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All Journal EKOMBIS REVIEW: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Bisnis Jurnal PENA : Penelitian dan Penalaran JURNAL MANAJEMEN Journal of Economic, Bussines and Accounting (COSTING) BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Journal of Economic, Management, Accounting and Technology (JEMATech) Jurnal Samudra Ekonomi dan Bisnis Jambura Nursing Journal Jurnal Onoma: Pendidikan, Bahasa, dan Sastra Variance : Journal of Statistics and Its Applications InPrime: Indonesian Journal Of Pure And Applied Mathematics Jurnal Inovasi Pendidikan dan Sains Jurnal Ilmu Manajemen Universitas Tadulako (JIMUT) Jurnal Ilmiah ASET Amsir Law Jurnal (ALJ) Lumbung Inovasi: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Absorbent Mind MATHunesa: Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika Healthy Tadulako Journal (Jurnal Kesehatan Tadulako) Jurnal Cakrawala Ilmiah Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Dasar (JIPDAS) Pattimura International Journal of Mathematics (PIJMath) Jurnal Ilmiah MEA (Manajemen, Ekonomi, dan Akuntansi) Jurnal Indonesia Sosial Teknologi Jurnal Riset Mahasiswa Matematika AACENDIKIA: Journal of Nursing Innovative: Journal Of Social Science Research Seminar Nasional Hasil Penelitian LP2M UNM Sammajiva: Jurnal Penelitian Bisnis dan Manajemen Jurnal Inovasi Bisnis Indonesia (JIBI) GEMBIRA (Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat) Indonesian Journal of Community Empowerment Indonesian Journal of Mathematics and Applications RETORIKA : Jurnal Kajian Komunikasi dan Penyiaran Islam Journal of Mathematics, Computation and Statistics (JMATHCOS) Mammiri: Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Journal of Community Service Journal of Muhammadiyah’s Application Technology Jurnal Ad'ministrare: Jurnal Pemikirian Ilmiah dan Pendidikan Administrasi Perkantoran Indonesian Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics
Asriadi Asriadi
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Journal : Pattimura International Journal of Mathematics (PIJMath)

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Wind Speed Category Characteristics in Bone Bolango Regency: A Markov Chain Approach Using the Beaufort Scale and Metropolis-Hastings Algorithm Pomahiya, Saiful; Nurwan, Nurwan; Yahya, Nisky Imansyah; Nasib, Salmun K.; Hasan, Isran K.; Asriadi, Asriadi
Pattimura International Journal of Mathematics (PIJMath) Vol 3 No 2 (2024): Pattimura International Journal of Mathematics (PIJMath)
Publisher : Pattimura University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/pijmathvol3iss2pp63-68

Abstract

This study models daily wind speed transitions in the Bone Bolango Regency using the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method and the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, employing the Beaufort scale for wind speed classification. The research aims to predict the steady-state distribution of wind speeds and evaluate their temporal stability. Daily wind speed data from 2023, provided by the Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (BMKG), were categorized into three levels: calm, light breeze, and fresh breeze, based on the Beaufort scale. Transition probabilities were estimated using the Beta distribution, and simulations via the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm yielded the steady-state distribution. Results show a significant tendency for transitions from calm and light breeze categories to fresh breezes, with varying probabilities. Notably, calm conditions exhibit a 69% likelihood of transitioning to a light breeze. This research contributes to improving wind speed prediction models by integrating statistical algorithms with meteorological classifications. The findings have implications for enhancing short-term weather forecasts and developing predictive systems for regions with similar weather patterns.
Co-Authors A. Amin, Siti Fuadillah Abdul Hafid Abdul Haliq Abdul Rahman Djamaluddin Abdullah, Ashari Abubakar, Agung Sucipto Agusyarif Rezka Nuha Al Idrus, Ainun Sukmawati Amir, Rahma Melati Andrianys, Irma Anisah Armayani Arsal Asis Nojeng Aslan Abidin, Aslan Aswandi, Syawal Brahim, Annisa Maharani Cendana, Amanda Puspa Damayanti, Elok Daniel Happy Putra Darman Darman Dewi Rahmawaty Isa Djihad Wungguli Elimawaty Rombe Faridah Faridah Fera Fera Firdaus Firdaus Gina Andyka Hutasoit Habibah, Ummu - Hamid, Abd. Haris Handar Subhandi Bakhtiar Hasan S. Panigoro Hawirah Hesti Evrianti Ikhsan Sukaria, Muhammad Imran, Nurain Indah Puspasari Kiay Demak Indryani, Rahmah IRA NURIYA SANTI Irma Satriani, Irma Irsan, Mohammad Irsan, Mohammad Irwan Ridwan Rahim Ismail Djakaria Isran K Hasan Jamaluddin Jamaluddin Jannah, nurjannah Kaharuddin, Nur Wildah Kai, Ferawati Khasanah, Uswatul La Ode Nashar Ladong, Fadhilah S. Laiya, Gusti Hari Fajar Lamuda, Zulfatra Mahyudin Mahyudin Mardi Mardi Mardi Mardi Marsuki, Andika Marukai, Nur Amalia Maskuri Sutomo Masse, Syukri Meggi Indrianinangsih Muallim Muallim MUH. YUNUS KASIM, MUH. YUNUS KASIM Muhammad Arham Muhammad Rifai Katili Muhammad Syarif, Muhammad Muis, Yuyun Ramadhani Munasia , Hamisah Muslimin Muslimin Muslimin Muslimin Musran, Andi Mustawa, Mustawa Mutmainna, Mutmainna Muzakir NISKY IMANSYAH YAHYA Ni’amah, Miftaku Normalia, Normalia Nur, Muhammad Awal NURDIN, DJAYANI Nurfadila Nurfadila, Nurfadila Nurfadilla, Nurfadilla Nurrahmah Nurrahmah, Nurrahmah Nursalim Nursalim Nurwan, Nurwan Pomahiya, Saiful Ponirin Ponirin, Ponirin Prabawanti, Kd. Jessika Pricylia Chintya Dewi Buntuang Rahma Rahma Rauf, Dewi Nur Angriani Resmawan Resmawan Rifni, Andi Risnawati Risnawati Risnawati Risnawati Rizkiani Iskandar Sahabuddin Latif Saharuddin Salmun K. Nasib Santi, Ira Nurya Sarnia, Wawaa Sastria, Andi Shabir, Achmad Siar Nimah Sigit Mulyono Sinta Pusvita Sari Siti Nurmardia Abdussamad Siyono, Siyono Sriwanti Sriwanti Sudarto , Sudarto Sudarto Sudarto Sudirman Sudirman Sukaria, Muhammad Ikhsan Sulaiman, Abdullah Sumarno Ismail Surayya Surayya Surayya, Surayya Suriati, Suriati Suryadi Hadi Suwandi N Syamsiar, Syamsiar Syamsul Bachri Syamsul Bahri Dg. Parani Tambaru, Rachman Tediy Adrian Hermansyah Tri Ramadhani Ulopo, Asrul S Vitayanti Fattah Wahyudi, R.Firdaus Wahyuningsih Wahyuningsih Wanti, Sri Wiri Wirastuti Yuliana Yuliana Yumi, Sri Yunus, Andi Muhammad Yusri, Andi Zakiyah Zahara