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Fitrawaty
Faculty Of Economic State University Of Medan
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Journal : economic development analysis journal

 1 
Keterkaitan Instrumen Kebijakan Moneter dengan Tingkat Pengangguran Fitrawaty Fitrawaty
Economics Development Analysis Journal Vol 7 No 4 (2018): Economics Development Analysis Journal
Publisher : Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/edaj.v7i4.25101

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis bagaimana interdependensi instrument kebijakan moneter dengan pengangguran di Indonesia selama periode tahun 2000 – 2011. Data yang digunakan adalah data time series yang diperoleh dari Bank Indonesia, Biro Pusat Statistik dan institusi lainnya. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode Vector Auturegression (VAR) dilanjutkan dengan Struktural Vector Auturegression (SVAR). Berdasarkan hasil interpretasi VAR dan SVAR, secara khusus diperoleh bahwa keterkaitan antara instrumen moneter dengan pengangguran (UNEMP) memiliki arah yang berbeda. Variabel operasi pasar terbuka (OPT), tingkat suku bunga diskonto (rDiskonto), dan tingkat bunga domestik (rDom), mempunyai arah yang negatif terhadap variabel pengangguran, sedangkan variabel giro wajib minimum (GWM), nilai tukar (EXC) mempunyai arah yang positif. Keseluruahan instrumen moneter secara parsial berpengaruh tidak signifikan terhadap UNEMP. Begitu juga setelah dilakukan shock dengan menaikkan OPT sebesar 5% pada tahun 2010, diperoleh bahwa variabel OPT, GWM, rDiskonto, rDOM, EXC, juga tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap pengangguran. This study is intended to analyze the correlation of monetary policy instruments with unemployment in Indonesia during the period 2000 - 2011. The data used are time series data obtained from Bank of Indonesia, the Central Statistics Bureau and other institutions. This study uses Vector Auto regression (VAR) method followed by Structural Vector Auto regression (SVAR). Based on the results of the interpretation of VAR and SVAR, it was found that the relationship between monetary instruments with unemployment (UNEMP) had different directions. Open market operations variable (OMO), discounted interest rates variable(discount), and domestic interest rates variable (FDOM), have a negative correlation to the unemployment variable, while the statutory reserve requirement (GWM), exchange rate (EXC) variables have a positive correlation. The partiality of monetary instruments has no significant effect on UNEMP. Likewise, after the shock of increasing OPT by 5% in 2010, it was found that the OMO variable, GWM, discount, FDOM, and EXC, also had no significant effects on unemployment.
Co-Authors A.A. Ketut Agung Cahyawan W Agnes Anggreni Tamba Agnes Monica Sianipar Agni Anggita Br Ginting Ainul Mardhiyah, Ainul Ainun, Putri Akmal Huda Nasution, Akmal Huda Alawi Parlindungan Hasibuan Albi Sutandi Alfis Aldera Aliska Putri Simatupang Alkhafi Maas Siregar Ananda Fazhira Ananta, Dimas Angelica Sinaga Angga Ryan Syahputra Anggun Paulina Manik Anggun Sibarani Annisa Dina Maisarah HSB Annisa Putri, Dian Apriyansyah Siregar, Fahmi Armaini Rambe Arwansyah Arwansyah Arwansyah Arwansyah Arwansyah Arwansyah Arwansyah Auensyah Marbun Awaluddin Siahaan Axdel Septina Sagala Badty Silaen Bona Vintura Suyana Pandiangan Brigita Zai Chelsya Olyza Malau Christin Natasya Br Surbakti Christy, Nathania Cindy Lumbantoruan