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Endah Dewi Purnamasari
Universitas Indo Global Mandiri
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Journal : Jurnal Informatika Global

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Prediksi Data Time Series Harga Penutupan Saham Menggunakan Model Box Jenkins ARIMA Imelda Saluza; Dewi Sartika; Lastri Widya Astuti; Faradillah Faradillah; Leriza Desitama; Endah Dewi Purnamasari
Jurnal Informatika Global Vol 12, No 2
Publisher : UNIVERSITAS INDO GLOBAL MANDIRI

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.36982/jiig.v12i2.1940

Abstract

The ability to predict time series data on closing market prices is critical in determining a company's stock results. The development of an efficient stock market has a positive correlation with economic growth, in a country both in the short and long term. In practice, investors tend to invest in countries that have a stable economy, low crime. The rise and fall of stock prices has made many investors develop various effective strategies in predicting stock prices in the future with the aim of making investment decisions so that investors can guarantee their profits and minimize risk.As a result, the researchers developed a model that could accurately estimate precision. Time series data models are one of the most powerful methods to render assumptions in decisions containing uncertainty. The AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model with the Box Jenskins time series procedure is one of the most commonly used prediction models for time series results. The steps for using the Box Jenskins ARIMA model for historical details of expected stock closing prices are outlined in this paper. BBYB and YELO stock data from yahoo.finance were used as historical data. The Aikake Information Criterion (AIC), Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) / Schawrz Bayesia Criterion (SBC), Log Probability, and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) are used to choose an effective model, and the model chosen is ARIMA (1 , 1,2). The findings suggest that the Jenkins ARIMA box model has a lot of scope for short-term forecasting, which may help investors make better decisions. Keywords: prediction, the stock's current closing price, Box Jenskins ARIMA model
Co-Authors Adinda Ayu Anjani Afriyani, Fauziah Akbar Meidian Akbar, Devin Ridho Aliah Ghina Alie, Muhammad Fadhiel Amelia, Rizma Zusica Amillya Shabita Andi Susanti Andini Utari Putri Anggraini, Leriza Desitama Anggreqani, Anis Anggun Widiya Annisa Ervinadya Sherina Annisa Juliartha Maharani Annisya, Dhea Aprilian, Ananda Putri Aprilianti Maharani Ardiansyah Ardiansyah Argeto, Valentino Arya, Sun Mukti Asharie, Asmawati Asmawati Asharie Asmawati Asharie Assyffa, Lavita Atidira Dwi Hanani Aziatul, Reny Budi Setiawan Budi Setiawan Caesa Ayuni Nadilah Cindy Putri Mareta Dani, Suci Rahma Deka Anggun Lestari Delvi Rahma Novianti Desi Rovita Desitama, Leriza Desta Agustina Destriansyah, Ridho Dewi Hajrah Dewi, Alliya Ttri Kusuma Dika Apriyani Dina Meliasari Diny Nur Ramadhanty Dwi Mulatsih Dwi Wardani Eki Ayu Safitri Emilda Emilda Emilda Emilda, Emilda Emilda, Emilda Fadia Chaisarani Faradilla Ayang Nurfitri Faradillah Faradillah Faradillah, Faradillah Fauziah Afriyani Febrianti, Dwi Andini Fransiska, Septia Bella Ghina, Aliyah Gita Widyawati Gumano, Hendry Natanael Hamid Halin Hamid Halin Hamid Halin Helen Saparingga Hendri Diansyah Herfinda Prameswari Hisbullah, M Arib Daffa Husnul Hotimah Icha Icha Iis Oktavia Imelda Saluza, Imelda Jainal Jainal Jainal Jessica Isti Jihan Epriyani Jinal Jinal John Roni Coyanda Juhaini Alie Julita, Riska Lastri Widya Astuti Lazuarni, Shafiera Lestari, Rahma Dwi Lulu Alfia Ramadani M. Kurniawan DP Mareta, Cindy Putri Marhamah Marhamah Marizka, Hany Marnisah, Luis Maulana, Asri Meilin Veronica Meilin Veronica Meisy Kuswanti Melinda Melinda Mohammad Kurniawan Mohammad Kurniawan Mohammad Kurniawan Darma Putra Mohammad Kurniawan DP Mohammad Kurniawan DP Muhammad Andrian Rizki Nugraha Muhammad Bahrul Ulum Muhammad Bahrul Ulum Muhammad Bahrul Ulum Muhammad Fadhiel Alie Muhammad Rhomadoni Muhammad Wadud Mutiara Kemala Ratu Mutiara, Mega Nabila Luthfiah Nabila Nur Rahmah Nanda Rizkiani Neny Rostiati Noer, Namira Imelia Ramadiena Nova Yanti Maleha Nuralifah, Annisa Nurhalizah Nyayu Yullia Hidayani Oktarina, Mely Oktavia, Putri Aisa Omar hendro Pamukti, Hakiki Pera Dwiwansi Piura, Meila Puspa Prameswari, Femy Adelia Prima Darma Putra Putra Oktri Wijaya Putra, Mgs Prima Darma Putri Arista Putri Ayu Lestari Putri Fadillah Amanda Pufaa Putri Maretha, Wina Putri Utami, Putri Putri, Raisa Ananda Rafika Sari Rafika Sari Rahmad Chandra Rasid Siddik Refi Kurniawan Resa Parupi Reta Rosita Ridhatul Rafiqah Ririn Nurmila Sari Rossi, Lola Valentina Roswaty Roswaty Roswaty Roswaty, Roswaty Rusmianita Rusmianita Salsabila, Meisha Sandi Naiwan Santy, Nurliana Saputra, Aditia Saputri, Intan Wahyuni Saputri, Selfi Sarahdillah Alfianti Sari, Lilis Permata Sartika, Dewi Satya Zulhijah, Msy Putri Shafiera Lazuarni Shafiera Lazuarni Shafiera Lazuarni Shafiera Lazuarni Shaputra, Muhammad Hendra Shella Nabila Sinaga, Rafael Alfredo Siska Christyanti Siti Komariah Hildayanti Siti Komariah Hildayanti, Siti Komariah Siti Sheila Miranda Tri utami Sukarni Aprianinur Susi Handayani Sutikno, Hary Syaskiah, Siti Tamiah, Aisyah Tien Yusnaini Tien Yustini Tri Aini Try Wulandari Try Wulandari Try Wulandary Vania, Dera Tita veronica, Vera Wadud, Muhammad Wahid, Risqo Wahyuni, Ningsih Welly, Muhammad Widiastuti, Risma Widya Gemilang Wulandari, Try Yanti, Rina Dwi Yeni Yeni Yeni Yeni Yoskario pratama Yusnaini, Tien