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Risk Premium and Volatility Analysis on Indonesia Stock Exchange Prameswari, Syanindita; Manurung, Adler Haymans
Jurnal Indonesia Sosial Teknologi Vol. 5 No. 4 (2024): Jurnal Indonesia Sosial Teknologi
Publisher : Publikasi Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59141/jist.v5i4.1035

Abstract

Market risk premium and market volatility are important in investment decisions. Volatility is an important variable in derivative securities which is a measure of changes in stock returns. The research focuses on stock return volatility, research that points to a risk premium in emerging markets. The purpose of this study is to explain the relationship between market equity premium and volatility using GARCH (1.1) on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. This research uses daily closing price data of the Indonesia Stock Exchange Composite Index (JCI). The result of this study, that there is a relationship between risk premium and volatility in the Indonesian stock market. The conclusion of this study is to try to test whether there is a relationship from the volatility of return to risk premium in the Indonesian stock market. Using the daily trend of the Indonesian stock market (IDX) from January 2010 to September 2023.
Comparative Analysis of Risk Premium and Stock Market Returns in Indonesia: A Case Study of Normal and COVID-19 Pandemic Periods Rahmadani, Peni; Manurung, Adler Haymans
Jurnal Indonesia Sosial Teknologi Vol. 5 No. 11 (2024): Jurnal Indonesia Sosial Teknologi
Publisher : Publikasi Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59141/jist.v5i11.7023

Abstract

This research examines the effect of market risk premium (risk premium) on market returns (JCI). In addition, this study aims to see the effect of premium risk on market returns during the COVID-19 Pandemic. The data used in this study is secondary (JCI data and Deposit Interest Rates) for the period January 2010 – September 2023. The method used in this study is the GARCH method (1.1). The results of this study show a positive and significant influence of risk premium on market returns (JCI). During the COVID-19 Pandemic, risk premiums negatively and significantly affected JCI returns or the Indonesian stock market.
Determinant Cost of Capital Nur Khosim; Adler Haymans Manurung
Al-Kharaj: Jurnal Ekonomi, Keuangan & Bisnis Syariah Vol. 6 No. 8 (2024): Al-Kharaj: Jurnal Ekonomi, Keuangan & Bisnis Syariah
Publisher : Intitut Agama Islam Nasional Laa Roiba Bogor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47467/alkharaj.v6i8.4472

Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to look at the determinants of a company's cost of capital. This study conducted a literature review with the aim of identifying the factors that affect the cost of capital of a company. The research shows that profitability, liquidity, tax, growth and firm size are the determinants that affect the cost of capital of a firm. Further research shows a positive correlation between the cost of capital and profitability, liquidity, growth and firm size. The capital arrangement of a firm is determined based on the pecking order theory and trade-off theory while still considering the cost elements associated with it.
Meningkatkan Financial Management Behavior dan Investment Decision Making melalui Financial Knowledge, Attitude, dan Emotional Intelligence dengan Risk Perception Satriadi, Dharma; Manurung, Adler Haymans; Sembel, Roy; Sutawidjaya, Ahmad Hidayat
JRAP (Jurnal Riset Akuntansi dan Perpajakan) Vol. 10 No. 2 (2023): Juli - Desember
Publisher : Magister Akuntansi Universitas Pancasila

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35838/jrap.2023.010.02.14

Abstract

The objective of this study is to analyze the determinants of financial management behavior, specifically financial knowledge, financial attitude, and emotional intelligence on investment decision making with Risk Perception as a moderator. Using the Structural Equation Modeling – Partial Least Square analysis method, this study was conducted on a sample of 105 managers from Karawang International Industrial City. Financial Knowledge does not support Financial Management Behavior, Financial Attitude has a positive effect on Financial Management Behavior, Emotional Intelligence has a positive effect on Financial Management Behavior, Financial Knowledge does not support Investment Decision Making, Financial Attitude does not support Investment Decision Making, Emotional Intelligence has a positive effect on Investment Decision Making, Financial Management Behavior does not support Investment Decision Making, and Financial Attitude does not support Investment Decision Making. This research indicates the need to develop a financial education program that focuses on increasing financial knowledge and attitudes for managers, as well as paying attention to the development of emotional intelligence in order to improve the quality of their investment decision making.
The impact of macroeconomic variables and the volatility index (VIX) on the Indonesian Composite Index Winarno, Dwi; Manurung, Adler Haymans; Sembel, Roy; Hardiyanti, Siti Epa
Management Science Research Journal Vol. 2 No. 3 (2023): August 2023
Publisher : PT Larva Wijaya Penerbit

