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LR-GLASSO Method for Solving Multiple Explanatory Variables of the Village Development Index Yunus, M.; Soleh, Agus M; Saefuddin, Asep; Erfiani
Jurnal RESTI (Rekayasa Sistem dan Teknologi Informasi) Vol 8 No 2 (2024): April 2024
Publisher : Ikatan Ahli Informatika Indonesia (IAII)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29207/resti.v8i2.5656

Abstract

Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are developments that maintain sustainable improvement in society’s economic, social, and environmental welfare. Kemendes PDTT RI has issued the Village Development Index (VDI) to provide information and the status of village progress to support village development to improve the National SDGS. Modeling with multiple explanatory variables causes a high correlation between explanatory variables, multicollinearity, and coefficient estimation results, which have a large variance and overfitting in the prediction results. The modeling solution uses LASSO and GLASSO. The binary categorical response data use binary logistic regression (LR), so LR-LASSO and LR-GLASSO are used. North Maluku Province has a VDI ranking that tends to fall in 2018-2022. On the basis of the mean and variance of the coefficient estimation results and misclassification errors, LR-GLASSO is better than LR-LASSO and LR. LR-GLASSO is recommended for analyzing VDI data because it has many explanatory variables and the correlation between them is relatively high. The Indonesian government recommendation, if it is to increase the status of VDI in Indonesia, especially in the north Maluku province, is to increase the number of electricity users, food and beverage stores, and other cooperatives. The Indonesian government also needs to pay attention to villages relatively far from the regent's office, between food and beverage stalls, and supporting health centers, because they still need to be developed compared to other villages, and more than 50% of the villages are underdeveloped. If the Village SDGs are formulated by increasing the VDI status, it will support the achievement of the SDGs goals nationally.
Comparison of Ordinary Kriging and Cokriging for Spatial Estimation Based on Simulated Data Mutiah, Siti; Aldi, Muhammad Nur; Saefuddin, Asep; Ernawati, Fitrah
CAUCHY: Jurnal Matematika Murni dan Aplikasi Vol 10, No 2 (2025): CAUCHY: JURNAL MATEMATIKA MURNI DAN APLIKASI
Publisher : Mathematics Department, Universitas Islam Negeri Maulana Malik Ibrahim Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18860/cauchy.v10i2.33409

Abstract

This study compares the performance of Ordinary Kriging (OK) and Cokriging (CK) methods in spatial estimation based on simulated data. Twelve scenarios are arranged based on a combination of sample size (50, 250, 500) and correlation levels between variables (ρ=0.1, 0.6, 0.9), with each scenario repeated 30 times. Spatial data are generated randomly within the geographical boundaries of Indonesia, variables are generated based on spherical variograms with nugget or sill or  dan range or ,, and model evaluation is carried out using Leave-One-Out Cross Validation (LOOCV) with RMSE and  metrics. The results show that Cokriging consistently produces more accurate estimates than Ordinary Kriging in all scenarios. In the best configuration (CK, n=500), RMSE = 1.04 and  = 0.945 were obtained, while the best performance of OK only reached RMSE = 1.06 and  = 0.873. All levels of correlation in Cokriging showed good performance, especially when the amount of data is sufficient. Therefore, Cokriging is recommended as a superior spatial interpolation method in the context of multivariate and spatial data, especially when relevant secondary information is available.
Ketahanan Ekonomi Nasional Masa dan Pasca Covid-19 Melalui Penguatan UMKM Indonesia: (National Economic Resilience During and Post-Covid-19 Through Strengthening Indonesian MSMEs) Arman Arman; Ni Nyoman Sawitri; Asep Saefuddin
e-Journal Ekonomi Bisnis dan Akuntansi Vol. 10 No. 2 (2023): e-JEBA Volume 10 Number 2 Year 2023
Publisher : UPT Penerbitan Universitas Jember

