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THE EFFECT OF FOREIGN DEBT, FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT, AND INFLATION ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN 7 ASEAN COUNTRIES FOR THE PERIOD 2012-2020 Yuliana, Shella; Aida, Neli; Ratih Taher, Arivina; Suparta, I Wayan
International Journal of Islamic Education, Research and Multiculturalism (IJIERM) Vol 5 No 2 (2023)
Publisher : The Islamic Education and Multiculturalism Foundation

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47006/ijierm.v5i2.227

Abstract

This study intends to conduct empirical testing related to the effect of foreign debt, foreign direct investment, and inflation on economic growth in 7 ASEAN Countries during the period 2012-2020. The research method uses a quantitative approach with populations using Indonesia, Thailand, the Philippines, Myanmar, Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia. The data analysis technique uses panel data regression with skunder research data type. The results showed that partially foreign debt had a negative and significant effect on economic growth. Meanwhile, foreign direct investment has a positive and significant effect on economic growth. Meanwhile, inflation also has a positive and significant effect on economic growth. However, simultaneously, foreign debt, foreign direct investment, and inflation affected economic growth in 7 ASEAN countries during the 2012-2020 period.
The Influence of Agricultural Exports, High-Technology Exports, Investment, and Regulatory Quality on the Gross Domestic Product of APEC Member Countries Firdaus, Angga Nur; Djayasinga, Marselina; Gunarto, Toto; Suparta, I Wayan; Murwiati, Asih
Eduvest - Journal of Universal Studies Vol. 4 No. 3 (2024): Journal Eduvest - Journal of Universal Studies
Publisher : Green Publisher Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59188/eduvest.v4i3.1088

Abstract

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is one of the macroeconomic indicators that reflects the level of welfare of a country's population. The APEC (Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation) forum has the main goal of promoting economic growth and enhancing prosperity in the Asia-Pacific region. This is done by encouraging and facilitating more open trade and investment in the region. APEC member countries have different export characteristics, namely agricultural exports and high-technology exports. This study analyzes the influence of agricultural exports, high-technology exports, Foreign Direct Investment, and regulatory quality on the Gross Domestic Product of APEC member countries. The research data used are secondary data from the World Bank from 2011 to 2020, analyzed using the Fixed Effect Model approach of panel data regression method using E-Views 12. The results show that simultaneously, agricultural exports, high-technology exports, Foreign Direct Investment, and regulatory quality have a significant influence on the economies of APEC member countries. Partially, high-technology exports and regulatory quality have a positive and significant impact, while agricultural exports and Foreign Direct Investment have a positive but not significant impact on GDP. APEC countries should focus on productivity by harnessing technology and achieving inclusive economies for societal welfare.
PANGAN DI MALUKU UTARA, INDONESIA: KETERSEDIAAN, KETERKAITAN DAN DAMPAK EKONOMI Samiun, Muhammad Zais M; Suparta, I Wayan; Hasnin, Muhammad
Jurnal Riset Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 4 No. 1 (2024): Jurnal Riset Ilmu Ekonomi (JRIE) Edisi April 2024
Publisher : Universitas Pasundan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23969/jrie.v4i1.88

Abstract

The shift in economic structure has implications for food conditions and the food-producing sector, namely the agricultural sector. Therefore, this study aims to obtain a macro picture of food conditions, identify food availability and leading food commodities, and analyse the linkages and impacts of the food-producing sector in the economy. The analysis used descriptive approach, Location Quotient method and Input-Output model. The results of the analysis found that food conditions, especially food availability, experienced a drastic decline along with the decline in the role of the agricultural sector. However, it was identified that North Maluku has the potential for food availability and superior food commodities that can be developed in the form of superior food sweet potatoes, cassava, beans, vegetables and fruits. Furthermore, it is measured that food-producing sub-sectors have a much higher level of forward linkages and dispersion sensitivity, as well as the ability of the food-producing sector to create output multipliers, added value and income for the total economy. Both the food potential and input-output characteristics of the food sector are important measures in growing the food-producing agricultural sector. For this reason, policies that can be recommended through this research are balanced economic sector development models, especially ensuring their linkages with the agricultural sector, such as prioritising the development of the food processing industry sector. In addition, policy and financing support in the form of investment directives in the food sector are indispensable in the process.
Use of SWOT analysis to select feasible businesses as the mainstay business of BUMDes and MSMEs Marselina, Marselina; Prasetyo, Tri Joko; Ciptawaty, Ukhti; Aida, Neli; Suparta, I Wayan
Indonesian Journal of Community Services Cel Vol. 3 No. 1 (2024): Indonesian Journal of Community Services Cel
Publisher : Research and Social Study Institute