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56548/msr.v2i3.61

Abstract

This study investigates the relationship and influence between variables in the context of the Indonesian Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG). The Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) is estimated using a dataset with a complete sample size of 32 and a final sample size of 27. The results of the study show that the IHSG has a significant influence on its own movement in each period, indicating a self-reinforcing pattern. The VIX index shows a significant negative influence on changes in IHSG in the previous period, indicating the impact of market volatility on the IHSG. On the other hand, variables such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Inflation, and Bank Indonesia's Middle Exchange Rate (Middle Rate BI) do not show a significant influence on changes in IHSG in the previous period. Furthermore, the analysis of long-term influence indicates that changes in IHSG in the previous period have a significant negative influence on changes in IHSG in the current period, reflecting a tendency towards long-term equilibrium. The VIX index also shows a significant positive influence on changes in IHSG in the current period, indicating short-term volatility effects. However, GDP, Inflation, and Middle Rate BI do not have a significant influence on changes in IHSG in the current period
The Measurement of Efficiency and Analysis of Factors Affecting Conventional Commercial Banks in Indonesia Aziz, Lukmanul Hakim; Manurung, Adler Haymans; Sembel, Roy; Imron, Ali
Management Science Research Journal Vol. 2 No. 3 (2023): August 2023
Publisher : PT Larva Wijaya Penerbit

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56548/msr.v2i3.63

Abstract

The purpose of this research is to measure the level of efficiency of conventional commercial banks in Indonesia with input variables that are thought to influence output variables using non-parametric methods using the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) model and then to analyze the factors that affect the levels of bank efficiency. The object of this study consisted of 12 (twelve) Conventional Commercial Banks in Indonesia which were analyzed from 2012 to 2021. Overall, the results show that the level of efficiency of Conventional Commercial Banks in Indonesia during the period of this study, has not yet reached an optimal level of effectiveness. The factors that significantly affect the level of efficiency of conventional commercial banks are Concentration Ratio 4 (CR4), Market Share (MS), Lerner Index (LI), Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR) and Capital Adequacy Ratio. (CAR). While the factors that do not affect the level of efficiency of conventional commercial banks are Return on Assets (ROA) and Non-Performing Loans. (NPL).
Analyzing the Direction of the Stock Exchange Cycle Yulyanah, Yulyanah; Manurung, Adler Haymans
Indonesian Interdisciplinary Journal of Sharia Economics (IIJSE) Vol 7 No 1 (2024): Sharia Economics
Publisher : Sharia Economics Department Universitas KH. Abdul Chalim, Mojokerto

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31538/iijse.v7i1.4579

Abstract

This research analyzes the direction of the stock market cycle and looks at the stock market prospects from January 2010 to September 2023. The methodology used in this research is the "decomposition method" and uses daily rate of return data during the research period. The research results show that the changes that occur in one day are greater than the changes that occur in the following days. The stock market is currently likely to experience a decline for the sixth cycle. There is no January effect in BEI but there is a December effect.
Concept Model Research of Financial Psychology to SME Business Sustainability Oktariswan, Dony; Manurung, Adler Haymans; Ulupui, I Gusti Ketut Agung; Buchdadi, Agung Dharmawan
Interdisciplinary Social Studies Vol. 1 No. 8 (2022): Special Issue
Publisher : International Journal Labs

