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Analisis Keterkaitan Antar Sektor dan Identifikasi Sektor Unggulan dalam Perekonomian Provinsi Sumatera Barat Menggunakan Pendekatan Input-Output I Wayan Suparta; Chelilla Khalisya Putri; Zahra Syifa Fauziah; Riris Tamaria Simbolon; Naila Salsabila; Nanda Meilania Bardes; Helena Sherin Salsabie
Journal of Innovative and Creativity (Joecy) Vol. 6 No. 2 (2026)
Publisher : Fakultas Ilmu Pendidikan Universitas Pahlawan Tuanku Tambusai

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31004/joecy.v6i2.12002

Abstract

This study analyzes the inter-sectoral linkages and identifies leading sectors in the economy of West Sumatra Province using the Input-Output approach. The three main sectors analyzed are agriculture, manufacturing industry, and construction. Based on the technical coefficient matrix and Leontief inverse, agriculture has the highest backward linkage value of 1.142, followed by construction (0.916) and manufacturing (0.942). In terms of multiplier effects, agriculture also records the highest output multiplier of 1.269 and income multiplier of 0.462. These results indicate that the agricultural sector plays the most strategic role in driving economic activity in West Sumatra, both in terms of inter-sectoral linkages and multiplier effects on output and income. These findings have implications for regional development policy, where investment and development prioritization in the agricultural sector is expected to provide broader economic impacts.
ANALISIS PDRB PROVINSI SUMATERA UTARA: PENDEKATAN LOCATION QUOTIENT, SHIFT SHARE, DAN INDEKS WILLIAMSON PERIODE 2020-2024 Ratu Ayu Thalia Salsabina; I Wayan Suparta; Astrisya Nadine; Amanda Audila; Syavira Aulia Kurniawan; Olivia Andarisca Putri; Ikhsan Bintang Aswangga; Ilham Arvindo
Journal of Innovative and Creativity (Joecy) Vol. 6 No. 2 (2026)
Publisher : Fakultas Ilmu Pendidikan Universitas Pahlawan Tuanku Tambusai

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31004/joecy.v6i2.12246

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to identify the base sectors, analyze sectoral growth, and measure development disparities between regions in North Sumatra Province for the period 2020–2024 using the Location Quotient (LQ), Shift-Share, and Williamson Index approaches. The data is sourced from the North Sumatra Provincial Statistics Agency (BPS). The results of the study confirm that the manufacturing, trade, and real estate sectors are considered base sectors, with LQ values greater than 1. The Shift-Share analysis indicates that sectoral growth is driven primarily by national growth, with the agriculture sector exhibiting the highest local competitiveness. The average Williamson Index is 0.435, indicating a moderate level of inequality that tends to increase, with the largest disparity between Medan City and South Nias Regency. This research recommends accelerating infrastructure development in remote areas, downstreaming of flagship commodities, and increasing investment in underdeveloped regions.
The Influence of Agricultural Exports, High-Technology Exports, Investment, and Regulatory Quality on the Gross Domestic Product of APEC Member Countries Angga Nur Firdaus; Marselina Djayasinga; Toto Gunarto; I Wayan Suparta; Asih Murwiati
Eduvest - Journal of Universal Studies Vol. 4 No. 3 (2024): Journal Eduvest - Journal of Universal Studies
Publisher : Green Publisher Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59188/eduvest.v4i3.1088

Abstract

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is one of the macroeconomic indicators that reflects the level of welfare of a country's population. The APEC (Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation) forum has the main goal of promoting economic growth and enhancing prosperity in the Asia-Pacific region. This is done by encouraging and facilitating more open trade and investment in the region. APEC member countries have different export characteristics, namely agricultural exports and high-technology exports. This study analyzes the influence of agricultural exports, high-technology exports, Foreign Direct Investment, and regulatory quality on the Gross Domestic Product of APEC member countries. The research data used are secondary data from the World Bank from 2011 to 2020, analyzed using the Fixed Effect Model approach of panel data regression method using E-Views 12. The results show that simultaneously, agricultural exports, high-technology exports, Foreign Direct Investment, and regulatory quality have a significant influence on the economies of APEC member countries. Partially, high-technology exports and regulatory quality have a positive and significant impact, while agricultural exports and Foreign Direct Investment have a positive but not significant impact on GDP. APEC countries should focus on productivity by harnessing technology and achieving inclusive economies for societal welfare.
Analisis Sektor Unggulan dan Daya Saing Ekonomi sebagai Pendukung Transformasi Ekonomi Provinsi Jawa Timur Tahun 2020-2024 I Wayan Suparta; Ocha Aulia Azzahra; Elsa Pertiwi; Shabilla Darmayani; Gesica Dwi Anastasya; Dona Junica; Lindi Yana Puspita
ULIL ALBAB : Jurnal Ilmiah Multidisiplin Vol. 5 No. 7: Juni 2026
Publisher : CV. Ulil Albab Corp

