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ANALISIS SISTEM PELAYANAN DI STASIUN TAWANG SEMARANG DENGAN METODE ANTRIAN Nursihan Nursihan; Sugito Sugito; Hasbi Yasin
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 4, No 2 (2015): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (312.433 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v4i2.8586

Abstract

Semarang Tawang Station is one of the stations visited by customers. As it is known that the train journey into one of the fastest alternative but to use other means of transportation. Therefore, it is necessary to analyze queuing model that describes the conditions to determine the size of the performance of the system to see how the service provided. When the distribution is a Poisson arrival or services or the exponential model (M) but if the distribution is not Poisson or exponential, the model General (G). Model queue at the station with the number of arrivals and the number of services is (M/M/5):(GD/∞/∞). Keywords: Processqueue, Semarang Tawang station, queuing models.
ANALISIS SISTEM ANTRIAN PESAWAT TERBANG DI BANDARA INTERNASIONAL AHMAD YANI SEMARANG Anggit Ratnakusuma; Abdul Hoyyi; Sugito Sugito
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 4, No 4 (2015): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (527.673 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v4i4.10126

Abstract

Long queuing is not expected by anyone, because it’s taking much time and tiresome. However, this situation is not avoidable in public area, for example Ahmad Yani International Airport Semarang. Aircraft queuing that will take off and landed resulted in increasing of the queuing of passengers to aboard. The suitable queuing system model for Ahmad Yani Internasional Airport Semarang to solve its air traffic is using (M/M/6):(GD/∞/∞), with six aprons as server of reguler commercial flight. Moreover, based on the result of system performance measure, service system in Ahmad Yani Internasional Airport Semarang report is good enough. The result of system performance measure said that average number of aircraft in the system (Ls) was 1,0716 aircraft per hour, average number of aircraft in the queue (Lq) was 0,0002 aircraft per hour, average time aircraft spends in the system (Ws) was 0,4977 from an hour, and average time aircraft spends in the queue (Wq) was 0,0001 from an hour. The simulation showed that by using four operating server or adding two more arrival additionals in every hour, the service system is quite effective. Keywords: Queuing System Model, Ahmad Yani International Airport Semarang
ANALISIS PENGARUH KURS RUPIAH TERHADAP INDEKS HARGA SAHAM GABUNGAN MENGGUNAKAN DISTRIBUTED LAG MODEL Wilis Ardiana Pradana; Rita Rahmawati; Sugito Sugito
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 5, No 1 (2016): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (373.108 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v5i1.11060

Abstract

Analysis of distributed lag Statistics is a branch of science that discuss the case of time series data. The method can be used in a distributed lag analysis there are two Koyck Method and Almon Method. At Koyck Method of regression coefficients are assumed to have the same sign and decreases geometrically. In this method there is the dependent variable at a time ago as the independent variable so that the equation is autoregressive. By using this method to analyze the effect of the exchange rate against IHSG. Data used were 35 data. The results showed that the regression coefficient does not decrease geometrically, so that Koyck Method can not be used to resolve this case. To resolve this case, the used Almon Method. In the Almon Method assumed regression coefficient can be approximated by a polynomial has degree. Before applying this method to be specified maximum length of lag and the degree polynomial. To determine performed several experiments using lag length and degree polynomial different. Through these experiments the best results are obtained with a lag of three and a maximum length of second degree polynomials. The results indicate that the effect of the exchange rate against IHSG inversely. Keywords:      Distributed Lag, Koyck Method, Almon Method, Autoregressive, Lag, Polynomial
ANALISIS SISTEM ANTREAN PELAYANAN DI PT POS INDONESIA (PERSERO) KANTOR POS II SEMARANG Anggraini Susanti Kusumawardani; Sugito Sugito; Rita Rahmawati
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 3, No 4 (2014): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (371.888 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v3i4.8066

Abstract

PT Pos Indonesia (Ltd.) is one of state-owned enterprise engaged the field of service. Along with the development of communication device which more sophisticated and modern, PT Pos Indonesia (Ltd.) has to restructure, reform, and transform. Hence, that mail and delivery service through post remains used and preferred by community. There are many things to do by the customers, this is the reason why PT Pos Indonesia (Ltd.) Kantor Pos II Semarang is always crowded by customers. Therefore, it’s important to analyze queuing system that describe the condition of service line and measures of performance of four types of service counters in PT Pos Persero (Ltd.) Kantor Pos II Semarang, those are Postage counter, Special Delivery, Express, and EMS counter, Money Orders counter, and Tax counter. Base on the observation that has been done, the queuing model at the Postage counter is (M/G/1):(GD/∞/∞), Special Delivery, Express, and EMS counter is  (M/M/3):(GD/∞/∞), Money Orders counter is (M/M/2):(GD/∞/∞), and Tax counter is (M/M/2):(GD/∞/∞). Key words    :    PT Pos Indonesia (Ltd.) Kantor Pos II Semarang, Queuing Model, Measures of Performance.
ANALISIS SISTEM ANTREAN PELAYANAN DI KANTOR PERTANAHAN KOTA SEMARANG Lenti Agustina Lianasari Tambunan; Sugito Sugito; Hasbi Yasin
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 3, No 4 (2014): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (519.54 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v3i4.8083