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55324/iss.v1i8.191

Abstract

The study of Financial Psychology to SME Business Sustainability is one of the most efficient methods to improve Financial Psychology in doing business. The purpose of this study is to review and analyze the development of article publications with the evolution of research on Financial Psychology to SME Business Sustainability published from 2019-2021. Article analysis and search involves only themes with titles, abstracts, and keywords related to Financial Psychology and SME Business Sustainability from 2019-2021. Searches through the Scpous database are performed using TITLEABS-KEY. Article selection is adjusted by eliminating duplicates in the list of article type documents sourced from journals taken from the database using Harzing's Publish or Perish (PoP) and VOSviewer software. Based on the results of the analysis obtained research concept models in Financial Psychology formed from Financial Planning (Social factors and Economic factors), Behavior Finance (Psychological & Emotional and Factors Situational stimuli), Financial Literacy (Financial Knowledge and Household finance), Financial Inclusion (Government policy & regulation and Bank Stability). While Implementation Accounting from application, and SME Business Sustainability formed from SME Sustainability Performance. The subject area on the concept of the model was obtained from the disciplines of Economic, Econometrics and finance as many as 34 (42.5%) and Business, Management & Accounting amounted to 33 (41.25%).
Determinants of Technology Adoption and Financial Ratios on Banking Performance in Indonesia Through Net Interest Margin as Mediation Damayanti, Endah Suci; Manurung, Adler Haymans; Hendayana, Yayan; Hidayat, Wastam Wahyu
Integrated Journal of Business and Economics (IJBE) Vol 9, No 4 (2025): Integrated Journal of Business and Economics
Publisher : Universitas Bangka Belitung

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33019/ijbe.v9i4.1334

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to explore the relationship between technology adoption, financial ratios that can affect banking performance in Indonesia through the mediation of Net Interest Margin. The research approach is Explanatory Research with purposive sampling technique obtained 35 go pubic banks selected with  9 years of financial statement data  from 2015 to 2023 so as to obtain 315 observations. The research findings show that BOPO strongly influences the NIM variable, giving rise to direct and indirect effects. All direct effects are the largest affecting ROA. Company management must manage Technology Adoption, NPL, LDR, Quality of Earning Assets (QEA) and BOPO to influence Banking Performance. Company management must manage these ratios to provide high ROA so that investors are interested in buying banking stocks. The efficiency of the company represented by BOPO needs to be managed so that NIM increases and can be limited to the maximum.  
Pengujian Teori Trade-Off dan Pecking Order: dengan Satu Model Dinamis pada Perusahaan Publik di Indonesia Darminto, Darminto; Manurung, Adler Haymans
International Research Journal of Business Studies Vol. 1 No. 1 (2008): May-July 2008
Publisher : Universitas Prasetiya Mulya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21632/