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56799/jim.v5i7.18848

Abstract

Provinsi Jawa Timur merupakan salah satu daerah dengan kontribusi Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (PDRB) terbesar di Indonesia. Besarnya peran tersebut menunjukkan pentingnya identifikasi sektor-sektor ekonomi yang memiliki keunggulan dan daya saing sebagai dasar dalam mendukung transformasi ekonomi daerah. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengidentifikasi sektor basis serta menganalisis pertumbuhan dan daya saing sektoral di Provinsi Jawa Timur selama periode 2020-2024. Penelitian menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif deskriptif dengan data sekunder berupa PDRB Atas Dasar Harga Konstan (ADHK) Provinsi Jawa Timur dan Produk Domestik Bruto (PDB) nasional yang diperoleh dari Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS). Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah Location Quotient (LQ) dan Shift Share. Hasil analisis LQ menunjukkan bahwa terdapat empat sektor basis yang memiliki nilai LQ lebih dari satu, yaitu Industri Pengolahan (1,546) Penyediaan Akomodasi dan Makan Minum (2,188), Perdagangan Besar dan Eceran (1,373), serta Informasi dan Komunikasi (1,118). Sementara itu, hasil analisis Shift Share menunjukkan bahwa sektor Jasa Lainnya merupakan sektor yang tumbuh cepat dan memiliki daya saing, sedangkan sektor Industri Pengolahan tetap menunjukkan keunggulan kompetitif walaupun pertumbuhannya relatif lebih lambat dibandingkan tingkat nasional. Temuan ini menunjukkan bahwa penguatan sektor basis dan pengembangan sektor dan pengembangan sektor jasa prospektif perlu menjadi fokus dalam mendukung transformasi ekonomi Jawa Timur yang berkelanjutan.
Struktur Ekonomi, Dinamika Pertumbuhan, Dan Disparitas Wilayah Provinsi Jawa Barat: Analisis Location Quotient, Shift Share, Dan Indeks Williamson Periode 2020-2025 I Wayan Suparta; Muhammad Emil Fattah; Ahmad Abu Haikal; Farhan Hidayatulloh; Bagas Sandika Prayoga; Mahesa Ronal Putra Priyanto; Andri Bagas Irawan
ULIL ALBAB : Jurnal Ilmiah Multidisiplin Vol. 5 No. 8: Juli 2026
Publisher : CV. Ulil Albab Corp

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56799/jim.v5i8.18891

Abstract

Penelitian ini menganalisis struktur ekonomi, dinamika pertumbuhan, dan disparitas wilayah Provinsi Jawa Barat periode 2020-2025 dengan mengintegrasikan tiga alat analisis: Location Quotient (LQ), Shift Share, dan Indeks Williamson. Latar belakang penelitian didasari oleh kontribusi Jawa Barat yang besar terhadap PDB nasional namun masih diiringi ketimpangan antarwilayah yang persisten. Tujuan penelitian adalah mengidentifikasi sektor basis, mengevaluasi daya saing sektoral, dan mengukur tingkat disparitas antar kabupaten/kota. Metode yang digunakan adalah pendekatan deskriptif kuantitatif dengan data PDRB atas dasar harga konstan dan jumlah penduduk dari BPS. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan enam sektor basis dengan Industri Pengolahan sebagai yang tertinggi (LQ rata-rata 2,226), namun analisis Shift Share mengungkapkan hampir seluruh sektor mengalami Differential Shift negatif, menandakan erosi daya saing. Indeks Williamson berada pada rentang 0,694-0,701 yang mengindikasikan disparitas tinggi tanpa tren perbaikan. Penelitian ini penting karena menyajikan kerangka integratif yang menghubungkan struktur ekonomi, daya saing, dan ketimpangan, sekaligus memberikan basis empiris bagi kebijakan pembangunan wilayah yang lebih tepat sasaran di Jawa Barat.
Analisis Peran Energi Terbarukan, Inflasi, Ekspor, Dan Manufaktur Terhadap GNI Per Kapita Dalam Upaya Menghindari Middle-Income Trap Di Indonesia I Made Renaldi; I Wayan Suparta
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis Digital Vol. 3 No. 1 (2025): Juli - September
Publisher : CV. ITTC INDONESIA