Abstract

Kantor Pertanahan Kota Semarang in charge of the land with an area of 373.70 km2 coverage, every day crowded with visitors who want to take care of the land petition. However, the high number of applicants who must be served not proportional to the number of care facilities available to the applicant should enter the waiting list queue or experiencing situation. This situation occurs in almost all counters, namely Counter 1 Land Information, Counter 2 Registration, Counter 3 Payment, and Counter 4 Product Delivery. Therefore, the required analysis is based on the model line system in accordance with the conditions of service which can then be used to address the issue queue. Based on the analysis, the model system is the best line in counter 1 land information (M/M/1): (GD/∞/∞). Counter 2 registration which is divided into 7 sub-counters have a model (M/M/2): (GD/∞/∞) to sub counters 2A, 2B, 2C, 2E/F, 2G, 2H, and the model (M/M/4): (GD/∞/∞) to sub counter 2D. Counter 3 payment (M/M/2): (GD/∞/∞). Counter 4 is the product delivery (M/M/2): (GD/∞/∞).Keywords :  Queuing system, Service, Arrivals
PEMODELAN MARKOV SWITCHING VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE (MSVAR) Hayuk Permatasari; Budi Warsito; Sugito Sugito
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 3, No 3 (2014): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (639.453 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v3i3.6453

Abstract

Economic and financial variables are variables that are fluctuated because of regime switching as a result of political and economical conditions. Linear modeling can not capture the regime switching, so it is better to use Markov Switching Vector Autoregressive Models (MSVAR). MSVAR is a combination of vector autoregressive models and hidden markov models. Daily return of Rupiah buying rate against the USD and Euro are economic variables that are fluctuated and they can explain economic condition of a country. The best model of five order iteration is MS (2) - VAR (4) with the smallest AIC value, that is -1460.48.  Maximum Likelihood Estimation is a method to get parameters estimation. With 73 data, the return rates has transition probability 0.08 from crisis to normal state, while the transisition probablity of the opposite condition is 0.6. Expected value being at normal state is 13.10 days and being at crisis state is 1,68 days.
SISTEM ANTRIAN PADA PELAYANAN CUSTOMER SERVICE PT. BANK X Melati Puspa Nur Fadlilah; Sugito Sugito; Rita Rahmawati
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 6, No 1 (2017): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (648.545 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v6i1.14769

Abstract

Customer Service is one form of service facility at PT. Bank X which is directly related with the public as customers. It contains kind of transactions that often caused a queue. To increase public interest in the activities of banking transactions, the facility provider tries to gives satisfaction to the customers who come, so they do not have to wait too long but without make disadvantages to the existing service system. Queueing analysis have been done in order to determine how the service system of Customer Service. Based on the analysis of research data on June, 27th 2016 to July, 1st 2016, a queueing model on Customer Service PT. Bank X is (Poisson/Weibull/3):(FCFS/∞/∞) with the customer arrival rate does not exceed the service rate. In that queueing model, the number of arrivals is Poisson distribution, service time is Weibull distribution and there are three service counters. Queueing discipline that applied is customers will be served were the first comes to the bank, with the system capacity and the calling population of customers is infinite. To provide information as a reference or consideration to the PT. Bank X, then a simulation with the software called Arena has been done to determine the performance of the service system with the addition or subtraction of the number of Customer Service.Keywords: Service, Customer, Bank, Customer Service, Queueing Model, Simulation, Arena.
ANALISIS ANTRIAN ANGKUTAN PENYEBERANGAN PELABUHAN MERAK Ariyo Kurniawan; Sugito Sugito; Yuciana Wilandari
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 4, No 3 (2015): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (519.997 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v4i3.9426