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.19184/ejeba.v10i2.43344

Abstract

The Coronavirus disease-19 (Covid-19) crisis has an impact on the economic performance of Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) at local and national levels. MSME actors are trying to survive the crisis through business efficiency and the national economic rescue program (PEN). This paper aims to (1) examine the resilience of MSMEs against a wave of crisis (2) the right policy formula to strengthen the competitiveness of MSMEs. This research uses descriptive qualitative method using secondary data. The data is sourced from the Ministry of Small and Medium Enterprises Cooperatives, Bank Indonesia (BI), the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), the National Planning and Development Agency (Bappenas), national and international scientific journals and media sources. Slowly, the condition of MSMEs began to rise from the Covid-19 crisis through the PEN program policy which ran in September-December 2020, economic growth was better in the fourth quarter of 2020 by -2.19 percent (yoy), better than the growth in the third quarter 2020 by -3.49 percent (yoy). The distribution of the PEN program for MSMEs was successful and effective in maintaining the resilience of MSMEs from the Covid-19 crisis. The government needs to maintain economic momentum, through the synergy of MSMEs with State-Owned Enterprises (BUMN), digitalization and the MSME global supply chain as well as increasing the PEN budget for MSMEs. On the other hand, the government still has a tough task to cut logistics costs which are still relatively high when compared to several ASEAN countries.
ANALISIS SISTEM INFORMASI STMIK IKMI CIREBON MENGGUNAKAN WEBQUALITY (WEBQUAL) Saefuddin, Asep; Suprapti, Tati; Wijaya, Yudhistira Arie
MEANS (Media Informasi Analisa dan Sistem) Volume 8 Nomor 1
Publisher : LPPM UNIKA Santo Thomas Medan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.54367/means.v8i1.2502

Abstract

This study focuses on the quality of STMIK IKMI Cirebon's website, which serves as an information system for the campus. The website provides information on various aspects of the school and can significantly impact user satisfaction. The study aims to measure the website's quality based on user perceptions using Webqual, a technique that measures usability, information, and interaction quality. The results can help improve the information system of the website and provide data on its quality. The study highlights the importance of website quality and user satisfaction, and the usefulness of Webqual as a tool for measuring website quality and improving user experience. By prioritizing website quality and user satisfaction, organizations can create more effective and efficient information systems that meet users' needs
Peran Ombudsman sebagai Moderator Kelembagaan Pemberdaya Modal Sosial Masyarakat ., Suhartono; Hubeis, Musa; Saefuddin, Asep; Affandi, Joko
Jurnal Aplikasi Manajemen Vol. 13 No. 1 (2015)
Publisher : Universitas Brawijaya, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21776/

Abstract

Ombudsman surveillance with additional unique role as of dispute handler, when it proceeds with isomorphism process within the school institutionalism, they will potentially raise positive relationships between schools and parents, and also the community at large. Based on new institutionalism literatures and organizational and sociological theorie,sthis study argues that several behavioral phenomenon imperically exist at every isomorphism process, i.e: initiation for diffusion, adoption of diffusion, partnership for adaptive governance, legitimacy endorsement, and being sustainability committed. This study aims to assess changes of those schools behavioral phenomenon, following the standardized socializations held by the Ombudsman of the Republik Indonesia (ORI). A survey was administratedto teachers and parents at 13 public elementary schools in five districs within Jakarta Metropolitan Area. Factor analysis, t-tests, ANOVAs and MRA were used. It revealed that ORI initiatives can somewhat subdue school bureaucracies, unfortunately it was also limitedly able to empower schools behavioral adoption and commitments. These findings imply thatORI initiatives can limitedly empowering schools in sustaining social capital, with specific handicaps hampering at every phase of isomorphism. What makes ORI initiatives less effective are being dicussed by exploring qualitative information emanated from in-depth interviews.
A COMPARISON OF COX PROPORTIONAL HAZARD AND RANDOM SURVIVAL FOREST MODELS IN PREDICTING CHURN OF THE TELECOMMUNICATION INDUSTRY CUSTOMER Nurhaliza, Sitti; Sadik, Kusman; Saefuddin, Asep
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 16 No 4 (2022): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (398.623 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol16iss4pp1433-1440