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of renewable energy, inflation, manufacturing value added, and exports on Gross National Income (GNI) per capita in Indonesia as part of the effort to escape the middle-income trap. The study uses annual time series data from 1987 to 2023 and applies the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) for analysis. The long-term estimation results show that renewable energy and manufacturing value added have a positive and significant effect on GNI per capita, while inflation has a negative and significant effect. Exports show a positive but statistically insignificant effect, likely due to the dominance of commodity-based exports. In the short term, renewable energy has a consistently positive and significant effect across all lags. Inflation has a significant negative effect only in the first lag, while exports show a negative effect in the second lag. Manufacturing value added does not have a significant short-term effect. The significant error correction coefficient (CointEq1) of -0.879844 indicates a strong adjustment mechanism, suggesting that the model tends to return to long-term equilibrium rapidly after short-term shocks. These findings suggest that clean energy transition, strengthening of the manufacturing sector, and inflation control are strategic factors in increasing national income and avoiding the middle-income trap.
Analisis Pengaruh Pengeluaran Pemerintah Sektor Pendidikan, Dan Tingkat Pengangguran Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Kabupaten/Kota Provinsi Lampung Tahun 2015-2022 Naufalia Fauzianti; I Wayan Suparta
Economics and Digital Business Review Vol. 5 No. 2 (2024)
Publisher : STIE Amkop Makassar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37531/ecotal.v5i2.1570

Abstract

This research aims to analyze the influence of government spending in the education sector and the unemployment rate on economic growth in the district of Lampung Province during 2015 to 2022. This research uses several variables, namely the independent variable consisting of government spending in the education sector (PDK) and unemployment rate (TP), as well as the dependent variable, namely economic growth of districts in Lampung in the 2015-2022 period. The data used is secondary data obtained from government websites and panel data regression method is used to analyze it, using the Eviews10 application. The research results show that the government expenditure variable in the education sector has a positive and significant influence on economic growth in the districts of Lampung Province. This means that increasing government spending in the education sector will encourage economic growth. On the other hand, the unemployment rate variable has a negative and significant influence on economic growth, which means that an increase in the unemployment rate will reduce economic growth. This study hoped that the results of this research can become a reference for further research and enrich knowledge, especially in the study of economic growth in Lampung Province.
Pengaruh Tingkat Kesempatan Kerja, Dan Ip-Tik Terhadap Pengangguran Terdidik Lulusan Sma Dan Smk Pada Tahun 2015-2021 Di Pulau Sumatera Muhammad Rizky Antasa; I Wayan Suparta
Economics and Digital Business Review Vol. 5 No. 2 (2024)
Publisher : STIE Amkop Makassar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37531/ecotal.v5i2.1576

Abstract

This research aims to analyze the influence Employment Opportunity Level and the information and communication technology development index on educated unemployment of high school and vocational school graduates on the island of Sumatra from 2015 to 2021. This research uses several variables, namely the independent variable which consists of the Employment Opportunity Level (X1) and the information and communication technology development index (X2), as well as the dependent variable, namely educated unemployment of high school and vocational school graduates on the island of Sumatra in the 2015-2021 period. The data used is secondary data obtained from government agency websites and analyzed using the panel data regression method using the Eviews10 application. The research results show that the variable Employment Opportunity Level has a negative and significant influence on educated unemployment for high school and vocational school graduates on the island of Sumatra. This means that increasing the Employment Opportunity Level will reduce educated unemployment for high school and vocational school graduates. On the other hand, the information and communication technology development index variable has a positive and significant influence on educated unemployment for high school and vocational school graduates, which means that an increase in the information and communication technology development index will encourage an increase in educated unemployment for high school and vocational school graduates. It is hoped that the results of this research can become a reference for further research and enrich knowledge, especially in the study of educated unemployment on the island of Sumatra.
Determinants of Inclusive Growth in Java: Evidence from District-Level Panel Data (2019–2023) I Wayan Suparta; Mairizal Salehudin Siatan; Marselina Marselina; Hanif Hanif
Jurnal Ilmiah Peuradeun Vol. 14 No. 1 (2026): Jurnal Ilmiah Peuradeun
Publisher : SCAD Independent

