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Rainfall Forecasting in Banyuwangi Using Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System Alfarisy, Gusti Ahmad Fanshuri; Mahmudy, Wayan Firdaus
Journal of Information Technology and Computer Science Vol. 1 No. 2: November 2016
Publisher : Faculty of Computer Science (FILKOM) Brawijaya University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (590.164 KB) | DOI: 10.25126/jitecs.20161212

Abstract

Rainfall forcasting is a non-linear forecasting process that varies according to area and strongly influenced by climate change. It is a difficult process due to complexity of rainfall trend in the previous event and the popularity of Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) with hybrid learning method give high prediction for rainfall as a forecasting model. Thus, in this study we investigate the efficient membership function of ANFIS for predicting rainfall in Banyuwangi, Indonesia. The number of different membership functions that use hybrid learning method is compared. The validation process shows that 3 or 4 membership function gives minimum RMSE results that use temperature, wind speed and relative humidity as parameters.
Hybrid Genetic Algorithm and Simulated Annealing for Function Optimization Fatyanosa, Tirana Noor; Sihananto, Andreas Nugroho; Alfarisy, Gusti Ahmad Fanshuri; Burhan, M Shochibul; Mahmudy, Wayan Firdaus
Journal of Information Technology and Computer Science Vol. 1 No. 2: November 2016
Publisher : Faculty of Computer Science (FILKOM) Brawijaya University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (879.719 KB) | DOI: 10.25126/jitecs.20161215

Abstract

The optimization problems on real-world usually have non-linear characteristics. Solving non-linear problems is time-consuming, thus heuristic approaches usually are being used to speed up the solution’s searching. Among of the heuristic-based algorithms, Genetic Algorithm (GA) and Simulated Annealing (SA) are two among most popular. The GA is powerful to get a nearly optimal solution on the broad searching area while SA is useful to looking for a solution in the narrow searching area. This study is comparing performance between GA, SA, and three types of Hybrid GA-SA to solve some non-linear optimization cases. The study shows that Hybrid GA-SA can enhance GA and SA to provide a better result
Optimization of Vehicle Routing Problem with Time Window (VRPTW) for Food Product Distribution Using Genetics Algorithm Pratama, Rayandra Yala; Mahmudy, Wayan Firdaus
Journal of Information Technology and Computer Science Vol. 2 No. 2: November 2017
Publisher : Faculty of Computer Science (FILKOM) Brawijaya University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (233.572 KB) | DOI: 10.25126/jitecs.20172216

Abstract

Food distribution process is very important task because the product can expire during distribution and the further the distance the greater the cost. Determining the route will be more difficult if all customers have their own time to be visited. This problem is known as the Vehicle Routing Problem with Time Windows (VRPTW). VRPTW problems can be solved using genetic algorithms because genetic algorithms generate multiple solutions at once. Genetic algorithms generate chromosomes from serial numbers that represent the customer number to visit. These chromosomes are used in the calculation process together with other genetic operators such as population size, number of generations, crossover and mutation rate. The results show that the best population size is 300, 3,000 generations, the combination of crossover and mutation rate is 0.4:0.6 and the best selection method is elitist selection. Using a data test, the best parameters give a good solution that minimize the distribution route.
Cost Optimization of Multi-Level Multi-Product Distribution Using An Adaptive Genetic Algorithm Sarwani, Mohammad Zoqi; Mahmudy, Wayan Firdaus; Naba, Agus
Journal of Information Technology and Computer Science Vol. 1 No. 2: November 2016
Publisher : Faculty of Computer Science (FILKOM) Brawijaya University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (561.249 KB) | DOI: 10.25126/jitecs.20161218

Abstract

Distribution is the challenging and interesting problem to be solved. Distribution problems have many facets to be resolved because it is too complex problems such as limited multi-level with one product, one-level and multi-product even desirable in terms of cost also has several different versions. In this study is proposed using an adaptive genetic algorithm that proved able to acquire efficient and promising result than the classical genetic algorithm. As the study and the extension of the previous study, this study applies adaptive genetic algorithm considering the problems of multi-level distribution and combination of various products. This study considers also the fixed cost and variable cost for each product for each level distributor. By using the adaptive genetic algorithm, the complexity of multi-level and multi-product distribution problems can be solved. Based on the cost, the adaptive genetic algorithm produces the lowest and surprising result compared to the existing algorithm
Implementation of Genetic Algorithm to Solve Travelling Salesman Problem with Time Window (TSP-TW) for Scheduling Tourist Destinations in Malang City Yuliastuti, Gusti Eka; Mahmudy, Wayan Firdaus; Rizki, Agung Mustika
Journal of Information Technology and Computer Science Vol. 2 No. 1: June 2017
Publisher : Faculty of Computer Science (FILKOM) Brawijaya University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (617.611 KB) | DOI: 10.25126/jitecs.20172122