Abstract

The Cox Proportional hazard model is a popular method to analyze right-censored survival data. This method is efficient to use if the proportional hazard assumption is fulfilled. This method does not provide an accurate conclusion if these assumptions are not fulfilled. The new innovative method with a non-parametric approach is now developing to predict the time until an event occurs based on machine learning techniques that can solve the limitation of CPH. The method is Random Survival Forest, which analyzes right-censored survival data without regard to any assumptions. This paper aims to compare the predictive quality of the two methods using the C-index value in predicting right-censored survival data on churn data of the telecommunication industry customers with 2P packages consisting of Internet and TV, which are taken from all customer databases in the Jabodetabek area. The results show that the median value of the C-index of the RSF model is 0.769, greater than the median C-index value of the CPH model of 0.689. So the prediction quality of the RSF model is better than the CPH model in predicting the churn of the telecommunications industry customer.
BICLUSTERING APPLICATION IN INDONESIAN ECONOMIC AND PANDEMIC VULNERABILITY Ningsih, Wiwik Andriyani Lestari; Sumertajaya, I Made; Saefuddin, Asep
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 16 No 4 (2022): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (997.792 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol16iss4pp1453-1464

Abstract

Biclustering is an analytical tool to group data from two dimensions simultaneously. The analysis was first introduced by Hartigan (1972) and applied by Cheng and Church (2000) to the gene expression matrix. The Cheng and Church (CC) algorithm is a popular biclustering algorithm and has been widely applied outside the field of biological data in recent years. This algorithm application in economic and Covid-19 pandemic vulnerability cases is exciting and essential to do in order to get an overview of the spatial pattern and characteristics of the bicluster of economic and COVID-19 pandemic vulnerability in Indonesia. This study uses secondary data from some ministries. Forming a bicluster using the CC algorithm requires determining the delta threshold so that several types of delta thresholds are formed to choose the best (optimum) using the evaluation of the average value of mean square residue (MSR) to volume ratios. The similarity of the optimum bi-cluster with the other is also seen based on the Liu and Wang index values. The 0.01 delta threshold is chosen as the optimum threshold because it produces the smallest average value of MSR to volume ratios (0.00032). Based on Liu and Wang Index values, the optimum threshold has a similarity level below 50% with other types of delta thresholds, so the threshold is the best unique threshold. The optimum threshold resulted in six biclusters (six spatial patterns). Most regions in Indonesia (11 provinces) tend to have low economic and COVID-19 pandemic vulnerability in the first spatial pattern characteristic variables.
A STUDY OF SMALL AREA ESTIMATION TO MEASURE MULTIDIMENSIONAL POVERTY WITH MIXED MODEL POISSON, ZIP, AND ZINB Adwendi, Satria June; Saefuddin, Asep; Susetyo, Budi
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 17 No 1 (2023): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (450.446 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol17iss1pp0439-0448

Abstract

The research began with calculating the value of multidimensional poverty at the district level in West Java Province from SUSENAS 2021. The calculation of multidimensional poverty was based on individuals in each district or city household. The dimensional weights are weighed the same, and the indicators in the dimensions are also weighed the same. Furthermore, the simulation study used the Poisson, ZIP, and ZINB mixed models to examine the model's performance on data with cases of excess zero values and overdispersion. The simulation was by generating data without overdispersion and with overdispersion. Overdispersion data was generated with parameters of ω (0.1, 0.3, 0.5, and 0.7), and the model was evaluated from the AIC value. The best method in the simulation study was used to estimate multidimensional poverty in sub-districts in West Java Province using PODES 2021. Simulation studies on data without overdispersion showed no difference in the model's goodness. Overdispersion data shows Mixed Model ZIP and ZINB are better than Mixed Model Poisson. The percentage of the multidimensional poverty population at the sub-district level in West Java Province is quite diverse, from 0.04% to 75.54%.
Bayesian Spatial BYM CAR Model for Estimating the Relative Risk of Dengue Hemmorhagic Fever in Bandung Ananda Shafira; Asep Saefuddin; Kusman Sadik
Journal of Mathematics, Computations and Statistics Vol. 8 No. 2 (2025): Volume 08 Nomor 02 (Oktober 2025)
Publisher : Jurusan Matematika FMIPA UNM