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.26811/peuradeun.v14i1.2111

Abstract

This study aims to examine the patterns and determinants of inclusive economic growth across districts and cities in Java Island by explicitly accounting for regional structural heterogeneity. Using secondary panel data from 23 regencies/cities over the period 2019–2023, the analysis employs panel data regression within the Klassen Typology framework to distinguish between developed and rapidly growing regions and developed but depressed regions. The findings indicate that economic growth consistently contributes positively to inclusive growth across regions, although its magnitude varies by regional typology. Human capital, financial inclusion, employment opportunities, and road infrastructure are found to enhance inclusiveness in both regional groups, while income inequality persistently constrains inclusive outcomes. Poverty significantly reduces inclusiveness only in developed and rapidly growing regions, whereas sanitation infrastructure plays a more prominent role in supporting inclusive growth in structurally constrained regions. These results demonstrate that inclusive growth mechanisms are context-dependent and region-specific, highlighting the limitations of uniform development policies. By integrating district-level panel data with a regional typology approach, this study contributes to the inclusive growth literature by emphasizing the importance of structural differentiation in translating economic growth into equitable development outcomes.
Pengaruh Investasi dan Tenaga Kerja Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Kawasan Timur dan Barat Indonesia I Wayan Suparta; Ridho Alfajar
Jurnal Ekonomika Dan Bisnis (JEBS) Vol. 5 No. 6 (2025): November - Desember
Publisher : CV. ITTC INDONESIA