Abstract

In doing travel to some destinantions, tourist certainly want to be able to visit many destinations with the optimal scheduling so that necessary in finding the best route and not wasting lots of time travel. Several studies have addressed the problem but does not consider other factor which is very important that is the operating hours of each destination or hereinafter referred as the time window. Genetic algorithm proved able to resolve this travelling salesman problem with time window constraints. Based on test results obtained solutions with the fitness value of 0,9856 at the time of generation of 800 and the other test result obtained solution with the fitness value of 0,9621 at the time of the combination CR=0,7 MR=0,3.
Maturity Evaluation of Information Technology Governance in PT DEF Using Cobit 5 Framework Putri, Mayang Anglingsari; Aknuranda, Ismiarta; Mahmudy, Wayan Firdaus
Journal of Information Technology and Computer Science Vol. 2 No. 1: June 2017
Publisher : Faculty of Computer Science (FILKOM) Brawijaya University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (627.588 KB) | DOI: 10.25126/jitecs.20172123

Abstract

Information technology  governance is used to guide and control an organization in achieving the goals that had been planned in advance. PT DEF is a company which utilises information technology to support its business processes. Nevertheless,  it indeed  requires an IT governance that can be beneficial as a reference for IT activities in order to run properly. This research intends to conduct an audit of information technology governance based on the COBIT 5 framework domain, which is  DSS (Deliver, Service, and Support) domain in the process of DSS03 (Manage Problems). According to the research results, the values that have been obtained from the process of DSS03 capability level was 64.66%, that is regarded as Partially Achieved. Capability level will be used as a reference in seeking gap contained in the domain of DSS03 process. Furthermore, these would be able to make recommendations aimed at increasing the value of the expected maturity. This research contributes to the evaluation results and recommendations to improve the capability level on the DSS03 domain, hence  PT DEF can upgrade its IT governance by using DSS03 process.
Sugeno-Type Fuzzy Inference Optimization With Firefly and K-Means Clustering Algorithms For Rainfall Forecasting Burhan, M.Shochibul; Mahmudy, Wayan Firdaus; Dermawi, Rizdania
Journal of Information Technology and Computer Science Vol. 3 No. 1: June 2018
Publisher : Faculty of Computer Science (FILKOM) Brawijaya University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (3521.752 KB) | DOI: 10.25126/jitecs.20183134

Abstract

Rainfall is very influential in our daily lives, ranging from agriculture, aviation, to flood-prone areas. The intensity of rainfall is used as an early detection for preventing harmful effects of rainfall. This research used Sugeno-Method Fuzzy Logic, in which the prediction is accomplished by mapping rules from the data obtained using the K-Means Clustering Algorithm as the classification to form the membership function and mapping rules and Firefly Alghorithm for optimization output. The test result from the 30 examined data found is 2.93 RMSE. This shows that the data support from K-Means Clustering and Firefly Algorithms of the fuzzy logic can predict precipitation accurately.
Determining Optimum Production Quantity on Multi-Product Home Textile Industry by Simulated Annealing Yuliastuti, Gusti Eka; Rizki, Agung Mustika; Mahmudy, Wayan Firdaus; Tama, Ishardita Pambudi
Journal of Information Technology and Computer Science Vol. 3 No. 2: November 2018
Publisher : Faculty of Computer Science (FILKOM) Brawijaya University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (733.457 KB) | DOI: 10.25126/jitecs.20183264

Abstract

Production planning is a plan aimed at controlling the quantity of products produced. Production planning is very important to be carried out by the company so that the production will always be controlled. It is very difficult to plan production with a variety of product variations because each product certainly has a different demand value from its customers. This has become a complex problem so an algorithm is needed to overcome these problems. Simulated Annealing can produce optimal solutions more effectively and efficiently. Production costs generated by applying Simulated Annealing are Rp. 6,902,406,000, - for all types of products, which is better than existing condition.
Variable Neighborhoods Search for Multi-Site Production Planning Rizki, Agung Mustika; Yuliastuti, Gusti Eka; Mahmudy, Wayan Firdaus; Tama, Ishardita Pambudi
Journal of Information Technology and Computer Science Vol. 3 No. 2: November 2018
Publisher : Faculty of Computer Science (FILKOM) Brawijaya University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (205.791 KB) | DOI: 10.25126/jitecs.20183265

