Article Per Year (5 Year)
p-Index From 2021 - 2026
15.423
P-Index
This Author published in this journals
All Journal Jurnal Pendidikan Ilmu Sosial Bhineka Tunggal Ika: Kajian Teori dan Praktik Pendidikan PKN SOSIOHUMANIORA: Jurnal Ilmiah Ilmu Sosial dan Humaniora JURNAL MUQODDIMAH : Jurnal Ilmu Sosial, Politik dan Hummaniora Tarbawi : Jurnal Pendidikan Islam Jurnal Dinamika Sosial Budaya Al-Muaddib : Jurnal Ilmu-Ilmu Sosial & Keislaman RISTEKDIK : Jurnal Bimbingan dan Konseling NUSANTARA : Jurnal Ilmu Pengetahuan Sosial IKRA-ITH EKONOMIKA Hisbah: Jurnal Bimbingan Konseling dan Dakwah Islam Altasia : Jurnal Pariwisata Indonesia PERSPEKTIF Jurnal Manajemen Bencana (JMB) Proceedings of International Conference on Da'wa and Communication Al-Isyraq: Jurnal Bimbingan, Penyuluhan, dan Konseling Islam Journal of Computer Science and Engineering (JCSE) Jurnal Mimbar: Media Intelektual Muslim dan Bimbingan Rohani Yumary: Jurnal Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat Acta Islamica Counsenesia: Counselling Research and Applications Journal of Contemporary Islamic Counselling Sociocouns: Journal of Islamic Guidance and Counseling Lencana: Jurnal Inovasi Ilmu Pendidikan Jurnal Elektronika dan Teknik Informatika Terapan Jagratara: Journal of Disaster Research Jurnal Relawan dan Pengabdian Masyarakat REDI Jurnal Inovasi Bisnis Manajemen dan Akuntansi Al-Ihtiram: Multidisciplinary Journal of Counseling and Social Research Jurnal Mimbar: Media Intelektual Muslim Dan Bimbingan Rohani IBERS : Jurnal Pendidikan Indonesia Bermutu Jurnal Strategi Bisnis Teknologi Jukerdi: Jurnal Kewirausahaan Cerdas Dan Digital Trends in Applied Sciences, Social Sciences, and Education Indonesian Journal of Emerging Trends in Community Empowerment Civil and Military Cooperation Journal Journal of Current Research in Humanities, Social Sciences, and Business Journal of Current Research in Management, Policy, and Social Studies Nucleus Journal
Hayatul Khairul Rahmat
Politeknik Kampar
Religion Aerospace Engineering Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Humanities Astronomy Chemistry Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Earth & Planetary Sciences Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Engineering Environmental Science Health Professions Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Library & Information Science Mathematics Neuroscience Nursing Public Health Social Sciences Other

Published : 137 Documents Claim Missing Document
Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Found 1 Documents
Search
Journal : journal of computer science and engineering jcse

 1 
Accuracy Assessment of Monthly Rainfall Predictions using Seasonal ARIMA and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Akbar, Ahmad Aldizar; Darmawan, Yahya; Wibowo, Arief; Rahmat, Hayatul Khairul
Journal of Computer Science and Engineering (JCSE) Vol 5, No 2: August (2024)
Publisher : ICSE (Institute of Computer Sciences and Engineering)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

Hydro meteorological disasters are common in Indonesia. Rainfall predictions can help mitigate the impact of these disasters. This research aims to compare the accuracy of monthly rainfall prediction models using Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) methods. The input data consists of monthly rainfall records from four locations: Sampali, Kualanamu, Belawan, and Tuntungan, located around Medan, North Sumatra. The dataset spans from 2000 to 2020, with training data from 2000 to 2018 and test data from 2019 to 2020. The accuracy assessment reveals that Belawan has the largest RMSE values for both models, measuring 27.68 mm for LSTM and 28.36 mm for SARIMA. Belawan records the highest MAE values, with LSTM and SARIMA yielding 5.65 mm and 5.79 mm, respectively. SARIMA models effectively capture general trends and seasonality in linear time series data with clear patterns but struggle with extreme changes or sharp fluctuations due to their reliance on linear relationships. In contrast, LSTMs are effective at modeling complex, non-linear relationships, making them suitable for capturing general trends, seasonal patterns, and more complicated variations in the data. Understanding the characteristics of the data is crucial before applying SARIMA or LSTM models.