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70110/ijcsc.v3i1.59

Abstract

COVID-19 pandemic, which lasted from 2020 to 2022, has affected the global economy. Activity restrictions had hampered the progress of various business sectors. As a result, there was a decline in economic growth globally. There was even an economic contraction of -13.7% in 2020 and many businesses experienced either setbacks or bankruptcies. Indonesia’s government made various recovery efforts, such as business assistance through village-owned enterprises (BUMDes) activities and capital assistance for MSMEs in the form of people’s business credit (Kredit Usaha Rakyat/KUR). Various trainings and assistance were conducted, but these activities focused more on reporting and administration of funds. The establishment of BUMDes mainly aims to improve the villages’ economy. The selection of BUMDes' mainstay business is highly important to realize the smooth running of the business chosen. For this reason, it is necessary to conduct training on how to select of the mainstay business and calculate the feasibility of the business chosen to be developed so that BUMDes and MSME actors can manage and develop their business properly. The selection can use SWOT analysis, namely by analyzing the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats of the potential business options. In this community services activity, BUMDes and MSME training was held in Bogorejo Village, Pesawaran Regency, Lampung Province. The results of SWOT analysis reveal that the feasible business options are digital financial services (BRI-Link), agricultural trading (waserda), and waste collection and waste bank. Waserda business aims to help market the local community's products. Waste management business economically generates small profits, but has long-term positive effects, both environmentally and socially. Meanwhile, tourism park and savings and loan are considered not feasible in the long-term, as these businesses are susceptible to bottlenecks and large losses so that they must be managed very carefully.
How is the Spatial Linkage of Inclusive Economic Development in Java Island? Suparta, I Wayan; Sari, Della Kurnia; Pratama, Ahmad Dhea
Integrated Journal of Business and Economics (IJBE) Vol 7, No 2 (2023): Integrated Journal of Business and Economics
Publisher : Universitas Bangka Belitung

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33019/ijbe.v7i2.704

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the spatial relationship of inclusive economic development between provinces in Java and how the open unemployment rate, inflation and average length of schooling affect the inclusive economic development index. The analysis was carried out using spatial concepts or not by using the value of the inclusive economic development index as the dependent variable and the open unemployment rate, inflation and average length of schooling as independent variables. The analytical methods and tools used in this study include Moran index analysis to see the spatial relationship of inclusive economic development between provinces, and panel data regression analysis to see the effect of the open unemployment rate, inflation and average length of schooling on the inclusive economic development index. . Based on the results of the study, it shows that there is no spatial linkage of inclusive economic development between provinces in Java. The open unemployment rate, inflation and the average length of schooling have a significant effect on the inclusive economic development index.
Ketahanan Pangan di Indonesia Tahun 2014-2021 Fitria Eka Rahma; Arivina Ratih Yulihar; Ukhti Ciptawaty; I Wayan Suparta
BULLET : Jurnal Multidisiplin Ilmu Vol. 2 No. 2 (2023): BULLET : Jurnal Multidisiplin Ilmu
Publisher : CV. Multi Kreasi Media

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of crop area, rice land productivity, and population on food security in Indonesia in 2014-2021. The method and analysis tool used in this study is panel data regression. The dependent variables used are food security and independent variables include crop area, land productivity, and population. The best model obtained is the Fixed Effect Model. The results showed that the area of harvested land and land productivity have a positive and significant effect on food security in Indonesia while the population has a negative and significant effect on food security in Indonesia.
Determinan Kemiskinan Pada Sepuluh Provinsi di Sumatera Tahun 2015-2021 Junior Anggara Putra; Arivina Ratih Yulihar; Ukhti Ciptawaty; I Wayan Suparta
BULLET : Jurnal Multidisiplin Ilmu Vol. 2 No. 2 (2023): BULLET : Jurnal Multidisiplin Ilmu
Publisher : CV. Multi Kreasi Media

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of domestic investment, inflation rate, and life expectancy on poverty levels in ten provinces in Sumatra. The method and analysis tool used in this research is panel data regression. The dependent variable used is the poverty rate in ten provinces on the island of Sumatra and the independent variables include domestic investment, inflation rate and life expectancy. The best model obtained is the Fixed Effect Model. The results showed that domestic investment and life expectancy had a negative and significant effect on the poverty rate in the ten provinces in Sumatra, while the inflation rate had a positive and insignificant effect on the poverty rate in the ten provinces in Sumatra.
GLOBALISASI EKONOMI DAN PENGANGGURAN: STUDI KASUS INDONESIA Setyawan, Ari; Suparta, I Wayan; Aida, Neli
Jurnal Ekonomi Bisnis dan Kewirausahaan Vol 10, No 3 (2021): Jurnal Ekonomi Bisnis dan Kewirausahaan (JEBIK)
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, UNTAN