Claudia, Emilia Ruth Cornelia Aginta Br Sembiring Danny Ajar Baskoro DEDE RUSLAN Dede Ruslan Dedy Husrizal Syah, Dedy Husrizal Deo Demonta Panggabean Dian Eka Zahra Dian Petrishia Tambunan Diani, Salma Dodi Hutapea Dwi Anggriani Efraim Sinaga Eko Wahyu Nugrahadi Endah Sekar Rini Enjel Widia Sari Gea Ester Mei Zaskia Eza Syahbana Fadhillah Rahmi Fahrurrozy Fahrurrozy Faisal Rahman Dongoran Faisyal Hartawan Isma Febri Sartika Siagian Felix Simangunsong Fidia Wati Fildzah Zaira Br Hsb Fitri Aprilliana Fitri Rahmadana Gamal Kartono Gilbert Septian Taruli Silitonga Gulo, Marinus Friderikus Haloho, Sinta Marito Hasibuan, Ali Sandy Heniwati Gulo Herbert Sipahutar Hottarida Sinaga Husrizalsyah, Dedi Hutasoit, Rohana Hutasuhut, Saidun Ian Saragih Ignasya Hutabarat Indra Maipita Indra Maipita Indra Maipita Indra Maipita Indra Maipita Irfandi Irfandi, Irfandi Irham Ramadhani Isni Maulida jelita purba Jessika Angelina Sitorus Jihan Salsabilla Jogi Situmorang Jonathan Brando Saragi Khairani Alawiyah Khairani Alawiyah Matondang Khalish Khairina Krisentia Angelina Napitu Krista Bella Sihombing Kristin Margaretha Simarmata Larissa Saragih Lia Salsabila Lisbet Saulintia Sitanggang Lubis, Eliza Handayani M Hamdani M. Fitri Rahmadana M. Fitri Rahmadana M. Nur Akarim Malem Ateta Br. Purba Marbun, Auensyah Maulana, Gilang Maulana, Juanda Mawar Lestari Hutagaol Maya Oktora Maya Sentia Anjelika Tampubolon Maya Wulandari Melisa Patrisia Manurung Modesta Buaton Muhammad Abdi, Muhammad Muhammad Fitri Rahmadana Muhammad Fitri Ramadhana Muhammad Iqbal Mohar Harahap Muhammad Yusuf Muhammar Syafii Mukti Hamjah Harahap, Mukti Hamjah Mutia Annisa Nadia Enjel Lina Silalahi nadia vega Nakita Nakita Nandita Olivia Natasya Nasra Sinulingga, Sam Deva Natalia Tan Natasya Natasya Nathania Christy Nazrah Anggraini Nelson Tarigan Nopra Purba Ogin Syaputra Sinaga Olive Katrina Joyanka Sihombing Olivia Kristin Lumban Gaol Panggabean, Yemima Fetriati Br Pangihutan Syafriansyah Pasaribu Pintor Simamora Pranata, Ilham Pujaliantari Sinaga Putri Sari M J Silaban Putri Sari M J Silaban Putri Sari M.J. Silaban Putri Sari Margareth Julianty Silaban Putri Silaban Rahel Veronika Rahmadana, Muhammad Fitri Rahmansyah Harum Rahmi, Siti Naila Ranti Delima Tobing Respa Sirait Reza Ramadhana Rina Rina Riris Hotma Roito Manalu Riyani Tarigan Roma Uli Maria Br Situmeang Rona Hinirim Sagala, Axdel Septina Samuel Manullang Samuel Revaldo Jeverson Siboro Sarah Bakara Selsi Lubis Sembiring, Winny Agustin Setyo Tri Wahyudi Shabilla Aisyah Shasyabilla Umaya Nasution Siahaan, Tegar Efraim G Siburian, Keisia Br Sihite , Yastri Dwinarti Sihombing, Runggu Silaban, Putri Sari M. J. Simanjuntak, Rosalina Ronaulika Simanjuntak, Yosua Simanungkalit, Jelita Sinaga , Rosenta Febri Mutiara Sinaga, Hottarida Sinaga, Pujaliantari Sinta Marito Haloho Sinuhaji, Gina Virginatha Sinurat, Arin Acha Uliarta Sinurat, Dian Icha Uliarta Sirnulingga, Karya Sitanggang, Melda F. Siti Ramsyah Aini Sonita Putri Natalia Sri Rahayu Stefani Br Tarigan Tamba, Jekonia Tan, Natalia Tazliyah, Tazliyah Thahara, Safira Tiara Sianturi Tio Nardo Gulo Tobing, Grace Tifanny Br Togi Martua Damanik Tri Puspita Rahmawati Tri Rahayu Uswatul Akmalia Vania Ailsa Nabilah Vega, Nadia Wandira Anzani Wawan Hermawan Wawan Hermawan Widya Sinaga Widya Utari Widya Utari Winny Agustin Br Sembiring winsyahputra Ritonga Yanti Masryana Sianturi Yemima Fetriati Br Panggabean Yoga Alfrido Purba Yogi Radika Yuda Lubis Yohana Feby Yul Ifda Tanjung Yuliana Sari Angkat