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KLASIFIKASI KINERJA PERUSAHAAN DI INDONESIA DENGAN MENGGUNAKAN METODE WEIGHTED K NEAREST NEIGHBOR (Studi Kasus: 436 Perusahaan Yang Terdaftar Di Bursa Efek Indonesia Tahun 2015) Cyntia Surya Utami; Moch. Abdul Mukid; Sugito Sugito
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 6, No 2 (2017): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (620.257 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v6i2.16947

Abstract

A company's performance can be seen from the analysis of the company's financial statements. Financial statement analysis is used to determine the development of the company's financial condition. In analyzing the financial statements required financial ratios depicting the weight of the company's performance. This thesis aims to classify the performance of the company into two classifications, namely the company healthy and unhealthy companies as well as determine the level of accuracy. This final project using financial ratio data 436 companies listed in the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2015 which has been audited and is divided into two parts of 349 training data and 87 test data. The method used is the weighted k nearest neighbor with a dependent variable is the performance of the company and six independent variables are financial ratios WCTA, ROA, TATO, DAR, LDAR and ROI. The results of this thesis show that the method of calculation of weighted k k nearest neighbor optimal done by trial and error. Provided that the optimal k at k = 3 for kernel inversion, epanechnikov and triangles while for optimal kernel k gauss at k = 4. The accuracy of classification and classification performance of the company gave almost the same results by using kernel inversion, Gauss, epanechnikov and triangles. Keywords: financial ratios, weighted k nearest neighbor and kernel inversion, Gauss, epanechnikov and triangles.
ESTIMASI PARAMETER REGRESI LOGISTIK MULTINOMIAL DENGAN METODE BAYES Wayaning Apsari; Hasbi Yasin; Sugito Sugito
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 2, No 1 (2013): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (567.108 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v2i1.2746

Abstract

Multinomial logistic regression is a logistic regression where the dependent variable is polychotomous is dependent variable value of more than two categories. Multinomial logistic regression parameter estimation usually use classical method that is based only on current information obtained from the sample without taking into account the initial information of logistic regression parameters. If have early information  about parameter is prior distribution, the parameter estimation can use Bayes method. Bayesian methods combine information on the sample with prior distribution of information, and the results are expressed in the posterior distribution. If posterior distribution can not be derived analytically so approximated using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm especially Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. This algorithm uses acceptance and rejection mechanism to generate a sequence of random samples. Keyword: Multinomial Logistic Regression, Bayes Method, Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm (MCMC), Metropolis-Hastings algorithm.
ANALISIS PASIEN RAWAT INAP BERDASARKAN KELAS PERAWATAN DI RSUP Dr. KARIADI SEMARANG DENGAN METODE ANTRIAN Friska Irnas Adiyani; Sugito Sugito; Triastuti Wuryandari
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 2, No 4 (2013): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (603.585 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v2i4.3794

Abstract

Health is the right of everyone. RSUP Dr. Kariadi as one of the health service facilities has an obligation to provide service optimally to overcome the necessities and complaints of the patients. Nevertheless, the high number of patients that are not in balance with the amount of service facilities be constraints in achieving this purpose, so the patient must be entered the waiting-list or having a queuing situation. This situation happens in queuing system of the hospitalization patients at the place for registration of hospitalization patients (TPPRI) and at the care room installation of hospitalization A and B RSUP Dr. Kariadi Semarang. Therefore, it is necessary to determine the queuing system models that is appropriately with the conditions and characteristics of the queuing at TPPRI and care room that classified based on care class. So it can help in determining the decision to achieve the effective and efficient service. From the analysis result, the best queuing model for TPPRI is  and for the care room that is classified based on care class are  for the main class,  for the first class, for second class,  dan the last  for third class.
OPTIMALISASI JUMLAH BATU BATA YANG PECAH MENGGUNAKAN DESAIN EKSPERIMEN TAGUCHI (Studi Kasus: Usaha Batu Bata Bapak Kholil Ds. Bulak Karangawen) Cakra Kurniawan; Hasbi Yasin; Sugito Sugito
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 3, No 2 (2014): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (471.544 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v3i2.5907