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (364.806 KB) | DOI: 10.26418/jebik.v10i3.49278

Abstract

ABSTRACTThis study aims to examine the effect of economic globalization on the unemployment rate in Indonesia and the relationship of other macroeconomic variables such as economic growth, inflation rate, and real wage with unemployment. The data used is in the form of annual time series data from 1986 to 2018, whose research results are analyzed using the ARDL method. This study concludes that economic globalization can reduce the unemployment rate in Indonesia in the short term, although in the long term, it increases the unemployment rate. Economic growth and inflation in the short and long term have not been able to reduce the current unemployment rate, while the increase in real wages has reduced the unemployment rate in the short term, although not in the long term. By looking at these results, we need to be wary of economic globalization because economic globalization has a destructive impact in the long term. So that concrete and consistent efforts are needed from the government, the private sector, and other stakeholders so that Indonesia gets the maximum benefit from economic globalization, especially in job creation and reducing unemployment.JEL : B22, E22.Keywords : unemployment, economic globalization, economic growth, inflation, real wages.  ABSTRAKPenelitian ini bertujuan melihat pengaruh tingkat globalisasi ekonomi terhadap tingkat pengangguran di Indonesia serta hubungan variabel makroekonomi lain seperti tingkat pertumbuhan ekonomi, tingkat inflasi dan tingkat upah riil dengan tingkat pengangguran. Data yang dipergunakan berupa data time series tahunan dari periode 1986 hingga 2018 yang hasil penelitiannya dianalisis menggunakan metode ARDL. Kesimpulan penelitian ini yaitu globalisasi ekonomi mampu mengurangi tingkat pengangguran di Indonesia dalam jangka pendek meskipun dalam jangka panjang malah meningkatkan tingkat pengangguran. Pertumbuhan ekonomi dan inflasi baik dalam jangka pendek dan jangka panjangnya belum mampu menurunkan tingkat pengangguran yang ada sedangkan naiknya upah riil mampu menurunkan tingkat pengangguran dalam jangka pendek meskipun tidak dalam jangka panjang. Dengan melihat hasil ini, kita perlu waspada terhadap globalisasi ekonomi karena globalisasi ekonomi ini memiliki dampak buruk dalam jangka panjang sehingga dibutuhkan upaya kongkrit dan konsisten baik dari pemerintah, swasta maupun para stakeholder lain agar Indonesia memperoleh manfaat yang sebesar-besarnya dari globalisasi ekonomi khusunya dalam upaya penciptaan lapangan kerja dan mengurangi pengangguran.
Analisis Peran Foreign Direct Investment, Economic Complexity Index, dan Nilai Tambah Industri Manufaktur terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di 5 Negara ASEAN Suparta, I Wayan; Renaldi, I Made
Jurnal Ekonomika Dan Bisnis (JEBS) Vol. 5 No. 5 (2025): September-Oktober
Publisher : CV. ITTC INDONESIA

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47233/jebs.v5i5.3669

Abstract

Although ASEAN is known as a region with dynamic economic growth, significant disparities remain between countries in creating sustainable added value. Some countries, like Singapore, have successfully achieved economic transformation toward developed nation status, while others remain stuck in the middle-income category. This phenomenon raises questions about the role of external factors such as foreign direct investment (FDI) and structural factors like economic complexity (Economic Complexity Index/ECI) and industrial value added (Manufacturing Value Added/MVA) in driving economic growth in the ASEAN region. This study aims to analyze the influence of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Economic Complexity Index (ECI), and Industrial Value Added (MVA) on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in five ASEAN countries, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, the Philippines, and Singapore during the period 2017–2023. This study uses panel data obtained from the World Bank and Growth Lab. Data analysis was performed using EViews 9 software using a panel data regression approach. Model testing included the Chow and Hausman tests to determine the best model, and the results indicated that the Common Effects Model (CEM) was the most appropriate model for use in this study. The results show that FDI and MVA have a positive effect on Gross Domestic Product (GDP), indicating that increased foreign direct investment and a strengthening of the manufacturing sector play a significant role in driving national economic growth in the ASEAN region. Conversely, the ECI variable shows a negative effect on GDP, reflecting that increasing economic complexity has not yet fully yielded positive impacts due to imbalances between industrial structure, human resource capacity, and domestic innovation capabilities. This finding underscores the importance of a balance between strengthening economic complexity, the industrial sector, and improving the quality of human resources in accelerating economic growth in the ASEAN region.
Pengaruh Persentase Orang Bekerja, Inflasi dan IPM Terhadap Indeks Kebahagiaan Pulau Sumatera Suparta, I Wayan; Septian, Wika Ayu
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 12 No 1 (2023): Volume 12 Nomor 1 Tahun 2023
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Lampung

