Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Found 1 Documents
Search
Journal : Jurnal Natural

PERBANDINGAN METODE DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING BROWN DAN HOLT DALAM MERAMALKAN KEBUTUHAN ENERGI LISTRIK SEKTOR BISNIS (Studi Kasus: PT. PLN (PERSERO) ULP Manokwari Kota) Prita Larasati, Prita Larasati; Matulessy, Esther Ria; Nurhaida, Nurhaida
Jurnal Natural Vol. 20 No. 1 (2024): Jurnal Natural
Publisher : FMIPA Universitas Papua

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30862/jn.v20i1.264

Abstract

Electric energy forecasting for the business sector is one of the solutions made to predict the need for electrical energy, especially the business sector, which is increasing every period. The purpose of this research is to forecast the electrical energy demand of the business sector to predict events that will occur in the future using mathematical models to minimize unwanted risks. Based on the data plot in the form of a linear trend and the research objectives, a comparison of the Brown and Holt double exponential smoothing methods is used in forecasting the electrical energy demand of the Manokwari City business sector to obtain the best model for the period August 2023 to July is 2024. The result of this study is to compare the best model obtained from the two models, namely Holt's double exponential smoothing with a forecasting model using parameters and with MAD value of , MSE value of , and MAPE value of .
Co-Authors Abd. Rasyid Syamsuri Afifi, Muhammad Ridho ahmad yani Ainun Mardhiah, Ainun Ainun Mardiah Alam, Samsu ALDIANSYAH, TEUKU Amrina, Bella Septie andi, adi Anwari, M Sofwan Apriani, Riny Aprilyani, Lilis Dwi Sapta ARDIANSYAH ARDIANSYAH Aritonang, Devinna Riskiana Astuti, Tani ATANTA, JAINURSUMARMI SAFRULLAH Aulia, Astrina Azfa, Naila Arifah Azzahra, Mayochi Binawati Ginting Cut Aja Nuraskin Darwanti, Herlina Dewi, Shoufi Nisma Diana Diana Dina Setyawati Dirhamsyah, Muhammad Eka Safitri Elvi Susanti Lubis Farah Diba Febriani, Henny Femi Earnestly Firdaus Firdaus Fitri Kurnia Fitriani Fitriani Ginting, Bersiap Gitriadi, Heru Gusti Hardiansyah Gustina, Jessi Gustira, Ndari Habibi Habibi Hari Prayogo Hasan Ashari Oramahi Havija Sihotang Hutauruk, Puput Melati Indah Susanti Indrawasih, Indrawasih Isnaini, Nur Uli Khairunisa, Ana Laode Muhammad Harjoni Kilowasid Leli Suwita, SE, MM Lestari, Yayuk M. Dirhamsyah Maharani, Dhevia Marwanto Marwanto, Marwanto Matulessy, Esther Ria Muchlisinalahuddin Mufizarni, Mufizarni Muflihati, . Munadian, Munadian Murniana Murniana Muslim, Fluorina Oyza Mutia, Hera Mutiar, Mutiar N. Nazaruddin Nadia Nadia Najwa Najwa Nanang Masruchin Nasution, Putri Nabila NAZARUDDIN, SALSABILLA LATANSA Nengcy, Silvia Nova Rita, Nova Nugraha, Rezky Adrian Nurhasyifa, Najwa Nurhayati Nurhayati Nurhidayah, Kurnia Nursabila, Najwa Oktavia, Elmi Oktaviani, Maria Gerlina Peterson, Peterson Prita Larasati, Prita Larasati Puguh Setiawan Purwano, Sigit Putri, Puji Pradya R, Siti Raftul Fedri Rahayu, Eka Sri Rangkuti, Miftahul Nur Khairi Ranglaut, Sebastianus Lio Rago Rasyid, Syarifah AB Reca Reca Refiadinata, Jeki Refialdinata, Jeki Ria Matulessy, Esther Rikandi, Meta Riko, Eryesiswanto Sabyan, Muhammad Salihin, Salihin Santoso, Ida Riyanti Saputra, Muhammad Romi Saputri, Melda SARAWA, SARAWA Sarma Siahaan Sesa, Junianto Sinaga, Patresia Siregar, Alfin Siregar, Liesma Maywarni Sitti Saleha, Sitti Sofyan Zainal Sri Wahyuni Suhud, Khairi Suri, Mellan Suryani, Cici Susanti, Baiq Indah Susanti, Yana Yetria Syahfira A Syahna Syahna, Syahfira Ananda Teuku Salfiyadi Trisna Wati, Trisna Usmiar, Usmiar Wahdina, Wahdina Wahyuni, Dian Eka Mayasari Sri Widiyanti, Rina Widyanti, Rina Widyawati Widyawati Wijayanti, Riana Wirawan, Hadi Purnama Wirza Wirza, Wirza Wulandari, Reine Suci Wulandari Yuliaty, Ihdina Yundelfa, Mandria Zulfahmi Zulfahmi