Abstract

In the home textile industry, production planning needs to be done so that the production costs incurred by the company can be well controlled. Production planning is a problem that cannot be solved in a short time. Problems are more complex if the company has several production branches in other cities, with rules and standards that are certainly very different from one city to another. Based on this background, an algorithm is needed that can solve production planning problems for companies with many production branches in order to obtain optimal solutions. VNS is applied by the author and produces an optimal and efficient solution because the time needed is relatively short compared to the planning carried out previously by the company.
Comparison of Regression, Support Vector Regression (SVR), and SVR-Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) for Rainfall Forecasting Yulianto, Fendy; Mahmudy, Wayan Firdaus; Soebroto, Arief Andy
Journal of Information Technology and Computer Science Vol. 5 No. 3: Desember 2020
Publisher : Faculty of Computer Science (FILKOM) Brawijaya University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1148.218 KB) | DOI: 10.25126/jitecs.20205374

Abstract

Rainfall is one of the factors that influence climate change in an area and is very difficult to predict, while rainfall information is very important for the community. Forecasting can be done using existing historical data with the help of mathematical computing in modeling. The Support Vector Regression (SVR) method is one method that can be used to predict non-linear rainfall data using a regression function. In calculations using the regression function, choosing the right SVR parameters is needed to produce forecasting with high accuracy. Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) method is one method that can be used to optimize the parameters of the existing SVR method, so that it will produce SVR parameter values with high accuracy. Forecasting with rainfall data in Poncokusumo region using SVR-PSO has a performance evaluation value that refers to the value of Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). There are several Kernels that will be used in predicting rainfall using Regression, SVR, and SVR-PSO with Linear Kernels, Gaussian RBF Kernels, ANOVA RBF Kernels. The results of the performance evaluation values obtained by referring to the RMSE value for Regression is 56,098, SVR is 88,426, SVR-PSO method with Linear Kernel is 7.998, SVR-PSO method with Gaussian RBF Kernel is 27.172, and SVR-PSO method with ANOVA RBF Kernel is 2.193. Based on research that has been done, ANOVA RBF Kernel is a good Kernel on the SVR-PSO method for use in rainfall forecasting, because it has the best forecasting accuracy with the smallest RMSE value.
Co-Authors A.N. Afandi Abdul Latief Abadi Abdul Latief Abadi Achmad Arwan Achmad Basuki Achmad Ridok Adimoelja, Ariawan Aditama, Gustian Adyan Nur Alfiyatin Agi Putra Kharisma Agung Mustika Rizki Agung Mustika Rizki, Agung Mustika Agung Setia Budi Agung Setia Budi, Agung Setia Agus Naba Agus Wahyu Widodo Agus Wahyu Widodo Agus Wahyu Widodo, Agus Wahyu Ahmad Afif Supianto Ahmad Afif Supianto Ahmad Afif Supianto Aji Prasetya Wibawa Al Khuluqi, Mabafasa Alauddin, Mukhammad Wildan Alfiani Fitri Alfita Rakhmandasari Alfiyatin, Adyan Nur Alqorni, Faiz Amalia Kartika Ariyani Amalia Kartika Ariyani Amalia Kartika Ariyani Anantha Yullian Sukmadewa Andi Kurniawan Andi Maulidinnawati A K Parewe Andi Maulidinnawati A. K. Parewe Andreas Nugroho Sihananto Andreas Pardede Andreas Patuan G. Pardede Andrew Nafalski Angga Vidianto Anissa, Retno Dewi Aprilia Nur Fauziyah Aprilia Nur Fauziyah Arief Andy Soebroto Arinda