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35580/jmathcos.v8i2.9272

Abstract

Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF) is an endemic disease whose transmission is influenced by spatial and environmental factors, including population density, altitude, household sanitation, and clean and healthy living behaviors. In 2022, the city of Bandung reported a high incidence of DHF cases, highlighting the need for spatial modeling to capture interdependencies among geographic regions. This study aims to examine the impact of different parameter settings in hyperprior distributions on the Besag-York-Mollie conditional autoregressive (BYM CAR) model, estimate the relative risk (RR) of DHF, and map district-level risk to support the identification of priority areas for targeted prevention. The BYM CAR model was employed within a Bayesian framework, and the posterior distributions were obtained using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) with the Gibbs sampling algorithm. Five hyperprior scenarios based on the Inverse-Gamma distribution were compared to evaluate their influence on model performance. The results show that hyperprior selection substantially affects model outcomes, with the best model obtained when the prior for the structured spatial component was specified as Inverse-Gamma(0.1, 0.1), and the unstructured spatial component as Inverse-Gamma(1, 0.01). Gedebage, Arcamanik, and Rancasari districts were identifies as high-risk areas, while Babakan Ciparay and Bandung Kulon exhibited the lowest RR estimates. This spatial risk mapping offers insights for policymakers in formulating more targeted and efficient DHF prevention strategies.
APPLICATION OF THE COKRIGING METHOD TO ESTIMATE IRON DEFICIENCY PREVALENCE BASED ON FERRITIN AND C-REACTIVE PROTEIN Mutiah, Siti; Aidi, Muhammad Nur; Saefuddin, Asep; Ernawati, Fitrah
Media Penelitian dan Pengembangan Kesehatan Vol. 35 No. 3 (2025): MEDIA PENELITIAN DAN PENGEMBANGAN KESEHATAN
Publisher : Poltekkes Kemenkes Bandung