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23960/jep.v12i1.2106

Abstract

Fokus global pada aspek sosial dan pembangunan telah meningkat sebagai akibat dari keterbatasan dalam menggunakan indikator ekonomi untuk menggambarkan kesejahteraan masyarakat secara menyeluruh. Penelitian ini melakukan analisis data panel menggunakan Random Effect Model. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk menemukan faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi kebahagiaan penduduk Pulau Sumatera pada tahun 2014, 2017, dan 2021. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa persentase orang yang bekerja berdampak positif pada indeks kebahagiaan Pulau Sumatera. tetapi negatif oleh inflasi. Selain itu, variabel Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM) di Pulau Sumatera berpengaruhi positif dan signifikan terhadap indeks kebahagiaan. Oleh karena itu, variabel-variabel ini dianggap sebagai penentu indeks kebahagiaan, sehingga untuk meningkatkan kebahagiaan masyarakat di daerah tersebut, pemerintah dapat memperhatikan faktor-faktor yang meningkatkan atau menurunkan nilai masing-masing variabel yang digunakan dalam penelitian.
Co-Authors Aditya, Dhea Nerizza Ahmad Dhea Pratama Ahmad Dhea Pratama Ambya, Ambya Anggun Yustia Arinda T Anisa, Senada Anny Nurbasari Antasa, Muhammad Rizky Arif Darmawan Arivina Ratih Taher Arivina Ratih Yulihar Arivina Ratih Yulihar Taher Arivina Ratih Yulihar Taher Asih Murwiati Aulia, Deswira Besti Lilyana, Besti Budiarty, IDA Ciptawaty, Ukhti Crisnina Handayani DARMANSYAH . Desak Ayu Putu Suciati Desi Wijayanti Devita Sari Dewi, I Gusti Ayu Wulan Krisna Dhea Nerizza Aditya Djayasinga, Marselina Erni Achmad Fadeli Yusuf Afif Fadhilah Ismi Badai Fauzianti, Naufalia Firdaus, Angga Nur Fitria Eka Rahma Gorrety Espinosa S, Yolanda Gunarto, Toto Hanifatuzzahra, Zakia hasnin, muhammad HERU WAHYUDI I Made Renaldi I Nyoman Kanca I Putu Panca Adi Ida Budiarti Julian Junior Anggara Putra Kahlanaila Pahlifi Komang Ardana Latifah, Tiara Mukti lies maria hamzah Lola Oktaviani M Iqbal Harori M. Saputra Marcelina Anggreani Marselina Marselina Mega Mariska Melinda Dwi Erda Wilianti Mifti Anisa Wulansari Moneyzar Usman Moniyana, Resha Muhammad Arif Prastyadi Muhammad Husaini Muhammad Irfan Affandi Muhammad Mufti Hudani Muhammad Zais M. Samiun Mukaromah, Laila Murwiati, Asih Nairobi Nairobi Nairobi Nairobi, Nairobi Nasrullah, Ade Neli Aida Ni Ketut Sri Rahayuni Ni Nengah Rizki Noventy Nindya Eka Sobita Nisa, Cholly Fatun Nouvan, M. Ahadi Nurbety Nurul Hariza Paisal Halim Palupi, Widia Anggi Parti, I Ketut Pratama, Ahmad Dhea Prayudha Ananta Previta Ridha Putri Purwaningsih, Vitriyani Tri Putri, Resha Moniyana Ramlan Siregar Ratih Taher, Arivina Ratih, Arivia Ratih, Arivina Renaldi, I Made Resha Moniyana Putri Rizka Malia Rizka Malia Rizky Apriansyah Sari, Della Kurnia Senada Anisa Septian, Wika Ayu Setyawan, Ari Sony Pramaningtyas Sony Tian Dhora Suparta, I Wayan Darya Sutapa, Ketut Syahrudin Taher, Arivina Ratih Yulihar Tiara Nirmala Toto Gunarto Toto Gunarto Tri Joko Prasetyo Tri Purwaningsih, Vitriyani Triananda, Silva Viola De Yusa Vitriyani Tri Purwaningsih Wayan Ekayana Wibawa, I Gede Sastra Widia Anggi Palupi Wijayanti, Desi Wilianti, Melinda Dwi Erda Yana Qomariana Yanti, Leni Sepri Yoke Moelgini Yuliana, Shella Yusmanda Endah Pangesti Zainul hamzah Zamzami Zamzami Zulfa Emalia Zulfa Emalia