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Dita Atasa
Universitas Pembangunan Nasional Veteran Jawa Timur
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Journal : AGROMIX

 1 
Volatilitas harga pangan pokok di pasar global sebagai dampak pandemi COVID-19 dan resesi ekonomi dunia Prasmita Dian Wijayati; Dona Laily; Dita Atasa

Publisher : Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Yudharta Pasuruan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1083.265 KB) | DOI: 10.35891/agx.v13i1.2874

Abstract

Introduction: Most food commodity prices on the world market increased drastically in late 2006 to mid 2008. The increase in food prices in 2008 was triggered by the global crisis. In 2020, the world is facing a global recession caused by the Covid-19 pandemic. This study aims to examine the impact of the global recession on the prices of several food commodities in the global market. Methods: Analysis of food price volatility in global markets using secondary time series data on monthly staple food prices for the period January 1960 to December 2020 (720 time series). This study analyzes the volatility of staple food prices using the Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic (ARCH) model Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic (GARCH). Results: The results showed that most food commodity prices had high volatility during the 1973 crisis and 2008 crisis. However, food prices were not too affected by the 2020 global recession. Volatility analysis was conducted to determine the movement of food commodity prices during the crisis and recession. Secondary data obtained from the World Bank's Pink Sheet Data were used in this study. The nature of the data is a monthly time series from January 1960 to December 2020. The volatility analysis is estimated using the ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) and ARCH-GARCH (Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity-Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity) models. Conclusion: the results of the study indicate that most food commodity prices have high volatility during the 1973 crisis and 2008 crisis. However, food prices are not too affected by the 2020 global recession.
Dampak kuota ekspor terhadap perdagangan internasional karet alam Indonesia Dona Wahyuning Laily; Dita Atasa; Prasmita Dian Wijayanti

Publisher : Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Yudharta Pasuruan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35891/agx.v13i2.2822

Abstract

Introduction: This research aimed at analyzing :1) several factors that are influencing Indonesia’s and world’s natural rubber trade performance, 2)export quota impact on Indonesia's and world’s natural rubber trade performance, 3) export quota impact on Indonesia’s natural rubber economic agent’s welfare distribution. Methods: The model used in this study uses a systems approach and uses a simultaneous equation econometric model. Results: Result of Syslin procedure in this research indicate that: 1) Several factors influencing Indonesia’s natural rubber supply significantly are the harvested area, the domestik price of palm oil and Indonesia’s natural rubber export volume. On the other hand the domestic price of Indonesia’s natural rubber is not significantly influencing Indonesia’s natural rubber supply; 2) One factor that significantly influencing Indonesia’s natural rubber price is Indonesia’s natural rubber export volume, furthermore synthetic rubber price and exchange rate are not significantly influencing the domestic price of Indonesia’s natural rubber; 3) Several factors that significantly influencing world’s natural rubber export volume are natural rubber export volume of Indonesia, Thailand and Malaysia. World’s natural rubber export volume one year ago also significantly influencing world’s natural rubber export volume; 4) Several factors that significantly influencing world’s natural rubber import volume are natural rubber import volume of USA, Japan and Chinese; 5) Several factors that significantly influencing world’s natural rubber price are synthetic rubber price and world’s natural rubber price one year ago, on the other hand world’s natural rubber export volume is not significantly influencing world’s natural rubber price. Conclusion: As a result of the quota value on exports on the welfare distribution of Indonesian natural rubber economic actors if implemented in the 2013-2019 period, the producer surplus will decrease by US$ 630872.283 while the consumer surplus will increase by US$ 89130.882 and foreign exchange earnings will decrease by US$ 479441 (8.506 %).
Dampak kuota ekspor terhadap perdagangan internasional karet alam Indonesia: Impact of export quotas on Indonesian natural rubber trade Laily, Dona Wahyuning; Atasa, Dita; Wijayanti, Prasmita Dian
AGROMIX Vol 13 No 2 (2022)
Publisher : Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Yudharta Pasuruan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35891/agx.v13i2.2822