Co-Authors A Said Hasan Basri A Said Hasan Basri A Said Hasan Basri A. Said Hasan Basri Abdul Rahman Alfarasyi Achmad Muafi Ikhsan Adhi Kusumadjati Adib Mahdi Fadil Adriyanto, Agus Afifatuz Zakiyah Agung Priambodo Agung Priambodo Agung Prihantoro Ahmad Aldizar Akbar Ainun Najib Ainun Najib Akbar, Ahmad Aldizar Akhmad Unggul Priantoro Akilah, Maysa Alamsyah, Achmad Nurfikri Alawiyah, Desi Aldri Frinaldi Amanda Fiorella Amri, Andi Andi Ahmad Aminullah Andri Nofiar Am Andri Nofiar. Am Angelina Putri Chetwynd Anggraini, Wulan Annisa Cahyani Antoni Pribadi Anwar Kurniadi Anwar, Moh Khoerul Aprilyanto, A Apud Mahpudin, Apud Ardinata, Rayhand Putra Arief Budiarto Arief Budiarto Arief Wibowo Arif, Fadli Arif, Rachmat Arifuddin Ukhsan Aritonang, Kristian Asep Mulyana Ayu Wahyuningtyas Ayu Wahyuningtyas Azizoel Metiadini Banjarnahor, Joshua Barokat Mamah Billah, Mhd. Adil Almu'tasim Bimantara, M. Aji Bullion Dragon C Casmini C Casmini CAHYANI, ANNISA Casmini, C Cicilia Ayu Wulandari Nuwa Daivy Atiya Advisa Danhas, Mardayeli Darojah, Indah Dasman Lanin Deni Dadang Ahmad Rajab Desi Wulandari, Desi Diane Tanti Poli Diar Budi Utama Didik Hariyadi Raharjo Dinda Rahma Dewi Dirhamsyah Dirhamsyah Dwiningtias, Hamidah Dzulhijjah Yetti Efendi, Azil Akbar Efendi, Nofriza Endah Sri Wahyuni Eri Barlian Eri Barlian Fachrin, Rachma Deli Fadhiil Ali Hakim Fajar Agung Mulia Fandra Dikhi Januardani Farras Muhammad Nouval Fathin Aulia Rahman Febrina, Intan Ferra Puspito Sari Fitri Andrianti Indah Gustaman Fitri Andrianti Indah Gustaman Fitri Andrianti Indah Gustaman Fran Serano Andres Fran Serano Andres Ganbat, Munkhzul Gustaman, Fitri Andrianti Indah H Hasrian H Hasrian habibie, indra Habibullah, Abdi Naufal Hani Syarifah Hariswati Rachmadani Putri Harmi Yelmi Hasanah, Mutiara Hasbi, M. Zidny Nafi’ Hasrian Hasrian Hasrian, Hasrian Heldi Heldi Heldi Heldi, Heldi Hendrawan Bayu Prewito Hendro Pratikno Hendro Pratikno Heru Yoga Pamungkas Hidayah, Maulidatul Hiram, Taqwa Putra Budi Purnomo Sidi I Dewa Ketut Kerta Widana I Wayan Yuliarta Ilham Saputra Indah Rahayu Lestari Intan Febrina Irma Sianipar Irza Cahaya Iswati, Heni Ithvi Marhamah Jargalsaikhan, Tungsuu Joshua Banjarhanor Joshua Banjarnahor Khairunnisa Adri Khoiri Najib Kurniawan, Gilang M Mulkiyan M. Adnan Madjid M. Aji Bimantara M. Hisni Alfan Baarik M. Syamsul Maarif M. Yogi Riyantama Isjoni M. Zidny Nafi’ Hasbi M. Zuhnir