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Kiki Farida Ferine
Universitas Pembangunan Panca Budi
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Journal : Journal of Islamic Economics

 1 
The Foreign Currency Market Analysis: Emerging Market of Muslim Countries Dewi Mahrani Rangkuty; Kiki Farida Ferine
Journal of Islamic Economics (JoIE) Vol 2, No 1 (2022)
Publisher : Institut Agama Islam Negeri Ponorogo

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21154/joie.v2i1.4681

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the relationship between Exports, Inflation, Money Supply, GDP, Imports, and Per capita Income to exchange rates. Where variable monetary policy (Exchange Rate, GDP, Money Supply, Inflation, Per capita Income) and macro policy (Export and Import). Using time-series data from 2010 to 2019. The data analysis model is a Vector Autoregression method viewed and sharpened by Impulse Response Function analysis and Forecast Error Variance Decomposition. The results of the IRF analysis know that the response stability of all variables is formed in the five or medium or medium-term and long-term periods, where the response of other variables to changes in one variable shows different variations from positive to negative responses or vice versa. Some variables show a positive reaction or remain negative in short to long term. The results of the FEVD analysis show that variable exchange rates in the short and medium term are recommended by the Variable Exchange Rate itself and the Money Supply Amount. At the same time, the long term is affected by Imports. Export variables in the short term are recommended by the Exchange Rate, while the medium and long term is affected by Per capita Income. Then, import variables in the medium and long short term Imports are affected by Exports. Variable GDP in the short and medium-term is influenced by GDP itself and the exchange rate, while in the long run, it is influenced by Per capita income. Inflation in the medium and long short term is affected by imports. The money supply in the medium and long short term is affected by inflation and imports, while exports influence per capita income in the short, medium, and long time. So that can be recommended in this study is as input for the government, namely through Bank Indonesia, the Ministry of Finance, the Central Banks of the State, which is the object of research in controlling exchange rates as an effort to maintain currency market stability in emerging markets of Muslim Countries through inflation control to increase price stability that can boost economic growth.
Co-Authors , Elfitra Desy Surya , Harianto , Wilchan Robain Abdi Sugiarto Abdimar Jahotlen Tamba Abu Muna Almaududi Ausat Adi Saputra R. Purba Afif, Muhammad Faruq Agung Kurniawan Hasibuan Agus Naini Siregar Ahmad Mahadi Harahap Ahmad Taufik Ahmad Zaki Amudi Parulian Situmeang Andi Affandi Andi Antorio Ginting Andriya Risdwiyanto Anis Okta Cahyaningrum Anny Fonisa Nasution Arif , Muhammad Arif Saefudin ARIWIBOWO, PRASETIO Artunov Nofal Azhari Bayu Pratama Boari, Yoseb Bolo Ansah Nasution Damanik, Afridayani Dameika Tambunan Debby Nur Malawati Dedy Eko Widianto Dedy Purnama Deliana, Lasmaida Susy Desi Astuti Deswita S Devy Mayang Sari Dewi Mahrani Rangkuty Dian Mayna Antika Sari Dika Arya Perdana Doddy Aditya Dodi Hendra Silaen Dora Oktaviana Edi Suprayetno EDY PIMANTA TARIGAN Edy Saputra Egidius Fkun Elsa Gultom Eva Yuniarti Utami Fachruddin Hariandi Fahruddin Farhan Azmi Fioletta Papilaya Firmansyah Fransiska Fransiska Ginta Fernandes Ginting Ginta Fernandes Ginting HAIKAL NURSEHA Harahap, Abdul Rahman Hariyansyah, Ferdian Putra Harri Kahfi Hendra Gunawan Nainggolan Henry Aspan Hikmaturriza Ibrahim Hasim Hasibuan Ikhlasul Amal Maulana Ikram Nawawi Indra Sintanta Sembiring Indri Mandasari Pohan Intan Lydia Tarida Mahdalena Irfan Azim Irwansyah Isa Indrawan Juliani Delima Rumahorbo Juniarti, Juniarti Karishdian Zulkarnain Karmila Khairuddin Kraugusteeliana Kraugusteeliana Kurniadi Kurniawan Sinaga Kusuma Agdhi Rahwana Kusuma, Chandra Laksniyunita, Wanda Lasmaida Susy Deliana Leider Tirta Luthfi Al Idrus M Nur Kuncoro M. Agus Hidayat M. Chaerul Rizky M. Ilham Hidayat M. Isa Indrawan M. Thaib Manik, Jefri Mariani Valentina Tampubolon Marleni Marleni Marplusmi Sitepu MARYANTO PURBA Mesra B Mesra B. Muazimah Muhammad Alfahmi Muhammad Arif Pohan Muhammad Faruq Afif Muhammad Imam Perdana Muhammad Isa Indrawan Muhammad Isa Indrawan Muhammad Saffath Salsibi Muhammad Toyib Daulay Muhammad Toyib Daulay Muharmi, Yulya Murliasari, Rikha Murti Khairani Lubis Musran Munizu Nadratul Firda Nadriati, Sri Najdah Thalib Nasution, Fitra Arlina Neny Prestiany Netty Helena Br Sigalingging Noval Charunia Pelix Van Bosco Purba Posma Julyarto Sihombing Putra, Irwan Agusnu Rahmat Hidayat Rahmat Sihombing Rangga Prasetyo Reni Sihombing Rico Nur Ilham Rika Mustika Tarigan Rina Hartaci Nasution Rini Andriani Roslina Ruhdi Muharram Selian Rukaiyah Said Aldi Sari Humaira Sarma Niasti Saragih Satria Wibawa Wahyadyatmika Septy Wanna Masayu Shandy Evanda Santayana Silvy Sondari Gadzali Siti Aisyah Siregar SRI RAHAYU Sri Rahayu Sri Wahyuni G. Singa Suhardiman Suhardiman Suhendi Suhendi Sulman Sunaryo Sunaryo Syahirah Ishmah Hutabarat Thalib, Najdah Tiara, Wica Tomy Herlambang Toyib Daulay Utami, Eva Yuniarti Wakhyuni, Emi Wanda Laksniyunita Wira Juwita Wiwin Sapta Prabudi Yasmir Lukman Yessi Indra Yogi Nurfauzi Yohny Anwar Yoseb Boari Yudhistira, Bonar Yunita Yunita Yusri Thamrin Yusuf Kibar