Abstract

This article explores determinant of capital structure in Indonesia. Empirical study using Regression in model is done by including variable suggested by Trade of Theory, Pecking Order Theory, and combination of those theories. The result shows that determinant factors in the Trade of Theory have more ability to explain the capital structure than deficit cash flow factor in pecking order theory. Other variables that are also significant are firm size and collateral capacity. Its is possible that rejection of Pecking Order Theory is due to market timing argument in long term financing.
Co-Authors Abdinagoro, Sri Bramantoro Ade Onny Siagian Adyatma Prio Anggoro Agung Dharmawan Buchdadi AGUNG GALIH SATWIKO Ahmad Faqih Syukri Alfian Amran Ali Imron Ambarwati, Eliza Dyah Amran Manurung Amran Manurung, Amran Annisa Lestari Arif Imam Suroso Asih, Kiki Nindya AWN Fikri Aziz, Lukmanul Hakim Azizah Suci Pratiwi Bahtiar Saleh Abbas Budi Paryanti, Atik Carlos, Gerry Juan D.S. Priyarsono D.S. Priyarsono Damayanti, Endah Suci Darmawan, Indra Darminto . Dedi Budiman Hakim Desi, Dona Elvia Djuni Thamrin DODY KURNIAWAN Dominicus Savio Priyarsono Dwi Winarno, Dwi Dwitanto, Ardo Ryan Dyah Budiastuti Edward Efendi Edward Efendi Silalahi Elia Rossa Endah Suci Damayanti Erliza Noor Farah Margaretha Fauziah, Dinda Fikri , Adi Wibowo Noor Fikri, AWN Firdaus, Fairuz Zayyan Gatot Nazir Ahmad Gerry Juan Carlos Gerson Hadita Simamora Hakim , Dedi Budiman Hakim Sangapan, Lukman Hapzi Hapzi Ali Hardiyanti, Siti Epa Hariandja, Nancy Megawati Hasanuddin Hasanuddin Hendri Setiadi Hendriarto, Prasetyono Hermanto Siregar Hibatullah, Fadh Fauzi I Gusti Ketut Agung Ulupui Idel Eprianto Idris Gautama So, Idris Gautama Imelda Sari Indra Darmawan Ivan Jan Jaya Silaen Jhonni Sinaga John E.H.J. Foeh John Sihar Manurung - Josua Panatap Soehaditama Jumawan Khan, Muhammad Asif Kosasih, Wibowo Kurniana Lukman Hakim Sangapan M. Jhonni Sinaga M.Rizal Mangalindung, Giovani Huiser Manurung, Catarina Manurung, Gerson Margie, Lyandra Aisyah Marinda Machdar, Nera Martua Eliakim Tambunan Maula, Dela Azkiatul Monika Sari Siagian, Friska Muhamad Ramdan, Muhamad Muhammad Asif Khan Muhammad Yusuf Munir, Ningky Sasanti NACHROWI D. NACHROWI Narpati, Bintang Nathania yunus, Angeline Nera Marinda Machdar Nimmi Zulbainarni Noer A. Achsani, Noer A. Nopriadi Saputra Novita Sari Nur Khosim Nurcahyaningsih, Astrika Erlin Oktariswan, Dony Oktaviana, Sonya Palti Marulitua Sitorus Pamuji Gesang Raharjo Pamuji Gesang Raharjo Panji Patra Anggaredho, Panji Patra Panubut Simorangkir Paryanti, Atik Budi Pasaribu, Rasnius Prameswari, Syanindita Princes, Elfindah Puspitasari, Veny Anindya Putra, Christophorus Indra Wahyu Rahmadani, Peni Ratnawaty Marginingsih Retno Yuliati Rewang Budi Prasetyo Rezki Adhitia Rianto, Muhammad Richo Robertus Suraji Rony, Zahara Tussoleha Rosalinda Manullang, Mitha Debora Rosma Titis Hapsari Roy Sembel Salsabila Hasani Sangapan, Lukman Sangapan, Lukman Hakim Sangapan, Lukman Hakim Sangapan Satriadi, Dharma Satrio Waliyudin Azhar Sholeh, M Asrorun Niam Silalahi, Edward Efendi Silvana Syah Simatupang, Apriani Sinaga, Jhonni Suci Damayanti, Endah Sudaryono Sugeng Suroso SUGENG SUROSO, SUGENG Sundari Oktaviana Susy Muchtar Sutawidjaya, Ahmad Hidayat Tanti Novianti Tarigan, Paul Augustin Taufik Raharjo, Taufik Tegar Maulana Hidayat Tony Irawan Tri Widyastuti Triskamto, Triskamto Tubagus Ahmad Maulana Tubagus Nur Ahmad Maulana Tubagus Nur Ahmad Maulana Viranti Margaretta Wahyu Hidayat, Wastam Wastam Wahyu Hidayat Widjanarko, Wirawan Willy Cahya Sundara Wirawan Widjanarko Wirawan Widjanarko Wiyandari, Esti Yayan Hendayana Yuliansyah, M. Roby Yulyanah, Yulyanah Zahara Tussoleha Rony Zenal Asikin