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All Journal Dinamik Bulletin of Electrical Engineering and Informatics Jurnal Simantec Proceedings Konferensi Nasional Sistem dan Informatika (KNS&I) INTEKNA SMATIKA JOIV : International Journal on Informatics Visualization Sinkron : Jurnal dan Penelitian Teknik Informatika Jurnal RESTI (Rekayasa Sistem dan Teknologi Informasi) JOURNAL OF APPLIED INFORMATICS AND COMPUTING SELAPARANG: Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Berkemajuan JURNAL PENDIDIKAN TAMBUSAI Jurnal Nasional Komputasi dan Teknologi Informasi CSRID (Computer Science Research and Its Development Journal) Jurnal Tekno Kompak Seminar Nasional Teknologi Informasi Komunikasi dan Administrasi [SEMINASTIKA] Pencerah Publik Jurnal Informasi dan Teknologi Journal of Applied Engineering and Technological Science (JAETS) JTIULM (Jurnal Teknologi Informasi Universitas Lambung Mangkurat) Jurnal Sains Komputer dan Teknologi Informasi Journal of Engineering, Technology, and Applied Science (JETAS) Jurnal Peduli Masyarakat JURNAL PENDIDIKAN, SAINS DAN TEKNOLOGI Tematik : Jurnal Teknologi Informasi Komunikasi Journal of Computer Networks, Architecture and High Performance Computing Jumat Informatika: Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Majalah Ilmiah UPI YPTK Jurnal Ilmiah Multimedia & Komunikasi TIERS Information Technology Journal Jurnal Informatika Dan Tekonologi Komputer (JITEK) Jurnal Forum Kesehatan : Media Publikasi Kesehatan Ilmiah Dinamika Kesehatan: Jurnal Kebidanan dan Keperawatan Journal of Pharmaceutical Care and Sciences Sinergi International Journal of Communication Sciences Adpebi Science Series Politeia : Journal of Public Administration and Political Science and International Relations INSTALL: Information System and Technology Journal Midwifery And Complementary Care
Mambang
Universitas Sari Mulia
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Innovation in Crop Nutrition Planning Based on Rainfall Prediction Using Singular Spectrum Analysis and Boosting to Optimize Agricultural Management Yuslena Sari; Mambang Mambang; Muhammad Zulfadhilah; Subhan Panji Cipta; Muhammad Nursandi; Finki Dona Marleny; Ricardus Anggi Pramunendar; Sunardi Sunardi; Eka Setya Wijaya; Aurelia Monica Sari; Muhammad Alkaff
Journal of Applied Engineering and Technological Science (JAETS) Vol. 7 No. 2 (2026): Journal of Applied Engineering and Technological Science (JAETS)
Publisher : Yayasan Riset dan Pengembangan Intelektual (YRPI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37385/z3mgdv08

Abstract

The high variability of rainfall in tropical climates presents a major challenge for agricultural management, as weather uncertainty often leads to inefficient fertilization practices due to nutrient loss. This study aims to develop a robust framework for rainfall prediction, which can inform a flexible and precise crop nutrient scheduling system. Utilizing an hourly rainfall dataset (n=6,624) obtained from IoT sensors, the research proposes an approach that integrates Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) for signal decomposition and noise reduction with Gradient Boosting algorithms (LightGBM and XGBoost). Spline interpolation was employed to handle missing data, while SSA served to disentangle deterministic trends from random noise, enabling the models to perform more effectively on the refined dataset. Empirical evaluation demonstrates that the SSA-XGBoost hybrid model achieves superior performance, with an RMSE of 0.0057 and an R² of 0.8278, significantly outperforming the SSA-LightGBM model (R² 0.2879), which struggled to capture non-linear patterns within this dataset. The high predictive accuracy of the SSA-XGBoost model facilitates the implementation of responsive nutrient management strategies, wherein fertilizer application can be deferred during forecasted periods of high rainfall to prevent runoff and environmental pollution. This research contributes to the field of hydroinformatics by demonstrating the effectiveness of combining SSA and XGBoost as a cost-efficient yet high-performance solution for mitigating climate-related risks in tropical wetland agriculture.
