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Grey Wolf Optimizer-Neural Network Model for Indonesia Electricity Demand Prediction: Multi-Scenario Analysis and Performance Evaluation 2026-2034 Sofyan, Sofyan; Usman, Usman; Achmad, Alamsyah; Hadi Sirad, Mochammad Apriyadi; Fudholi, Ahmad; Sapari, Norazliani MD
PROtek : Jurnal Ilmiah Teknik Elektro Vol 12, No 3 (2025): Protek : Jurnal Ilmiah Teknik Elektro
Publisher : Program Studi Teknik Elektro Universitas Khairun

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33387/protk.v12i3.10398

Abstract

Indonesia's rapid economic development and energy transition goals necessitate accurate long-term electricity demand forecasting to ensure supply security while optimizing infrastructure investments. This study addresses critical gaps in existing forecasting methodologies by developing a hybrid Grey Wolf Optimizer-Neural Network (GWO-NN) model specifically designed for emerging economy characteristics. While recent deep learning approaches (LSTM, CNN-LSTM) show promise for short-term forecasting, they often fail in long-term predictions due to limited adaptability to economic volatility and infrastructure constraints typical in developing nations. Our GWO-NN framework overcomes these limitations through intelligent hyperparameter optimization and multi-scenario modeling that captures Indonesia's unique socio-economic dynamics. The model incorporates 15 years of historical data (2010-2025) across seven key variables: GDP growth, population dynamics, temperature variations, industrial activity, urbanization rates, energy efficiency, and electrification progress. Rigorous validation against PLN's official projections reveals superior performance: Conservative scenario achieves exceptional 3.9% average absolute difference, Moderate scenario 19.0%, demonstrating significant improvement over traditional ARIMA models (35% error) and recent CNN-LSTM approaches (25% error). The 2034 demand projections range from 377.0 TWh (Conservative) to 546.1 TWh (Optimistic), providing policymakers with robust planning envelopes. This research contributes methodologically through hybrid metaheuristic optimization and practically through evidence-based planning support for Indonesia's renewable energy transition and carbon neutrality targets by 2060.
Oxygen/sulphur self-doped tunnel-like porous carbon from yellow bamboo for advanced supercapacitor applications Taer, Erman; Yanti, Novi; Putri, Rahma Lia; Apriwandi, Apriwandi; Martin, Awaludin; Julnaidi, Julnaidi; Chitraningrum, Nidya; Fudholi, Ahmad; Taslim, Rika
International Journal of Power Electronics and Drive Systems (IJPEDS) Vol 16, No 3: September 2025
Publisher : Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.11591/ijpeds.v16.i3.pp2030-2042