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47233/jebs.v5i6.3720

Abstract

Economic growth disparities between Western and Eastern Indonesia remain a major challenge in achieving equitable national development. Based on data from the Statistics Indonesia (BPS, 2024), Indonesia’s economic growth increased from –2.07 percent in 2020 to 3.69 percent in 2021, 5.31 percent in 2022, and remained stable at around 5.05 percent in 2023. Although this reflects a solid economic recovery, regional inequality remains evident. Western Indonesia, which includes Sumatra, Java, and parts of Kalimantan, contributes approximately 80 percent to the national Gross Domestic Product (GDP), while Eastern Indonesia—comprising Sulawesi, Bali–Nusa Tenggara, Maluku, and Papua—accounts for only about 20 percent. This imbalance illustrates differences in investment distribution and labor capacity between the two regions. The study aims to analyze the influence of investment and labor on economic growth in both the western and eastern regions during the 2020–2024 period. The research employs a quantitative approach using annual panel data from all provinces in both regions, and applies the Fixed Effect Model (FEM) with robust standard errors to address potential violations of classical assumptions. The results indicate that in the western region, both investment and labor have a positive and significant effect on economic growth. In contrast, in the eastern region, only labor shows a significant influence, while investment does not have a statistically significant impact.
Co-Authors Ade Sulistiana Aditya, Dhea Nerizza Afandi, Yopi Ayomi Ahmad Abu Haikal Ahmad Dhea Pratama Ahmad Dhea Pratama Alpin, Rahmad Amanda Audila Ambya, Ambya Andri Bagas Irawan Andrian, Thomas Angga Nur Firdaus Anggun Yustia Arinda T Anisa, Senada Anny Nurbasari Arif Darmawan Arivina Ratih Taher Arivina Ratih YT Arivina Ratih Yulihar Arivina Ratih Yulihar Taher Arivina Ratih Yulihar Taher Arivina Ratih Yulihar Taher Asih Murwiati Asih Murwiati Asih Murwiati Asih Murwiati Astrisya Nadine Aulia, Deswira Aziz, Fatra Bagas Sandika Prayoga Besti Lilyana, Besti Budiarty, IDA Chelilla Khalisya Putri Ciptawaty, Ukhti Crisnina Handayani DARMANSYAH . Desak Ayu Putu Suciati Desi Wijayanti Devita Sari Dewi, I Gusti Ayu Wulan Krisna Dhea Nerizza Aditya Djayasinga, Marselina Dona Junica Dwi Setyorini Elsa Pertiwi Erni Achmad Etika Revolusi Nusantari Fadeli Yusuf Afif Fadhilah Ismi Badai Farhan Hidayatulloh Fitria Eka Rahma Gesica Dwi Anastasya Gorrety Espinosa S, Yolanda Gunarto, Toto Halim, Paisal Hanif Hanif Hanifatuzzahra, Zakia hasnin, muhammad Helena Sherin Salsabie HERU WAHYUDI I Made Renaldi I Nyoman Kanca I Putu Panca Adi Ida Budiarti Ida Budiaty DA Ikhsan Bintang Aswangga Ilham Arvindo Julian Junior Anggara Putra Kahlanaila Pahlifi Komang Ardana Latifah, Tiara Mukti lies maria hamzah Lindi Yana Puspita Lola Oktaviani Lukas, Antoneo M Iqbal Harori M. Saputra Mahesa Ronal Putra Priyanto Mairizal Salehudin Siatan Marcelina Anggreani Marselina Marselina Marselina Marselina Mega Mariska Melinda Dwi Erda Wilianti Mifti Anisa Wulansari Moneyzar Usman Moniyana, Resha Muhammad Arif Prastyadi Muhammad Emil Fattah Muhammad Husaini Muhammad Irfan Affandi Muhammad Mufti Hudani Muhammad Rizky Antasa Muhammad Zais M. Samiun Mukaromah, Laila Naila Salsabila Nairobi Nairobi Nairobi Nairobi, Nairobi Nanda Meilania Bardes Nasrullah, Ade Naufalia Fauzianti Naura, Cintya Dinda Neli Aida Neli Aida Ni Ketut Sri Rahayuni Ni Nengah Rizki Noventy Nindya Eka Sobita Nisa, Cholly Fatun Nouvan, M. Ahadi Novia Nazila Ramadhani Nurbety Nurul Hariza Ocha Aulia Azzahra Olivia Andarisca Putri Palupi, Widia Anggi Parti, I Ketut Pebri Kurniawan Prakarsa Panjinegara Pratama, Ahmad Dhea Prayudha Ananta Prayudha Ananta Previta Ridha Putri Qurrota Ayu Nindien Ramlan Siregar Ratih Taher, Arivina Ratih, Arivia Ratih, Arivina Ratu Ayu Thalia Salsabina Renaldi, I Made Resha Moniyana Resha Moniyana Putri Ridho Alfajar Ridho Alfajar Riris Tamaria Simbolon Rizamikijaya, Nur Rizka Malia Rizka Malia Rizky Apriansyah Ronaldi, Alvin Destian Royiv Agmadeni Sari, Della Kurnia Senada Anisa Septian, Wika Ayu Septiana Tri Susanti Setyawan, Ari Shabilla Darmayani Sianturi, Devi Fransiska Sony Pramaningtyas Sony Tian Dhora Suparta, I Wayan Darya Sutapa, Ketut Syahrudin Syavira Aulia Kurniawan Taher, Arivina Ratih Yulihar Tiara Nirmala Toriq, Muhammad Reihan Al Toto Gunarto Toto Gunarto Toto Gunarto Tri Joko Prasetyo Triananda, Silva Ukhti Ciptawaty Unda Viola De Yusa Vitriyani Tri Purwaningsih Vitriyani Tri Purwaningsih Wayan Ekayana Wibawa, I Gede Sastra Widia Anggi Palupi Wijayanti, Desi Wilianti, Melinda Dwi Erda Wiryawan, Driya Yana Qomariana Yanti, Leni Sepri Yoke Moelgini Yolanda Gorrety Espinosa S Yuliana, Shella Yusmanda Endah Pangesti Zahra Syifa Fauziah Zainul hamzah Zamzami Zamzami Zulfa Emalia Zulfa Emalia