Abstract

Introduction: This research aimed at analyzing :1) several factors that are influencing Indonesia’s and world’s natural rubber trade performance, 2)export quota impact on Indonesia's and world’s natural rubber trade performance, 3) export quota impact on Indonesia’s natural rubber economic agent’s welfare distribution. Methods: The model used in this study uses a systems approach and uses a simultaneous equation econometric model. Results: Result of Syslin procedure in this research indicate that: 1) Several factors influencing Indonesia’s natural rubber supply significantly are the harvested area, the domestik price of palm oil and Indonesia’s natural rubber export volume. On the other hand the domestic price of Indonesia’s natural rubber is not significantly influencing Indonesia’s natural rubber supply; 2) One factor that significantly influencing Indonesia’s natural rubber price is Indonesia’s natural rubber export volume, furthermore synthetic rubber price and exchange rate are not significantly influencing the domestic price of Indonesia’s natural rubber; 3) Several factors that significantly influencing world’s natural rubber export volume are natural rubber export volume of Indonesia, Thailand and Malaysia. World’s natural rubber export volume one year ago also significantly influencing world’s natural rubber export volume; 4) Several factors that significantly influencing world’s natural rubber import volume are natural rubber import volume of USA, Japan and Chinese; 5) Several factors that significantly influencing world’s natural rubber price are synthetic rubber price and world’s natural rubber price one year ago, on the other hand world’s natural rubber export volume is not significantly influencing world’s natural rubber price. Conclusion: As a result of the quota value on exports on the welfare distribution of Indonesian natural rubber economic actors if implemented in the 2013-2019 period, the producer surplus will decrease by US$ 630872.283 while the consumer surplus will increase by US$ 89130.882 and foreign exchange earnings will decrease by US$ 479441 (8.506 %).
Co-Authors A., Padma Galuh A.Ibrahim, Hilmi Abidin A., Zainal ABRAR, MUHAMMAD KERIL DYMAL Achmad Syaifulloh Aditya Arief Rachmadhan Agussalim Aileena Solicitor Costa Rica El Chidtian Akbar Hariputra Alamiyah, Syifa Syarifah Alda, Irine Selviana Alfiani, Fina Alifia Oktaviani Sastra Amanda Ayun Salsabila Amir, Indra Tjahaja Ananta Prakoso, Wahyu Tito Angelique Salsabillah Yumna Patricia Natus Anisa, Tania Nur Annisa Rizki Nabila Annisa Vira Widayanti Ardiyanto, Ryan Maulana Arfiana Dita Arum Sari Ariansyah, Junaidi Arika Mardiana Arum, Dewi Puspa Asep Syaefuddin Assyarif, Hilmy Mufid Atika Permata Sari Aulia Nurul Hikmah Baik, Stevi Putri Afdolvina Bening Kusumawati Budiningsih, Faridhatul Ismah Churin’in, Rachma Arsyieta Damayanti, Denia Rista Dea Aji Puspitasari Deanisa Herawati Putri Devianti, Hidayah Nur Imansari DEWI RAHMAWATI Dewi Suryani Dhian Satria Yudha Dhian Satria Yudha Kartika Dita Megasari Dita Megasari Dita Rosyita Diyah Ayu Putri Aprilia Dona Laily Dona Wahyuning Laily Donny Febrianto Eko Nurhadi Elif Putri Anggraini Elisabeth Harmonia Pradita Endang Yektiningsih, Endang Erdin Handika Sumarya Ernik Ernawati Erson, Davina Azalia Fahmila, Nada Alifiyah Fatchur Rozci Feby Triharyanti Fernanda Aurellia Putri Mukhlasin Fetty Tri Anggraeny Fitri, Saidatul Fredella, Femy Atha Gustav Ahmadi Harya, Gyska Indah Hazidan Rifqi, Mohammad Habim Heidy Arviani Hery Toiba Hilmi A. Ibrahim Ida Syamsu Roidah Ika Purnamasari Ilham, Afizh Muhammad Ilmi, Sita Nadtifatul Imawan, Rifanda Indah, Pawana Nur Intan Mega Maharani John Bimasri Jumiatik, Jumiatik Kemuning, Praventiara De Aliyil Rivia Kholifa, Umi Nur Kustini Kustini Lastino, Astrid Fauzia Latif Ahmad Fauzan Leonarddin, Haekal Wisdom Lesanti, Putri Lestari, Maya Dwi Lina Nurlaili , Afina Linc Bellatrix Adhara Lutviana, Hasya Desy Maharani Nur Rokhmah Akhsanti Maulana, Arman Adrian Maulana, Hendra Mayang, Anindya Calista Mubarokah Mubarokah Mubarokah Mubarokah Najiyah, Aliyatul Najwa Tsaniya Anjainah Natus, Angelique Salsabillah Yumna Patricia Netanya Adel Stephanie Ningrum, Putri Nurlita Noor Rizkiyah Novarian Sofoi Caldera Nugraha, Dewi Amira Eka Nuraini, Riza Nuriah Yuliati Nurid Dian Ikrimah Pangestuti, Sofia Rahayu Permana, Akbar Bintang Prasetyo, Fitriano Prasmita Dian Wijayanti Prasmita Dian Wijayanti Prasmita Dian Wijayanti Prasmita Dian Wijayati Priranti, Yessy Risma Putra Astaman Putra, Chrystia Aji Putri Aeni Erviyanti Putri Iswari Dewi Putri Lesanti Putri, Safrina Maharani Raafi Rahmatulloh, Muhammad Akbar Radiv, Bagus Amnur Rahman Fauzi Rahmaniah, Rista Nur Rama, Dimas Aditya Ramadhana, Farrel Athala Ratnasari, Septilia Rhomi Ardiansyah Rifqi, Mohammad Habim Hazidan Rinda Eka Aprilia Adzanis Rita Vita Arsita Rohmah, Eva Noviana Maulanur Rohman , Moh. Fatkhur Rohman, Nafikur Rosita Rosyidah, Laely Rozak Budi Setiawan Rozchi, Fatchur Salsabil, Shofy Salsavira, Nadila Sandy Putra Aryanto Saputri, Hanggita Adwaa Septilia Ratnasari Setiawan, Rozak Budi Setya Wijaya, Riko Shofy Salsabil Siti Masitoh Siti Nurul Laili Soedarto, Teguh Sri Tjondro Winarno, Sri Tjondro Sri Widayanti Sri Widayanti Sri Widayanti Stephanie, Netanya Adel Subekti, Ferinta Ari Sugiarto Sumarya, Erdin Handika Suroya, Nala Nur Syaiful Khoiri Syarif Imam Hidayat Teguh Yulianto, Teguh Thariq Zinedin Widiansyah Tri Wahyu Nugroho Vanya, Gita Aurellia Vienes Queen Tsamara Wahyu Santoso Widyastuti, Anggraeni Wijayanti, Prasmita Dian Yana Yana Yisti Vita Via Yudha, Dhian Satria Zainal Abidin Achmad