Abstract

The 3D hierarchical pore structure with tunnel-like pores is essential to the performance of porous activated carbon (AC) materials used in symmetric supercapacitors. This study aimed to effect of adding (0.3, 0.5, and 0.7) M KOH reagent and heat treatment on the formation of 3D porous, tunnel-like AC derived from yellow bamboo (YB) through N2-CO2 pyrolysis at 850 °C. The AC produced had a high concentration of nanopores, becoming a valuable storage medium with favorable physical-electrochemical properties. The results showed that 0.5-YBAC had the best physical and electrochemical properties, with a carbon purity, 89.16%, micro crystallinity of 7.374 Å, and excellent amorphous porosity. Furthermore, 3D hierarchical pore structure, enriched naturally occurring heteroatoms, dopant of oxygen (10.14%) and sulfur (0.10%). A maximum surface area of 421.99 m² g⁻¹, along with a dominant combination of micro-mesopores. The electrochemical performance test of the 0.5-YBAC electrode showed a Csp of 214 F g⁻¹, with Esp 24.7 Wh kg⁻¹ and Psp 19.2 W kg⁻¹. In conclusion, this study showed the potential of YB stems to enhance the development of supercapacitors, offering superior porosity characteristics for efficient energy storage applications.
Co-Authors - Andasuryani Abrar Ridwan Abu Bakarr Momodu Bangura Achmad, Alamsyah Adnan Ibrahim Agus Junaedi Agus Risdiyanto Agus Risdiyanto Ahmad Fazlizan Abdullah Ahmad Rajani Ahmad Rajani Ahmad Rajani Ahmad, Nasarudin Ahmed Mohamed Omer Abdulmula Ahyar Ahmad Amanda Halim Amiral Aziz Andri Joko Purwanto Andri Setiawan Anjar Susatyo Anjar Susatyo Ant. Ardath Kristi Ant. Ardath Kristi Anwar Anwar Anwar Muqorobin Apriwandi . Ari Pani Desvina Ari Pani Desvina Arief Sudarmaji Arief Wisaksono Arifin, Muhammad Subhan Asep Rachmat, Asep Awaludin Martin Azizatun Nikmah, Nur Sani Bahtiar Bahtiar Bahtiar, Bahtiar Bambang Susanto Bambang, Muhammad Refo Bangura, Abu Bakarr Momodu Budi Prawara Budi Prawara Burhanuddin, Fachrurrazi Chan Hoy Yen Cheku Nurul Aisyah Chitraningrum, Nidya Cintopa Satria Adepradana Cipta Endyana Dalila Mat Said Dalmasius Ganjar Subagio Damawidjaya Biksono Damayanti, Isniwana Darussalam, Rudi David Setiawan Desy Kartina Devita Utami Mardiani Dewi Jannati, Eidelwei Dian Andriani Erie Martides Erman Taer Erwin Susanto Faisal Mahfud Fazleena Musthafa, Mariyam Fikri Nur Rohman Fitrotun Aliyah Galih R, Sayid Ghalya Pikra Goh Li Jin Hadi Sirad, Mochammad Apriyadi Hajar Mawaddah Hanny Hafiar Hardani, H Harjono P. Santosa Harningsih Karim Hartono Hartono Hartono Hartono Haryadi Haryadi Hasna Rifdah Khairunnisa Hasnah Natsir Hazim Moria Haznan Abimanyu Haznan Abimanyu Hendri Maja Saputra Herawati Budiastuti Hernimawati Hernimawati Heru Prasetyo Husam Abdulrasool Hasan Indah Raya Intan Noviantari Manyoe Irfandi, Rizal Irfansyah, Ade Ishak, Iskandar Shah Ismail, Kamarulafizam Isniwana Damayanti Ivan Taslim Izza Anshory Jalal Assadeg Jamaaluddin Jayawarsa, A.A. Ketut Julnaidi, Julnaidi Junaedi, Agus Kadek Heri Sanjaya Kamaruzzaman Sopian Kamaruzzaman Sopian Kamaruzzaman Sopian Kamaruzzaman Sopian Kamaruzzaman Sopian Khairiah, Khairiah Kholidil Amin Komarudin, Udin Koswara, Engkos Koto, Arthur Gani Kristi, Ant. Ardath Lady Silk Moonlight Lalu Ahmad Didik Meiliyadi Lalu Darmawan Bakti, Lalu Darmawan Lia Afriyanti Nasution Lim Chin Haw M. Khadafi Somwong Majid Khan Bin Majahar Ali Majid Khan Bin Majahar Ali Majid Khan Majahar Ali Mardiansah, Fajril Mariyam Fazleena Musthafa Mariyam Fazleena Musthafa Mat Said, Dalila Merita Ayu Indrianti Moch. Rifai Mohammad Hossein Yazdi Mohd Awang Kechik Mohd Hafidz Ruslan Mohd Hafidz Ruslan Mohd Hafidz Ruslan Mohd Yusof Othman Mohd-Zawawi, Fazila Mohd. Tahir Ismail Muh. Wahyudi Muhammad Zohri Muhammad Zohri Muhammad Zohri Muhammad Zohri Muhammad Zohri Muhammad Zohri Muhammad Zohri, Muhammad Muhammad Zurhalki Mukhtar Mukhtar Mulianti Muslizainun Mustapha Mustaji Mustaji, Mustaji Mustapha, Muslizainun Nasarudin Ahmad Naseem Akhtar Nilofar Asim Nira Aulia Hanifah Nofialdi, Nofialdi Noorden, Zulkarnain Ahmad Novi Yanti Noviadi A. Rachman Noviadi Arief Rachman Novita Vindri Harini Nugroho, Muhammad Very Nur Farhana Mohd Razali Nur Farhana Mohd Razali Nurato Nurato Nurul Shahirah Binti Rukman Nurul Shahirah Binti Rukman Nurul Shahirah Binti Rukman Nurul Shahirah Rukman Nurul Syakirah Nazri PERDANA PUTERA Pierre Damien Uwitije Pola Risma Prakoso, Aji Putro Prastawa, Andhika Prastowo , Ari Agung Putri Adia Utari Putri, Rahma Lia Putu Yudhistira Budhi Setiawan Radiansah, Yadi Rahmadeni Rahmadeni Rajani, Ahmad Rakhmad Indra Pramana RD Kusumanto Rezavidi, Arya Ridho Hantoro Ridho Hantoro Ridwan Abdurrahman Ridwan Arief Subekti Ridwan Arief Subekti Ridwan Arief Subekti Ridwan Arief Subekti rifa'i, Muhammad Rifai, Moch. Rika Taslim Rudi Darussalam Rusdianasari Rusdianasari Rusdianasari Rusdianasari Rusman Rusman Sa'adah, Nila Saefudin, Deny Bayu Sakuraba, Takahiro Saleem H. Zaidi Santi Santi Santosa Santosa Sapari, Norazliani MD Saprizal Hadisaputra Sastra Kusuma Wijaya Satibi Satibi Setiyo Setiyo Sevia Mahdaliza Idrus Sofyan Sofyan Sohif Mat Sohrab Mirsaeidi Soleh, Asep Muhamad Sopian, Kamaruzzaman Sri Aulia Novita Sri Aulia Novita Stephen Phillips Subagyo Subagyo Subakir Salnus Sudibyo, Henny sudirman palaloi sudrajat sudrajat Suhanto, Suhanto Sukarwoto Surya Dailiati Susatyo, Anjar Syamsul Kurniawan Tinton Dwi Atmaja Tinton Dwi Atmaja Tinton Dwi Atmaja Tresna Dewi Tri Suyono Uce Lestari Uce Lestari Usman Usman Uwitije, Pierre Damien Wahid, Mazlan Abdul Wahyudi, Muh. Wan Nurlaila Mat Desa Wan Nurlaila Yusra Mat Desa Wirawan Piseno Yasin, Mohd Fairus Mohd Yendra, Rado Yurni Oktarina Yusof Othman, Mohd Yuyun Suprapto Zahira Yaakob Zainal Ahnur Zauhari, Azi Zeki Ahmed Darwish Zulfatri Aini