Abstract

Brick is a substansial element in building construction. The strength of building may depend on bricks, a solid construction uses the best quality brick’s, which is not crumbling and broken into two parts. There are two popular types of bricks in Semarang, Penggaron bricks and Welahan bricks, Penggaron bricks is the most desirable type in market, but the quality of Penggaron bricks is worse than Welahan bricks, because the Penggaron bricks broken pieces are much more than Welahan’s. So that Penggaron bricks were taken to do research in purpose of optimizing the number of brick’s broken pieces that occurred during the production process. The method being used was the "Taguchi Design of Experiments" using Smaller is Better as quality character. The outcome of pre-experimental study was 3 factors and 2 levels so that L4 Orthogonal Array was used. After analyzing and conducting confirmation experiment, the result was obtained as follow, at the initial conditions, there are 4.6% of broken bricks, the broken bricks became 1.8%, after the experiment. The 1.8% of broken bricks were still within the range of the predicted value 1% to 2%.
PENENTUAN MODEL DAN UKURAN KINERJA PROSES ANTRIAN PADA UNIT PELAYANAN TEKNIK DINAS PUSKESMAS LIMBANGAN KABUPATEN KENDAL Fatkhan Arissetya; Sugito Sugito; Sudarno Sudarno
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 3, No 3 (2014): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (335.937 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v3i3.6447

Abstract

The UPTD (Unit Pelayanan Teknik Dinas) of Local Government Clinic of Limbangan in Kendal Regency is the only health-service in Limbangan Sub-district although there is another health-service such as doctors and midwifes. Since there are many people coming to the Local Clinic of Limbangan, it causes quite long queue. Therefore, it is needed to analyze the queuing model to finding out the system of the activity measure, so it can be concluded the queuing description and the service. If the distributrion of the arrival or the service is poisson or exponential, so the model is Markovial (M). However, if the distribution is not poisson or exponential, so the model is General (G). The queuing model of outpatients includes Regristrtion-Counter (M/G/1):(GD/∞/∞) , Medical Service (M/M/3):(GD/∞/∞)  and Medicine-Counter (M/G/1):(GD/∞/∞). Meanwhile, the queuing model of hospitalized patients covers Hospitalized Rooms (M/M/16):(GD/∞/∞) and Payment Counter (M/G/1):(GD/∞/∞). It has been found out the best queue from the analysis in UPTD Local Government Clinic of Limbangan that is registration counter because the service time is quick and there are few queuing patients, so it won’t be hoarding
PENENTUAN VALUASI PORTOFOLIO OBLIGASI DENGAN CREDIT METRICS DAN MONTE CARLO SIMULATION Arief Seno Nugroho; Di Asih I Maruddani; Sugito Sugito
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 2, No 3 (2013): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (464.515 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v2i3.3663

Abstract

The capital market is one way to get funding for the company and as a medium to strengthen corporate finance position. One of the instruments that are traded than stocks are bonds. The advantage of this instrument because it is easy and rapid acquisition of funds to beused for the operations of the corporate and the period of payment is longer. Bond investment must be noticed valuations and credit risk, with calculating the valuation can be estimate bonds credit risk. Credit Metrics is a reduced form model to estimate the risk of displacement of ratings. The risk not only occur when corporate rating be default but also if the rating upgrade or downgrade. For the determination of the portfolio valuation can be used Monte Carlo simulation using generate scenarios corporate ratings. Empirical study can be used for three bonds there are Obligasi II Bank Danamon Tahun 2010 Seri B, Obligasi II Telkom Tahun 2010 Seri A, and Obligasi Indofood Sukses Makmur V Tahun 2009. Each has an average valuation of 1.013,039 billion, 1.179,203 billion and 2.259,284 billion. The valuation of the portfolio amounted to 4.451,52 billion and a standard deviation 70,33 billion
Ketepatan Klasifikasi Status Pemberian Air Susu Ibu (ASI) Menggunakan Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) dan Algoritma C4.5 di Kabupaten Sragen Yusuf Arifka Rahman; Suparti Suparti; Sugito Sugito
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 5, No 1 (2016): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (502.401 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v5i1.11062

Abstract

The progress of a nation influenced and determined by the level of public health, the indicator of the level of health is determined by nutritional status. Nutrition can be given early, namely breastfeeding to infants. This research aims to compare the classification of exclusive breastfeeding and nonexclusive breastfeeding. It used two methods for classifying a breastfeeding to babies in Sragen subdistrict on 2014, the methods are Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) and C4.5 Algorithm. MARS is nonparametric regression method that use to overcome the high dimension of data that produces accurate prediction and continuous models on knot. C4.5 Algorithm is a way of classifying methods from data mining that use to construct a decision tree. To evaluate the result of classification use Apparent Error Rate (APER) calculation. The best classification  result using MARS method is by using the combination of Basis Function (BF)=40, Maximum Interaction (MI)=3, Minimum Obsevation (MO)=3 because it will result on the smallest Generalized Cross Validation (GCV). Classification result using MARS method obtained APER is 19,7674% and 80,2326% of accuracy. Classification result using C4.5 Algorithm obtained APER is 18,6047% and 81,3953% of accuracy. From proportion test, concluded classification that formed by MARS is as good as by C4.5 Algorithm. Keywords: Breastfeeding, Classification, MARS, C4.5 Algorithm
PENDEKATAN REGRESI POLINOMIAL ORTHOGONAL UNTUK MENENTUKAN KADAR SALINITAS DAN KONSENTRASI LARUTAN KITOSAN PADA PEMBUATAN ANTIBAKTERI Haryanti Novitasari; Triastuti Wuryandari; Sugito Sugito
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 3, No 3 (2014): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (433.73 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v3i3.6452