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34011/jmp2k.v35i3.3167

Abstract

Analisis data spasial memiliki peranan penting dalam bidang kesehatan, khususnya ketika distribusi masalah kesehatan tidak merata di seluruh wilayah. Salah satunya adalah metode Cokriging, yang diterapkan untuk memprediksi prevalensi di daerah yang belum teramati, sekaligus mengatasi tantangan ketidaklengkapan data spasial akibat keterbatasan biaya, sumber daya, atau akses ke lokasi tertentu. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengestimasi prevalensi kekurangan zat besi di Indonesia menggunakan metode Cokriging. Sebagai analisis lanjut dari data Riset Kesehatan Dasar (Riskesdas) 2018, penelitian ini menggunakan data dari 15.045 individu yang memiliki informasi kadar ferritin dan C-Reactive Protein (CRP), yang tersebar di 154 kabupaten/kota di empat pulau: Sumatera, Jawa, Kalimantan, dan Sulawesi. Ferritin digunakan sebagai variabel utama, sementara CRP sebagai variabel sekunder. Evaluasi model dilakukan dengan Leave-One-Out-Cross-Validation (LOOCV), dan akurasi model diukur menggunakan Mean Error (ME) dan Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan prevalensi kekurangan zat besi bervariasi signifikan antar wilayah. Kabupaten Batang dan Minahasa Selatan teridentifikasi dalam kategori "tidak ada masalah kesehatan". Selain itu 274 kabupaten/kota di Indonesia berada pada kategori prevalensi ringan, seperti Kabupaten Berau, Gunung Mas, dan Bangkayang, sementara 132 kabupaten/kota tercatat dengan prevalensi sedang seperti Kabupaten Sidenreng Rappang, Tapanuli Tengah, dan Sukoharjo. Kabupaten Pare-pare terdeteksi pada prevalensi tinggi (≥40%), tingginya prevalensi di wilayah ini perlu dicermati lebih lanjut karena kemungkinan disebabkan oleh jumlah sampel yang sangat sedikit. Temuan ini menunjukkan bahwa sebagian besar kabupaten/kota di Indonesia tergolong dalam kategori prevalensi ringan hingga sedang. Gambaran ini dapat menjadi dasar penting dalam merancang kebijakan kesehatan terkait penanggulangan kekurangan zat besi di Indonesia.
Co-Authors . Marzuki . Sutriyati Achmad ACHMAD . Achmad Ramzy Tadjoedin adwendi, satria june Agus M Soleh Agus Mohamad Soleh Agustifa Zea Tazliqoh Ahmad A. Mattjik Ahmad Ansori Mattjik Aji H. Wigena Aji Hamim Wigena Aldi, Muhammad Nur Alif Supandi Alinda F. M. Zain Alkahfi, Cahya Ananda Shafira Anang Kurnia Andres Purmalino Ani Suryani Anik Djuraidah Arief Daryanto Arista Marlince Tamonob Arman Arman Arman Arman Arman Arman Arnita Arnita Azagi, Ilham Alifa Bagus Sartono Bambang Indriyanto Basita Ginting Budhi Purwandaya, Budhi Budi Marwoto Budi Susetyo Bunasor Sanim Cece Sumantri Chalid Talib Citra Jaya Daowen Zhang Dede Dirgahayu Domiri Dede Dirgahayu Domiri, Dede Dirgahayu Dewi Juliah Ratnaningsih Diah Krisnatuti Dian Handayani Dian Kusumaningrum Dian Kusumaningrum, Doni Suhartono Dudung Darusman Eka Intan Kumala Putri Embay Rohaeti Eminita, Viarti Enny Kristiani Enny Kristiani Erfiani Erfiani Erfiani Eri Purnomohadi Etih Sudarnika Etty Riani Euis Sunarti Eva Z Yusuf Fatah Sulaiman Fitrah Ernawati Frisca Rizki Ananda Fulazzaky, Tahira H. R. Eddie Gurnadi HAJRIAL ASWIDINNOOR Hanny Nurlatifah Harapin Hafid H. Hardiansyah . Hardinsyah Hari Wijayanto Hartoyo, harry Hasnataeni, Yunia Hendra Prasetya Hengki Muradi Heny Suwarsinah Hermanto Siregar Hidayat Syarief Hilman Dwi Anggana Husaini . I Made Sumertajaya I Wayan Mangku Ida Mariati Hutabarat Indahwati Itasia Dina Sulvianti Jajang Jajang Jodi Vanden Eng Joko Affandi Joko Affandi JOKO SUTRISNO Joko Sutrisno Khairil Anwar Notodiputro Kristiani, Enny Kusman Sadik Lia Budimulyati Salman Lia Ratih Kusuma Dewi Lilik Noor Yuliati Lismayani Usman Lukmanul Hakim Lukmanul Hakim M. Yunus M. Yunus Maghfiroh, Firda Aulia Mangara Tambunan Margono Slamet Marimin , Marimin Marimin Marizsa Herlina Marliati . Marliati Marliati Mirnawati Sudarwanto Muggy David Cristian Ginzel Muhammad Nur Aidi Muradi, Hengki Musa Hubeis mutiah, siti Ni Nyoman Sawitri Nimmi Zulbainarni Ningsih, Wiwik Andriyani Lestari Ninuk Purnaningsih Nirawita Untari Nunung Nuryartono Nuramaliyah, Nuramaliyah Nurlatifah, Hanny Nurul Hidayati Nusar Hajarisman Pang S. Asngari Pien Budiyanto Prabowo Tjitropranoto Pradina, Fathia Anggriani Priyadi Kardono Purnomohadi, Eri R. Ruswandi Rahmadi Sunoko Rahmadi Sunoko Ratna Megawangi Rimun Wibowo Ristu Haiban Hirzi, Ristu Rita Kusriastuti Rizal Syarief Rizal Syarief Rizka Rahmaida Ronny Rachman Noor Rudy Priyanto S. Damanhur, Didin SANTUN R.P. SITORUS Santun R.P. Sitorus Sarah Putri Sarsidi Sastrosumarjo Sausan Nisrina Setiadi Djohar Setiawan Setiawan Siti Sundari Sitti Nurhaliza Sjafri Mangkuprawira Sjafri Mangkuprawira Soedijanto Padmowihardjo Soekirman Soekirman Soetrisno Hadi Sony Sunaryo Sri Yusnita Burhan Suhartono . Suhartono . Sumardjo Sumarjo Gatot Irianto Sumartono Sumartono Sutarman Sutarman . Suwarsinah, Heny Syafri Mangkuprawira Syafri Mangkuprawira Syarifah Iis Aisyah TADJOEDIN, ACHMAD RAMZY Tagor Alamsyah Harahap Talib, Chalid Tati Rajati Tati Suprapti Tiyas Yulita triguna, gunadi Ujang Sumarwan Umi Cahyaningsih Upik Kesumawati Hadi Utami Dyah Syafitri Wahida Ainun Mumtaza William A. Hawley Wiwik Andriyani Lestari Ningsih Yani Nurhadryani Yekti Widyaningsih Yenni Angraini Yudhistira Arie Wijaya Yuni Ros Bangun Yusuf, Eva Z Zinggara hidayat