Piliang Ma'ruf, Aceng Muhammad Mahfud Ma'rufah, Nurbaiti Mamah, Barokat Mardayeli Danhas Mardyah, Suci marhamah, ithvi Marlina Hidayat Miftah Ali Miftahul Huda Fendiyanto Miftahul Huda Fendiyanto Mo Awwanah Moh Khoerul Anwar Moh Khoerul Anwar Moh. Rifaldi Muhamad Syazali Muhammad Firjatullah Nur Akbar Muhammad Sarip Kodar Mulia, Fajar Agung Mursalim Mursalim Muthi’ah Alfiyah Yamin Mutia Meireni Mutia Meireni Mutiara Hasanah Muzaki, Akhmad N Nurhadiyanta N Nurjannah Nava, Lilian Nethania Nayadi, Armetha Nethania Nava, Lilian Niazi, Hakam Ali Nina Veronika Nora Andira Brabo Noviandri Nrangwesthi Widyaningrum Nrangwesthi Widyaningrum Nur Asma Deli Nur Asma Deli Nur Asma Deli Nur Hidayatul Hafidzah Nurbaiti Ma'rufah Nurbaiti Ma'rufah Nurbaiti Marufah Nurbit Nurbit Nurkholis Nurkholis Nurmalasari, Ela Nurmalasari, Ela Nurmita, Septia Nurus Sa'adah Octari Annisa Octora Br. Turnip, Mariana Oni Arizal Bastian Pernanda, Syahti Pernanda, Syahti Pratiwi, Suandara Priyana, Winda Puryanti, Lina Dwi Putra, Amal Ramadhani Qodariah, Qodariah R Rahmanisa R Rahmanisa Rachma Deli Fachrin Rahmad Akbar Rahmat Basuki Ramadhan, Denis Ramadhani, Rizkia Mutiara Ramadhani, Rizqisani Rayhand Putra Ardinata Rayhand Putra Ardinata Rembrandt, R Retnaningtiyas Susanti Retno Fuji Oktaviani Rezki Masda Putra Rezki Masda Putra Rezki Putra Rezkillah, Nafil Rini Amelia, Rini Rinny Meidiyustiani Risma Suryani Purwanto Rizkia Mutiara Ramadhani Rizkia Mutiara Ramadhani Rusdi, Lathifatuddini Sa'adah, Nurus Saputra, Ilham Saras Meilia Puspitasari Setiawati, Suci Silvia Silvia Silvia Silvia Siregar, Ewi Sarlina Siswo Hadi Sumantri Siswo Hadi Sumantri Siti Masrohatin Siti Subaidah Sri Kartika Sakti Sri Wahyuni Sri Wahyuni Sri Wanda Wahyuni Sri Wanda Wahyuni Suandara Pratiwi Suandara Pratiwi Suandara Pratiwi Subiyanto, Adi Suci Mardyah Suhailah, Roshikah Wafa Sumantri, Siswo Hadi Supena, Ence Darmo Jaya Sutikno, Ari Yudha Caesar Syah, Rohman Syahti Pernanda Syahti Pernanda Syamsurizal Syifa'ssurur, Muhammad Talolo Muara Taufiq Hidayat Teti Nurhayatul Rahmi Tri Kurniaty Triyoga Budi Prasetyo Vitria Nur Qholiva, Hawa Waryono . Waryono, W Widyaningrum, Nrangwesthi Winda Priyana Yahya Darmawan Yanuar Udianto Kurniadi Yedi Sispurwanto Yoga Adiyanto, Yoga Yoga Febianto Yoga Pamungkas, Heru Yuniartin, Titin Yuphi Handoko Suparmoko Zaen Musyirifin, Zaen Zakiyah, Afifatuz Zary, Rizky Qurnia Zelda Palin Ma'dika