Abstract

Indonesia is one of the countries with big marine resource. It can cause increased marine waste, such as the shells. Shells can be processed into chitosan. Chitosan has the benefits with high economic value, one of the benefit is became a source of natural antibacterial. Antibacterial test of the chitosan and salinity of the S. aureus bactery indicating inhibition zone formation. The larger inhibition zone indicated that antibacterial produced  is better. To optimize the level of salinity and concentration of chitosan so this is used polynomial orthogonal regression approach. This approach can be done on design with the quantitative factors and it have same distance. Determination of the degree of polynomial orthogonal based on orthogonal contrasts that have significant factor of salinity and concentration of chitosan, then it can be determined the shape of regression equation. From the that equation can be determined the extreme points using a differential count. When return to the form of the design it can be determined in what  levels of salinity and concentration of chitosan that can maximize the inhibition zone in millimeters. After optimization obtained maximum value of salinity is 18,2846375915% and concentration of chitosan is 1,999699328% with assessment of inhibition zone of antibacterial for S. aureus is 1,72486650 mm. 
PENERAPAN TEORI ANTRIAN PADA PELAYANAN TELLER BANK X KANTOR CABANG PEMBANTU PURI SENTRA NIAGA Nia Puspita Sari; Sugito Sugito; Budi Warsito
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 6, No 1 (2017): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (676.136 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v6i1.14771

Abstract

Bank X Puri Sentra Niaga branch office is one of bank that can not be separated from the queue issue. The customers want a fast and easy service. The length of queueing and the long waiting times may cause customers cancel the transaction and choose another bank. Therefore, it is necessary to define a suitable queueing model of teller service. Bank X Puri Sentra Niaga branch office have two types of teller service namely Antrian 1 and Antrian 2. Queueing model for Antrian 1 is (M/G/1):(GD//). The model describe that the customers arrival distribution is Poisson, the customer service distribution is General, the number of server is 1, the service disipline is FIFO (first in first out), the customers capacity and the resource of customers are infinite. Queueing model for Antrian 2 is (M/M/2):(GD//). The model describe that customers arival distribution and service distribution are Poisson, the number of server is 2, the service disipline is FIFO (first in first out), the customers capacity and the resource of customers are infinite. Software Arena is applied in simulation to compare the measures of performance if the number of teller added.Keywords: Queue, Queueing System Model, Bank, Teller.
PEMILIHAN MODEL REGRESI LINIER MULTIVARIAT TERBAIK DENGAN KRITERIA MEAN SQUARE ERROR Aminuddin Aminuddin; Sudarno Sudarno; Sugito Sugito
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 2, No 1 (2013): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (913.495 KB) | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.v2i1.2125

