, Nanda Kustini, Rini Lubis, Apdi M. Rusydi Alwi M. Shoim Anwar, M. Shoim M. Sholihin M.Rizkal Fajri Manalu, Okto Dewi Sartika Manurung, Wahyudi Mardela, Romi Mardiah Astuti Mariska, Okky Mawansa, Akri Mayang Sari Mu'affan, Muhammad Muhlisin, M Nelvia Iryani Nisa, Nachdiatun Nofirda, Fitri Ayu Noviar, Noviar Nugroho, Anggi Septia Nur Azizah Nur Khaerah, Nur Nurfadly, Nurfadly Nurjannah Nurjannah Nurwandi, Rhefky Al Jihad Nuryaman, Nuryaman OKTARIA, RINA RINA Pangkung, Andreas Parwati, Tri Ayu Pinindriya, Sinung Tirtha Putra, Muhammad Amril Pratama Qawly, Hafiz Iftitah Rachmad, Sri Hartini Rahmadita, Nurmalia Rahmati, Pramita Dwi Ramadhan, Puji Sari Ramadhan, Rian Ramaiyulis, Ramaiyulis Rici, Suchi Avita Rif’iyati, Dian Risma Apdeni Robbani, Hamdan Thufail RR. Ella Evrita Hestiandari Said, Awayundu Salvia Salvia Santoso, Ismawardi Septiana, Elyza Setiono, Michael Alvin Shintarahayu, Balqis Shofariyani, Shobah Siahaan, Muhammad Donni Lesmana Soemaryanto, Arifin Rasyadi Suhaila Husna Samosir Suparintina, Lucie Suri, Puti Andam Suryana, Icha Suryati Suryati Sya'ban, Muhammad Fuad Syahfitri, Dian Syahputra Mahmud, Surya Syahputra, Afit Syahputri, Astri Syarifuddin, T. Syubhan Annur, Syubhan Tanjung, Nanda Umroh Umroh Vira Noviana, Karisma Wibisono, Okki Navarone Wulandari, Meisy Yenita . Yuliana Sari