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The Analysis of the Impact of Debt on the Indonesian Economy for the Period 1976-2021: : Comparative Study between Budget Regimes Dedi Junaedi; Muhammad Rizal Arsyad; Efrita Norman; Arman Paramahsyah
ManBiz: Journal of Management and Business Vol. 1 No. 1 (2022): ManBiz: Journal of Management and Business
Publisher : Institut Agama Islam Nasional Laa Roiba Bogor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47467/manbiz.v1i1.1

Abstract

Foreign debt has an important and inseparable role in the history of Indonesia's national development. The government has changed seven times, foreign debt is always present to fill the development budget deficit. Debt is expected to help move the wheels of the economy, create growth, create jobs, and alleviate poverty. This study aims to analyze the effect of debt, budget, inflation and differences in government regimes on the Indonesian economy (GDP and Income per Capita) in Indonesia for the 1976-2021 period. The study uses secondary data obtained from Bank Indonesia, the National Development Planning Agency (Bappenas), the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), the World Bank, and other reference sources such as books, journals and scientific papers. The data used are the value of foreign debt, APBN, national income (GDP), population, inflation rate, and government regime in the period 1976 - 2021. The results of multiple regression analysis with dummy variables (using the Eviews 10 application program) show the following results: Foreign debt and APBN have a correlation with the condition of the national economy, especially the value of GDP. Debt and the state budget tend to increase the value of GDP. In terms of debt management as a driver of economic growth, the Suharto Era (New Order) tended to be better than the eras that followed. However, relatively speaking, the Habibe and SBY eras tended to be better than the Megawati era, the Abdurahman Wahid era, and the Jokowi era. In fact, Jokowi's era is no better than previous eras. Keywords: Budget, Inflation, GDP, Indonesian Economy
Co-Authors Abdul Rahman Saleh Adi Ali Fikri, Romadlon Agus Ruswandi Alamsyah, Prayudi Juni Amalia, Rika Sri Aman Aman Anisa Nur Lathifa Ari Abdul Kohar Rahmatullah Arifin, Bambang Samsul Arifin, Bambang Syamsu Ariyanti , Jeny Mellysa Arman Paramahsyah Arman Paramansyah Arsyad, M. Rizal Arsyad, Muhammad Rizal ArsyadArsyad, Muhammad Rizal Asror, Moh Assagaf, Idrus Assagaf, Indrus Azizatul Fitriyah Azrilia, Siti Budiono Budiono Desi Nur Fadilah Dian Rahmawati Efrita Norman Eka Safitri Elly Zumailah Enung Nurhayati, Enung Evi Novita Evinovita Evinovita Faisal Salistia Fathuloh, Fathuloh Fikri, M. Chairil Firmansyah, Ahmad Fitri Mardatillah Fuad Zainuri Hadi, Sholikul Hasan Basri Haspada, Deny Hendaryan, Dudi Hermaliana, Mia Hermansyah Hermansyah Hermawan, Ludi Huda, Nurul Idrus Assagaf Ike Anita, Ike Ilma Rahima Imas Rosidawati Wiradirja Immanuel, Ericsson Irianto, S. Gatot Irwan, Sendrika Devis Iskandar, Nandang Ita, Nofrita Jusdijachlan, R Kamaludin, Tam-Tam Khosy Alfin Maulana Komarudin M. Rizal Arsyad Mahmud Mahmud Maulana, Ihsan Moch. Sholeh, Moch. Moh. Romli Muhammad Ansyari Tantawi Muhammad Hidayat Tullah Muhammad Raihan Muhammad Rizal Arsyad Muhammad Rizal Arsyad Muhammadong Mujahid, Muhammad Fathan Murtafiah, Fifih Nashrullah, Nashrullah Noval, Rahmat Nur Wulan Anggraini Nurul Fauzia, Azni Nurul Huda Nurwenda, Mirna Permana, Yandi Dwi Putra, Sandy Pratama Putri, Sardiani Qiqi Yuliati Zaqiah, Qiqi Yuliati Qomaruzzaman, Bambang Ramadan, Pariz Ramdhany, Deny M. Ranti Wiliasih Ratri Istania REZA PAHLEVI Ridwan, S Rima Irmayanti, Rima Riyanto Riyanto ROMLI, MOH Rostandi, Usep Dedi Rukanda, Nandang Ruzakki, Hasan S. Gatot Irianto Sa’diah, Titin Sahliah Sahliah Sahliah, Sahliah Salistia, Faisal Salwa Aini Febrianti Sa’diah, Titin Sa’diyah, Titin Siti Fatimah Siti Hajar Siti Khoiriyah SITI MARIAM Sitorus, Gerald Yohanes Somantri, Fikri indriana Sopian sopian Sukarna Sukarna Supriyatna, Rio Kartika Tamtam Kamaluddin, Tamtam Tia Rahmiati Titin Sa’diah Uus Ruswandi Wijaya, Siska Putri Yuliati Zaqiah, Qiqi Zumailah, Elly Zumaillah, Eli