Hapsari Achnas Armanda, Rifki Setya Arviananda Bahtiar Arya, Putu Bagus Asyrofa Rahmi Asyrofa Rahmi Asyrofa Rahmi Asyrofa Rahmi Asyrofa Rahmi, Asyrofa Aulia, Yudha Alif Bagus Priambodo Bagus Priambodo Bayu Rahayudi Binti Robiyatul Musanah Budi Darma Setiawan Burhan, M.Shochibul Cahya, Reiza Adi Cahyo Prayogo, Cahyo Candra Dewi Candra Fajri Ananda Cleoputri Yusainy Darmawan, Abizard Hashfi Dea Widya Hutami Dhaifullah, Afif Naufal Diah Anggraeni Pitaloka Didik Suprayogo Dinda Novitasari Dinda Novitasari, Dinda Diny Melsye Nurul Fajri Dita Sundarningsih Durrotul Fakhiroh Dyan Putri Mahardika Dzikron, Ahmad Ahdani Edi Satriyanto Edy Santoso Effendi, Mas’ud Eko Widaryanto Elta Sonalitha Ervin Yohannes Evi Nur Azizah Fadhli Almu’iini Ahda Fais Al Huda Fajri, Diny Melsye Nurul Fatchurrochman Fatchurrochman Fatwa Ramdani, Fatwa Fauzi, Muhammad Rifqi Fauziatul Munawaroh Fazlur Ihzanurahman Febriyana, Ria Fendy Yulianto Fitra Abdurrachman Bachtiar Fitri Anggarsari Fitria Dwi Nurhayati Gayatri Dwi Santika Ghozali Maski Grady Davinsyah Gusti Ahmad Fanshuri Alfarisy Gusti Ahmad Fanshuri Alfarisy, Gusti Ahmad Fanshuri Gusti Eka Yuliastuti Hafidz Ubaidillah Hamdianah, Andi Hanggara , Buce Trias Herman Tolle Hernando, Deo Heru Nurwarsito Hidayat, Luthfi Hilman Nuril Hadi Ida Wahyuni Ihsan Akram, Faiz Imada Nur Afifah Imam Cholisoddin Imam Cholissodin Imam Cholissodin Imam Cholissodin Imam Santoso Indriati Indriati Irvi Oktanisa Ishardita Pambudi Tama Ismiarta Aknuranda Jauhari, Farid Khozaimi, Ach. Kukuh Tejomurti, Kukuh Kuncahyo Setyo Nugroho Kuncahyo Setyo Nugroho Kurnianingtyas, Diva Lailil Muflikhah Lily Montarcih Limantara M Chandra Cahyo Utomo M Fadli Ridhani M Shochibul Burhan, M Shochibul M. Shochibul Burhan M. Zainal Arifin Mabafasa Al Khuluqi Mar'i, Farhanna Marji Marji Mayang Anglingsari Putri, Mayang Anglingsari Mochammad Anshori Moh. Khusaini Moh. Sholichin Moh. Zoqi Sarwani Mohammad Zoqi Sarwani Mohammad Zoqi Sarwani, Mohammad Zoqi Mu’asyaroh, Fita Lathifatul Muh Arif Rahman Muh. Arif Rahman Muhammad Ardhian Megatama Muhammad Faris Mas'ud Muhammad Halim Natsir Muhammad Isradi Azhar Muhammad Khaerul Ardi Muhammad Noor Taufiq Muhammad Rivai Muhammad Rofiq Nadia Roosmalita Sari Nadya Oktavia Rahardiani Nashi Widodo Ni Wayan Surya Wardhani Nindynar Rikatsih Novanto Yudistira Novi Nur Putriwijaya Nurizal Dwi Priandani Nurul Hidayat Oakley, Simon Oktanisa, Irvi Pardede, Andreas Philip Faster Eka Adipraja Pratama, Muhammad Fajarivan Prayudi Lestantyo Prima Zulvarina, Prima Purnomo Budi Santoso Putra, Firnanda Al Islama Achyunda Putri Hasan, Vitara Nindya Putu Indah Ciptayani Qoirul Kotimah Rachmansyah, Ghenniy Rachmawati, Christina Rani Kurnia Rayandra Yala Pratama, Rayandra Yala Retno Astuti Retno Dewi Anissa Riani, Garsinia Ely Rifa’i, Muhaimin Rinda Wahyuni Rizal Setya Perdana Rizal Setya Perdana Rizdania, Rizdania Rizki Ramadhan Rody, Rafiuddin Ruth Ema Febrita Ryan Iriany S, M Zaki Samaher . Saputro, Arkaditya Lanang Saragih, Triando Hamonangan Selly Kurnia Sari Setyawan Purnomo Sakti Sudarto Sudarto Suhana, Rizka Sukarmi Sukarmi, Sukarmi Sulistyo, Danang Arbian Sutrisno . Sutrisno Sutrisno Syafrial Syafrial Syafrial Syafrial Syaiful Anam Syandri, Hafrijal Tanjung, Lutfi Mitra Tirana Noor Fatyanosa, Tirana Noor Titiek YULIANTI Titiek Yulianti Titiek Yulianti Tomi Yahya Christyawan Tri Halomoan Simanjuntak Ubaidillah, Hafidz Ullump Pratiwi Utaminingrum, Fitri Utomo, M. Chandra Cahyo Vivi Nur Wijayaningrum Wahyuni, Ida Widdia Lesmawati Windi Artha Setyowati Yeni Herawati Yogi Pinanda Yogie Susdyastama Putra Yudha Alif Aulia Yudha Alif Auliya Yudha Alif Auliya, Yudha Alif Yulia Trianandi Yusuf Priyo Anggodo Yusuf Priyo Anggodo Yusuf Priyo Anggodo Yusuf Priyo Anggodo, Yusuf Priyo