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Achmad Ridwan, Achmad
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Journal : Journal of Education and Computer Applications

 1 
Predict Students' Dropout and Academic Success with XGBoost Ridwan, Achmad; Priyatno, Arif Mudi; Ningsih, Lidya
Journal of Education and Computer Applications Vol. 1 No. 2 (2024)
Publisher : Institute Of Advanced Knowledge and Science

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.69693/jeca.v1i2.13

Abstract

The attrition rate of students in higher education is a worldwide issue that profoundly affects both individuals and institutions. Students who fail to complete their studies often encounter economic and social difficulties, while educational institutions suffer a deterioration in reputation and operational efficacy. This paper proposes the creation of a prediction model utilizing the XGBoost algorithm to assess students' academic progress and dropout risk. The model incorporates several elements, such as academic, demographic, and socio-economic, to yield comprehensive insights into students' educational trends. This research utilizes the Predict Students' Dropout and Academic Success dataset, comprising 4,424 data points and 36 attributes. The data underwent normalization via StandardScaler and was divided into five scenarios for training and testing, ranging from a 50:50 to a 90:10 split. The evaluation of the model was conducted utilizing accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-Score criteria. The findings indicate that the model attains peak performance in the 80:20 scenario, exhibiting 88% precision and an 81% F1-Score, signifying an ideal equilibrium between predictive accuracy and risk identification capability. This study demonstrates that XGBoost can serve as a dependable predictive instrument to aid decision-making in the education sector. These findings establish a foundation for formulating targeted interventions aimed at enhancing student retention. Subsequent study may investigate the use of real-time data and sophisticated models to enhance predictive accuracy.
Co-Authors Abdillah, Nur Achmad Ridwan Afriadi, Bambang Agung Prabowo Agung Prihandono Agung, Eka Adnan Ahmad Arif Ahmad, Nurul Qomariyah Ahmad, Saiful Aman, Syahrial Andika, Andika Prasetya Andy Wahyu Hermanto, Andy Wahyu Anita Nur Lely, Anita Nur Annisa, Cindy Ermintia Arif Mudi Priyatno Arlinwibowo, Janu Astika Tafrikul Khafidhoh, Astika Tafrikul Athiy Dina Rosihana Athoillah, Mohamad Anton Awaluddin Tjalla Barkah, Eka Budi Gunawan Cahyani, Septia Dwi Cikita Berlian Hakim Darmiyanti, Waskitarini Delima Sitanggang, Delima Desi, Desi Handayani Diana Laily Fithri Eko Widodo Fadilah, Astri Fajar Nugraha Febri Dwi Anto, Febri Dwi Firmansyah, Nunung Agus GHAZI PRATAMA, TAFTAZANI Ghufrooni, Rifqi Ginting, Riski Titian Hana, Fida Maisa Hanifiyah, Izzatu Al Heri Pramono Putro, Heri Pramono Himayati, Ade Ima Afifa HS, Christnatalis Ibnu Salman, Ibnu Iva Sarifah Josua, Dian Pertiwi Jovianto, Andrean Jubaedah, Dedah Jubaedah, Lilis Judijanto, Loso Junirianto, Eko Komarudin Komarudin Kuncoro, Ignasius Dwi Kurniadewi, Fera Lanasari, Rossy Legiran Legiran Lenny, Lenny Libriansyah Ludmilla, Rafika Madewi, Astuti Manday, Dhanny Rukmana Maricar, Hudzaifah Muhammad Mastura, Mastura Merrydian, Siska Miharja, Muhammad Najamuddin Dwi Muadzah, Muadzah Muhammad Najamuddin Dwi Miharja Muktiningsi, Muktiningsi Muktiningsih Nurjayadi N. Nurjanah Nadia Dwi Irmadiani Narulita, Lisa Nasution, Edwin Sugesti Ningsih, Lidya Nugraheni, Ariyanti Sri Nurcahya, Fikri NURHIDAYATI, SAFITRI Nuridayanti, Nuridayanti Octiva, Cut Susan Othman, M.A. Perangin Angin, Despaleri Pratama, Taftazani Ghazi Pratiwi, Cindya Yunita Pribadi, Januar Puspitaningtyas, Dyah Ayu Raihanah, Dinnah Ramadhan, Fitri Nur Ramadhan, M. Irfan Rini, Indah Mustika Riyadi Riyadi Rizky Maulana, Rizky Rochmad Winarso Rohima , Azizah Aulia Rully Astri Hildayati Sabilla, Zahara Sam Saputra, Vernanda Saputra, Vernanda Sam Setiadi, Sandi Siregar, Saut Dohot Siti Azizah Sri Mulyani Sudarmoyo, Dhadhang Tri Sugeng Priyanto, Sugeng Suharjono, Suharjono Suprapto Suprapto Susanti, Diah Ayu Susilo, Ahmad Dwi Tengku Riza Zarzani N Togar Timoteus Gultom Trihadi Prasetya, Trihadi Ully Muzakir Utami, Eli Violyn, Violyn Wahyu Budiarto, Balla Wahyu Sri Astutik Wardani Rahayu Wawan Saputra Wella, Wella Aulia Putri Widyadi, Elvan Dwi Wijaya, Dedy Achmat Yennimar, Yennimar Yoga Tri Nugraha Yuli Rahmawati Yunida, Helvy Yunita Nita Yunus Mustaqim, Yunus Yusmaniar Yusmaniar Yuyun dwi astutik, Yuyun dwi