Co-Authors Abdul Kadir Adini, Muhammad Hifdzi Ahmad Hidayat Ahmad Hidayat Ahmad Riki Renaldi Ahmad Riki Renaldy Akhmad Baddrudin Amelia, Mahlianor Anggrita Sari Anggrita Sari Antonia Yenitia Ari Yunus Hendrawan Aulia Fitri, Aulia Aurelia Monica Sari Ayu Ahadi Ningrum Bambang Lareno, Bambang Bayu Nugraha Bayu Nugraha Bie, Kalistowen Bima Wicaksono Cipta, Subhan Panji Daud, Excel Dixky Dixky Dwi Salmarini, Desilestia Fatimah, Nora Ova Putri Martiani Febriani, Wulandari Finki Dona Marleny Finki Dona Marleny Fitriansyah, Muhammad Haldi Budiman Haniffah Sri Rinjani Hati Waruwu, Riang Heni Pujiastuti Hudatul Aulia Husna Karima Ika Hariati Ika Hariati Ika Hariati Ika Hariati, Ika Hariati Indah Tri Handayani Indah Wulandari Jaya Hari Santoso Johan Wahyudi Johan Wahyudi, Johan Kamarudin Kartika Kartika Kunti Nastiti Liliana Swastina M Samsul Hasbi M Samsul Hasmi Maria Ulfah Maulida, Ihdalhubbi Maulida, Nur Meilianti Melda Melda Melda, Melda Meyska Widyandini Miranda Miranda Mohammad Basit, Mohammad Muhammad Alkaff Muhammad Khairul Akbar Muhammad Nursandi Muhammad Riduan Syafi’i Muhammad Satrio Ayuba Muhammad Zaini Bakri Muhammad Ziki Elfirman Muhammad Zulfadhilah Mukhaimy Gazali Muliawan, dadang Mutiara R, Chatrine Indri Mutmainah Mutmainah Mutmainah Mutmainah Nahdi Saubari Nalo Valentino Naparin, Husni Nisa, Reny Ayu Nor Azizah Novita Sari Novriansyah, Irvan Nur Hafiz Ansari Nur Meilianti Maulida Nurhaeni Nurhaeni Nurhaeni Nurhaeni Nurhasanah Nurhasanah Oktavia, Samita Oktovin, Oktovin Pasaribu, Annisa Pebrianti, Eva Wulani Prasetya, M. Riko Anshori Prastya, Septyan Eka Pratama, Ramadhani Noor Putri Putri Putri Putri, Putri Rafi'i, Rafi'i Rahmini Rahmini Ramli, Muhammad Reza Ricardus Anggi Pramunendar Risdianti, Risdianti Risma Maulida Risma Risma Rismawati Rismawati Rizkian Muhammad Fikri Rochman, Wisnu Nur Ropikah Ropikah Ropikah, Ropikah Rudy Ansari Rudy Ansari Rudy Ansari, Rudy Rusidah, Rusidah Sabella, Billy Sabrila, Trifebi Shina Samita, Mambang Sandro Nesta Pembriano Sari, Anggrita Sa’adah Septyan Eka Prasetya Septyan Eka Prastya Septyan Eka Prastya Siti Gadis Hardianti Subhan Panji Cipta Subhan Panji Cipta Subhan Panji Cipta Suliana, I Made Sultan Arrasyid SUMARNI ZAINUDDIN Sunardi, Ph.D., Sunardi Syapotro, Usman Tasya Salsabila Theresia Kurniati Seran Tiara, Astia Rahma Tumanggor, Agustina Hotma Uli Wahyudin, Rahmawati Wijaya, Eka Setya Winda Astria Nuansa Saputri Windarsyah Windarsyah Wulandari Febriani Wulandari Febriani Yanti Saubari Yanti Saubari Yuslena Sari, Yuslena