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Journal : JOURNAL OF SCIENCE AND SOCIAL RESEARCH

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FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI FLUKTUASI HARGA CABAI MERAH DI KECAMATAN X KOTO KABUPATEN TANAH DATAR Andriani, Novrita; Hafizah, Dian; Hasnah, Hasnah
JOURNAL OF SCIENCE AND SOCIAL RESEARCH Vol 9, No 1 (2026): February 2026
Publisher : Smart Education

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.54314/jssr.v9i1.5436

Abstract

Abstract: Fluctuations in red chili prices are an economic problem that impacts farmers' welfare and people's purchasing power in Indonesia. This study aims to analyze the factors influencing red chili price fluctuations in X Koto District, Tanah Datar Regency, with a focus on rainfall, red chili production, and cayenne pepper prices. This study fills a gap in the literature as most previous studies only highlight one factor without examining the interrelationships between variables. The method used is multiple linear regression. The results show that cayenne pepper prices significantly influence red chili prices, while red chili production and rainfall do not. These findings confirm the close relationship between the prices of cayenne pepper and red chili peppers, a factor that has received little attention. The implications of this research are important for formulating more effective and sustainable food price stabilization policies. Practically, farmers can use the results of this study as a basis for production planning, while local governments can design policies to minimize the impact of price fluctuations on both farmers and consumers. Thus, this research contributes to food price management at the local level and can serve as a reference for broader food research and policy in Indonesia. Keywords: price fluctuation, red chili pepper, cayenne pepper, multiple linear regression, food policy Abstrak : Fluktuasi harga cabai merah merupakan masalah ekonomi yang berdampak pada kesejahteraan petani dan daya beli masyarakat di Indonesia. Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis faktor-faktor yang memengaruhi fluktuasi harga cabai merah di Kecamatan X Koto, Kabupaten Tanah Datar, dengan fokus pada curah hujan, produksi cabai merah, dan harga cabai rawit. Penelitian ini mengisi celah literatur karena sebagian besar studi sebelumnya hanya menyoroti satu faktor tanpa melihat keterkaitan antarvariabel. Metode yang digunakan adalah regresi linier berganda. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa harga cabai rawit berpengaruh signifikan terhadap harga cabai merah, sedangkan produksi cabai merah dan curah hujan tidak berpengaruh signifikan. Temuan ini menegaskan adanya hubungan erat antara harga cabai rawit dan cabai merah yang selama ini kurang mendapat perhatian. Implikasi penelitian ini penting bagi perumusan kebijakan stabilisasi harga pangan yang lebih efektif dan berkelanjutan. Secara praktis, petani dapat menggunakan hasil penelitian ini sebagai dasar dalam merencanakan produksi, sementara pemerintah daerah dapat merancang kebijakan untuk meminimalkan dampak fluktuasi harga bagi petani dan konsumen. Dengan demikian, penelitian ini berkontribusi pada pengelolaan harga pangan di tingkat lokal dan dapat menjadi acuan bagi penelitian serta kebijakan pangan yang lebih luas di Indonesia. Kata kunci: fluktuasi harga, cabai merah, cabai rawit, regresi linier berganda, kebijakan pangan
Co-Authors . MARYAM Abdul Halik Abdul Rahman Achmad Noerkhaerin Putra Afina, Nur Ahmad Firman Akmal, Fahril Anargya, Layra Narda Andi Anugrah Apriyana Andi Ircham Hidayat Andini Andini Andriani, Novrita Annas, Jumrana Annur SB, Ince Adzzahra Arisanti, Dewi Asdi Agustar Asniwati Asrial Astuti, Melia Budi Aulia Safitri, Aulia Awaliyah, Rabiyatul Batubara, Aisyah Nur Bilisani, Muhammad Abiyyu Cahyati, Cahyati Carles, Fernandes Cindy paloma Devi Analia, Devi Dian Hafizah, Dian Dirwan Dirwan Elfia Sukma, Elfia Elian Yurika Mengkanna Endrizal Ridwan Ernawati Ernawati Erni Indrawati Fadli Fadli Fajar Fajar Febriani, Afifah Fikri, Fuad Hilmi Fitri, Rika Fitriana, Widya Fitriani, Aidah Frasandy, Rendy Nugraha gani, nurul fadhilah Gani, Nurul Fadillah Guslianto, Guslianto Hadijah Hadijah Hadrayani, Eka Hafiz Rahman Halik, Abd Hamran, Suci Alya Hardianty Askar Helfikri, Helfikri Husnawati Husnawati Ifdal Ifdal Ila Israwaty Ira Wahyuni Syarfi Irzami, M. Ferdy Jum'ah, Jum’ah Juwaidin, Juwaidin Kadar, Kusrini.S. Kasim, Muhammad Firdaus Latief, Fitriani Lilianti, Mita Ayu Lukman Lukman Madianah Maesaroh, Syti Sarah Mafulloh, M. Roy Mahdi Mahdi, Mahdi Maria Erna Kustyawati Martius, Endry Maulida, Ehda Mawaddah, Ilmiati Melati, Risna Melinda Noer Miko, Alfan Mildawati, Titi Muhamad Amin Multhazam, Nur Afifah Thohirah Musdalifah Musdalifah Muslimin, Istyqamah Muthahharah Muthahharah, Muthahharah Nisa, Norhikmatun Nur Ilmi Nur Ilmi Nurfidah, Nurfidah Nurhaedah Nurhaedah Nurhidayah Nurhidayah Nurhidayah Nurhidayah, Nurhidayah Oktavia, Gifa Pribakti, Subhan Purnawijaya, Btari Mariska Putri, Afrianingsih Rahman, Ikhwan Rahmasari, Fany RAHMAT SYAHNI Rahmat, Syahni Rahmawati, Rahmawati Rahmi, Andi Nurul Raisa, Arifa Ramdhani, Moch Yusuf Haidar Ali Rasmawati , Rasmawati Rayandra Asyhar Rika Hariance Rina Febrinova RINI RINI Rini, Dini Sekar Risna Risna, Risna Rosnah, Rosnah Rustiah, Wa Ode Sabrina, Vinni Safarudin, Rizal Salim, Hafsah Santoso, Akhmad Sari, Mya Novita Saridin, Saridin Sasmi, Meli Sastria, Andi Septian, Shandy Septiana, Nyangfah Nisa Shasliani, Shasliani Sirajuddin, Junaedi Sonya Yuliantika, Sonya Sri Wahyuni Sudirman Sudirman Susilawati, Susilawati Sutria, Eny Syaiful . Syarmilah Syarmilah Titin Titin Usman Usman Utami, Ami Sukma Widyanti, Tuty Yonariza Yonariza, Yonariza Yudhistira, Muhammad Keanu Haryo Yulistriani, Yulistriani Yuslia, Defi Yusmarni Yusmarni Zainal Asril