Abstract

Marine transportation has an important role on economy and migration from one island to another island. Port is a gateway to enter an area and connecting infrastructure between islands. Merak port as the connector of traffic lanes between Java’s island and Sumatra’s island with Ro-Ro ship. Ro-Ro ship is marine transportation that can load a vehicle rolling on and rolling off the ship with its auto-movement (Roll on Roll off). As a service provider of the Ro-Ro ships, the port of Merak trying to serve Ro-Ro ship as good as possible. Measurement of performance system can be analyzed with direct research in the port. The research is being done by observation and recording of the Ro-Ro ships at the pier port of Merak. Based on the results of the analysis, queue model at the port of Merak is (G/G/5) :(GD/∞/∞). Queuing system simulation and ship docking’s cost analysis can be a reference for the port in optimizing management performance the port of Merak crossing. Keywords: supplemental cost, defined benefit plans, accrued benefit cost.
IDENTIFIKASI MODEL ANTRIAN BUS RAPID TRANSIT (BRT) PADA HALTE OPERASIONAL BRT SEMARANG Niken Nindyaiswari; Sugito Sugito; Yuciana Wilandari
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 4, No 3 (2015): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (576.157 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v4i3.9483

Abstract

The process of a queue is a process related with the attending of customers in a service facility, standing in line waiting for the service while the servers are busy servicing the other customers, the customers will leave the facility after getting the service. This process is usually happened in the public services such as at the operational shelter of Semarang Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) Semarang. BRT Semarang has 4 departure gates and transit bus stop passed by all of the buses. The BRT does not have special track. It has to pass though the same road as the other kinds of buses. As a result there are queues in some crowded BRT shelters especially at the service in the departure and shelters that are passed through by all BRT or tracks. An effective special queue model is needed to make the service in the departure and transit shelter more effective. Based on the result of the analysis the best queue model is at the departure shelter track I, II, III, and IV they use the same models (M/G/1) (GD/∞/∞) and the queue models at the City Hall Transit Shelter are (G/G/1) (GD/∞/∞). Key words: queue process, model of queue, Semarang BRT
PREDIKSI RETURN PORTOFOLIO MENGGUNAKAN METODE KALMAN FILTER Dita Rosita Sari; Tatik Widiharih; Sugito Sugito
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 5, No 4 (2016): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (764.579 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v5i4.14722