Abstract

Regresi linier multivariat merupakan salah satu metode analisis regresi yang melibatkan lebih dari satu variabel respon, dengan model regresinya adalah . Penggunaan banyak variabel dalam analisis regresi linier multivariat dapat menjadi hal yang menyulitkan untuk menentukan besarnya pengaruh variabel prediktor terhadap variabel respon. Oleh karena itu, dilakukan penyeleksian variabel guna mendapatkan model regresi terbaik. Prosedur seleksi variabel dengan kriteria Mean Square Error (MSE) merupakan suatu metode untuk mendapatkan model terbaik dengan cara mencari model yang memiliki nilai MSE terkecil dari seluruh model yang mungkin
Co-Authors Abdul Hoyyi abdullah nur aziz Abdullah Nur Aziz Abellisa Abellisa Acnes Ratu Dea Adek Cerah Kurnia Azis Adin Ariyanti Dewi Agung - Kusasti Agus Rusgiyono Al Azhar Alan Prahutama Aminuddin Aminuddin Aminuyati Amiruddin Amiruddin Andi Novita Andry Dwira Utama Anggit Ratnakusuma Anggraini Susanti Kusumawardani Anjan Setyo Wahyudi Anna Farida Annisa Annisa Annisa Rifka Alifia Anton Suhartono Aqila Yusriyya Hanun Aref Vai Arham Arham Arief Rachman Hakim Arief Seno Nugroho Arif Widagdo Ariyo Kurniawan Arman Sayuti Arumi Savitri F Aryani Sairun Aryono Rahmad Hakim Aselina Pratidina Wrediningsih Aulia Syafidah Ayuni Ruslina B.Y. Eko Budi Jumpeno Bandhia Ayu Lestari Budi Warsito Cakra Kurniawan Christina Irnani Cut Nila Thasmi Cyntia Surya Utami Darari Rahma Lalita Darmanto Silalahi Darmawi Darmawi Dasrul Dasrul Daulat Saragi Dede Rusmawan Dedi Nugraha Delfiana Anggraini Permatasari Dhiniaty Gularso Di Asih I Maruddani Diah Safitri Dian Febriana Dita Rosita Sari Dita Ruliana Djoko Adi Walujo Dwi Ispriyanti Dwi Ispriyanti Dwi Ispriyanti Dwi Sari Tristiana Eko Adyan Sukanianto Elsa Mariane Ramadani Endra Susila Erna Fransisca Angela Sihotang Erna Musri Arlita Erwin Erwin Esti Pratiwi Etriwati E Fakhrurrazi Fakhrurrazi Farzand Abdullatif Fatkhan Arissetya Fatma Septy Deviana Firda Shintia Dewi Friska Irnas Adiyani Frisyi Alfiah Gholib Gholib Ginta Riady Hamdan Hamdan Hamdani Budiman Hartono Hartono Hartono Hartono hartono hartono Haryanti Novitasari Hasbi Yasin Hayuk Permatasari Ilham Indra Bakti Al-Irsyad Ilhan Samudra Fattah Indah Nurhayati Indrarini D. I. Indria Tsani Hazhiah Ira Susanti Ismail Ismail Issabella Marsasella Christy Jenesia Kusuma Wardhani Joko Sutrisno Julia Kardin Juliani Juliani Kelik Isbiyantoro Khusnul Yeni Widiyanti Kiky Moelviani Kofifah Indar Prawansyah Lailatus Sya’diyah Laily Nadhifah Lenti Agustina Lianasari Tambunan Leny Darlem Luthfi Nashukha Dewi M Daud AK M Nur Salim M. Chairul Amri M. Hasan Mahdi Abrar Mahdi Abrar Martyanto Tedjo Masfuhurrizqi Iman Mekar Sekar Sari Melati Puspa Nur Fadlilah Meliy Marsanda Merynda Indriyani Syafutri Moch. Abdul Mukid Muhammad Al Kholif Muhammad Faizin Muhammad Hambal Muhammad Hanafiah Muhammad Nur Salim Muslim Akmal Mustafid Mustafid Muzammil Muzammil Nabigus Thoriq Harasta Nandita Aprilia Ayu Virnanda Nia Puspita Sari Niha Kamaliya Niken Nindyaiswari Noveda Mulya Wibowo NOVIA RAHMAWATI Nur Paramita Nira Mulyono Nurliana Nurliana NURLIANA NURLIANA Nursihan Nursihan Nurul Trianda Prameswari R. Kusumo Pratiwi Purnama Sari Prizka Rismawati Arum Pujiono Pujiono Pungut Pungut Pungut, Pungut Purina Pakurnia Artiguna Putra Halomoan Siregar Rahmah Merdekawaty Rany Wahyuningtias Ratnawati, Rhenny Razali Daud Razali Razali Restu Dewi Kusumo Astuti Rinidar Rinidar Rintan Aulal Ilmy Rita Rachmawati Rita Rahmawati Rivaldi Luthfi Rizki Aulia Rohiman Rohiman Roslizawaty Roslizawaty Rukun Santoso Rusli Rusli Salsabilah Balqis Sehah Sehah Sigit Puspito Sigma Wahyuni Silvia Rahmawati Simon Petrus Silalahi Siti Aisyah Siti Anisah Siti Azizah Siti Maghfirotin Soimah Siti Ma’rifah Slamet Slamet Slamet Slamet Sofia Cahyatilmasamah Sri Maya Sari Damanik Sri Wahyuni Sudarno Sudarno Suparno Suparno Suparti Suparti Susi Darmayanti Susy Sriwahyuni Sutrasno Sutrasno Swasnita Swasnita Syaiful, Friska Sylvi Natalia P P T. Armansyah TR T. Fadrial Karmil Tarno Tarno Tatik Widiharih Teuku Reza Ferasyi Teuku Reza Ferasyi Teuku Zahrial Helmi Tiani Wahyu Utami Titin Afriana Tongku Nizwan Siregar Triastuti Wuryandari Tristanti Tristanti Ulya Chofifah Ummu Balqis USWATUN HASANAH Vara Tassa Sutari Velly Ika Arfianda P A Vita Dwi Rachmawati Wahyu Wibawa Wayaning Apsari Widodo Soemadi Widya Ayu Yuliana Widya Nanda Wilis Ardiana Pradana Yuciana Wilandari Yudan Hermawan Yunanur Hanikmah Yustina Tri Handayani Yusuf Arifka Rahman Zamroni Zamroni Zaroh Irayani Zuhrawati NA Zulpikar Zulpikar