Abstract

Stock is an evidence for individual or institutional ownership about a company. To cover losses in stocks investment, should be done diversification to spread  risk in some stocks called as portfolio. Portfolio is a joint of two or more stocks investment that are choosen as investment’s targets over spesific time periods and certain rules. To minimize losses in stocks investment, needed to predict portfolio return for some coming periods. Good prediction has small difference with actual data. One method that can minimize MSE is Kalman Filter. Kalman Filter estimates a process through feed back Control Mechanism called recursion. The variable used are monthly portfolio return of PT Mayora Indah Tbk and PT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk in January 2005 until December 2015. Data In January 2005 until December 2014 are used to predict the return portfolio for Year 2015. After that, an interval is made for those forecast results and compare with actual data. If actual data are residing in the interval, then Kalman Filter method can be used to predict portfolio return for year 2016. The MSE value with kalman Filter is 0,00225 and the MSE value with Box-Jenkis method is 0,00253, so Kalman Filter can minimize the MSE value. Keywords : portfolio return, Box-Jenkins, Kalman Filter
Co-Authors Abdul Hoyyi abdullah nur aziz Abdullah Nur Aziz Abellisa Abellisa Acnes Ratu Dea Adek Cerah Kurnia Azis Adin Ariyanti Dewi Agung - Kusasti Agus Rusgiyono Al Azhar Alan Prahutama Aminuddin Aminuddin Aminuyati Amiruddin Amiruddin Andi Novita Andry Dwira Utama Anggit Ratnakusuma Anggraini Susanti Kusumawardani Anjan Setyo Wahyudi Anna Farida Annisa Annisa Annisa Rifka Alifia Anton Suhartono Aqila Yusriyya Hanun Aref Vai Arham Arham Arief Rachman Hakim Arief Seno Nugroho Arif Widagdo Ariyo Kurniawan Arman Sayuti Arumi Savitri F Aryani Sairun Aryono Rahmad Hakim Aselina Pratidina Wrediningsih Aulia Syafidah Ayuni Ruslina B.Y. Eko Budi Jumpeno Bandhia Ayu Lestari Budi Warsito Cakra Kurniawan Christina Irnani Cut Nila Thasmi Cyntia Surya Utami Darari Rahma Lalita Darmanto Silalahi Darmawi Darmawi Dasrul Dasrul Daulat Saragi Dede Rusmawan Dedi Nugraha Delfiana Anggraini Permatasari Dhiniaty Gularso Di Asih I Maruddani Diah Safitri Dian Febriana Dita Rosita Sari Dita Ruliana Djoko Adi Walujo Dwi Ispriyanti Dwi Ispriyanti Dwi Ispriyanti Dwi Sari Tristiana Eko Adyan Sukanianto Elsa Mariane Ramadani Endra Susila Erna Fransisca Angela Sihotang Erna Musri Arlita Erwin Erwin Esti Pratiwi Etriwati E Fakhrurrazi Fakhrurrazi Farzand Abdullatif Fatkhan Arissetya Fatma Septy Deviana Firda Shintia Dewi Friska Irnas Adiyani Frisyi Alfiah Gholib Gholib Ginta Riady Hamdan Hamdan Hamdani Budiman hartono hartono Hartono Hartono Hartono Hartono Haryanti Novitasari Hasbi Yasin Hayuk Permatasari Ilham Indra Bakti Al-Irsyad Ilhan Samudra Fattah Indah Nurhayati Indrarini D. I. Indria Tsani Hazhiah Ira Susanti Ismail Ismail Issabella Marsasella Christy Jenesia Kusuma Wardhani Joko Sutrisno Julia Kardin Juliani Juliani Kelik Isbiyantoro Khusnul Yeni Widiyanti Kiky Moelviani Kofifah Indar Prawansyah Lailatus Sya’diyah Laily Nadhifah Lenti Agustina Lianasari Tambunan Leny Darlem Luthfi Nashukha Dewi M Daud AK M Nur Salim M. Chairul Amri M. Hasan Mahdi Abrar Mahdi Abrar Martyanto Tedjo Masfuhurrizqi Iman Mekar Sekar Sari Melati Puspa Nur Fadlilah Meliy Marsanda Merynda Indriyani Syafutri Moch. Abdul Mukid Muhammad Al Kholif Muhammad Faizin Muhammad Hambal Muhammad Hanafiah Muhammad Nur Salim Muslim Akmal Mustafid Mustafid Muzammil Muzammil Nabigus Thoriq Harasta Nandita Aprilia Ayu Virnanda Nia Puspita Sari Niha Kamaliya Niken Nindyaiswari Noveda Mulya Wibowo NOVIA RAHMAWATI Nur Paramita Nira Mulyono Nurliana Nurliana NURLIANA NURLIANA Nursihan Nursihan Nurul Trianda Prameswari R. Kusumo Pratiwi Purnama Sari Prizka Rismawati Arum Pujiono Pujiono Pungut Pungut Pungut, Pungut Purina Pakurnia Artiguna Putra Halomoan Siregar Rahmah Merdekawaty Rany Wahyuningtias Ratnawati, Rhenny Razali Daud Razali Razali Restu Dewi Kusumo Astuti Rinidar Rinidar Rintan Aulal Ilmy Rita Rachmawati Rita Rahmawati Rivaldi Luthfi Rizki Aulia Rohiman Rohiman Roslizawaty Roslizawaty Rukun Santoso Rusli Rusli Salsabilah Balqis Sehah Sehah Sigit Puspito Sigma Wahyuni Silvia Rahmawati Simon Petrus Silalahi Siti Aisyah Siti Anisah Siti Azizah Siti Maghfirotin Soimah Siti Ma’rifah Slamet Slamet Slamet Slamet Sofia Cahyatilmasamah Sri Maya Sari Damanik Sri Wahyuni Sudarno Sudarno Suparno Suparno Suparti Suparti Susi Darmayanti Susy Sriwahyuni Sutrasno Sutrasno Swasnita Swasnita Syaiful, Friska Sylvi Natalia P P T. Armansyah TR T. Fadrial Karmil Tarno Tarno Tatik Widiharih Teuku Reza Ferasyi Teuku Reza Ferasyi Teuku Zahrial Helmi Tiani Wahyu Utami Titin Afriana Tongku Nizwan Siregar Triastuti Wuryandari Tristanti Tristanti Ulya Chofifah Ummu Balqis USWATUN HASANAH Vara Tassa Sutari Velly Ika Arfianda P A Vita Dwi Rachmawati Wahyu Wibawa Wayaning Apsari Widodo Soemadi Widya Ayu Yuliana Widya Nanda Wilis Ardiana Pradana Yuciana Wilandari Yudan Hermawan Yunanur Hanikmah Yustina Tri Handayani Yusuf Arifka Rahman Zamroni Zamroni Zaroh Irayani Zuhrawati NA Zulpikar Zulpikar