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Peramalan Jumlah Kasus Baru Covid-19 di Kota Malang: Kajian dengan Analisis Time Series Metode Exponential Smoothing Ulya, Dinana Izzatul; Mahmudah; Notobroto, Hari Basuki
Media Gizi Kesmas Vol 13 No 1 (2024): MEDIA GIZI KESMAS (JUNE 2024)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/mgk.v13i1.2024.427-432

Abstract

Background: COVID-19 is a disease caused by the coronavirus and causes the main symptoms in the form of respiratory problems. The first case of COVID-19 in Indonesia occurred in March 2020. Forecasting COVID-19 cases is important to determine the right strategy for dealing with wider transmission of COVID-19. Time series analysis is a statistical analysis that can make very accurate forecasts, by considering previous data patterns. The Exponential Smoothing Method is one of the methods developed in time series analysis. Objectives: This research aims to forecast COVID-19 cases in Malang City. Methods: This research was conducted at the Malang City Health Service by taking secondary data, namely monthly data on the number of COVID-19 cases from March 2020 to August 2022. Results: Based on the research results, it shows that the number of new cases obtained in September - December 2022 was 856. Single Exponential Smoothing Mode; generated in a mathematical model is Lt = (0,0177)Yt + (0,9823)Lt-1. Conclusions: A study of the number of new COVID-19 cases in Malang City shows fluctuations from 2020-2022. The Single Exponential Smoothing method is the appropriate method for forecasting this research.
The Role of Teachers and Structural Barriers in Adolescent Anemia Education in Surabaya Schools Feriyanti, Alma; Nurmala, Ira; Widati, Sri; Muthmainnah, Muthmainnah; Notobroto, Hari Basuki
Jurnal Promosi Kesehatan Indonesia Vol 20 No 4: October 2025
Publisher : Master Program of Health Promotion Faculty of Public Health Diponegoro University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/jpki.20.4.291-302

Abstract

Background: Anemia in adolescents, particularly young women, remains a significant public health concern in Indonesia, with low adherence to iron supplementation being a key contributing factor. While previous interventions have focused primarily on individual compliance, the role of teachers as health educators in schools is often overlooked. This study aimed to analyze the determinants of teachers’ intention to provide health education on anemia prevention in Surabaya high schools.Method: A cross-sectional survey was conducted among 119 high school and vocational school teachers within the working area of Tanah Kali Kedinding Health Center, selected through simple random sampling from a total population of 170 teachers. Data were collected using structured questionnaires and analyzed using multiple logistic regressions to assess the influence of attitudes, subjective norms, and perceived behavioral control on teachers' intention to deliver health education.Result: The analysis indicated that teacher' attitudes, subjective norms, and perceived behavioral control did not significantly influence their intention to deliver health education on iron supplementation. This indicates that structural and institutional factors, rather than individual psychological characteristics, primarily influence teachers' involvement in health education delivery.of the risks of e cigarettes. Efforts to enhance adolescent anemia prevention should address structural barriers within the educational system. Policy support from schools and educational authorities is critical to institutionalizing health education as part of the teachers' formal responsibilities.
PENINGKATAN KOMPETENSI WIRAUSAHA MUDA MELALUI PROGRAM KEGIATAN KEWIRAUSAHAAN PADA BADAN USAHA AMAL NASYIATUL AISYIYAH KABUPATEN KENDAL Diwanti, Dyah Pikanthi; Suryanto, Suryanto; Iswati, Sri; Agustina, Tri Siwi; Notobroto, Hari Basuki
Martabe : Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Vol 3, No 1 (2020): Martabe : Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Tapanuli Selatan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31604/jpm.v3i1.173-185

Abstract

Nasyiatul Aisyiyah Kabupaten Kendal is one of the young women organizations of Muhammadiyah that has a business unit called Amal business entity Nasyiatul Aisyiyah (BUANA) which moves as a form of entrepreneurship organization. This series of activities began with the planning of events, implementation activities and evaluation, and a follow-up plan (RTL) in the form of creating an entrepreneurial database to see a few entrepreneurial competencies owned by entrepreneurship. The activities carried out by involving the elements of the leadership of branch leaders and leaders in the branches in the district of Kendal to be able to creatively and effectively apply the training results sustainably. The entrepreneurship Program successfully showed progress. The participant Database shows a success indicator where the majority of participants aged 37 – 45 are 39.8% of the total participants in this activity as much as 93 people. That means it is the productive age of existing entrepreneurs who strengthens the movement of BUANA. And the length of 1-10 years is the identification of participants from the beginning to contribute creative ideas in the development of BUANA. Competency has a strong influence on entrepreneurship (BUANA). It means that the need for HR competence becomes significant in contributing to the entrepreneurship of the Nasyiah organization in this case, BUANA (charity agency Nasyiatul Aisyiyah) Kabupaten Kendal.
Co-Authors A.A. Ketut Agung Cahyawan W A.C Dimas Pratama Abdul Aziz, Saidatul Afzan Adelia Rahma Fadhilah Aditya Sukma Pawitra Agung Sosiawan Agustina Agustina Ah Yusuf Ah. Yusuf Ahmad Suryawan Akrimah, Wahdah Dhiyaul Aldio Yudha Trisandy Alma Feriyanti Alvita Brilliana R. Arafah Ambarsari, Utami Ananda Riska Mita Izati Anang Endaryanto Andra Rizqiawan Anggrahini, Simplicia Maria Anggrahini, Simplicia Maria Anita Diyanti Puteri Annis Catur Adi Apik Indarty Moedjiono Ardianah, Eva Arief Hargono Arief Wibowo Arief Wibowo Arif, Muhammad Ikbal Arimbi, Muzaijadah Retno Aulia, Ulfa Bagus Widjonarko Bambang Purwanto Bambang Trijanto Berliana Devianti Putri Boerhan Hidayat, Boerhan Budi Santoso Byba Melda Suhita Candini, Naura Anindya Chatarina U. Wahyuni Chatarina Umbul Wahyuni Christine J K Ekawati Cinintha Nandini Cita Rosita Sigit Prakoeswa Corie Indria Prasasti Damayanti Tinduh David Sontani Perdanakusuma Dhonna Anggreni Diah Indriani Diwanti, Dyah Pikanthi Dominicus Husada Dwi - Kuswanto Dwikora Novembri Utomo Dwirahmadi, Feby Dwita Permatasari Dyah Pikanthi Diwanti Efri Tri Ardianto Eka Diah Kartiningrum Elly Magdalena Ersanti, Arina Mufida Erwin Era Prasetya Fadilla, Chusnul Farapti Farapti Feby Dwirahmadi Fedik Abdul Rantam Ferdiansyah Ferdiansyah Mahyudin Fery Agusman Motuho Mendrofa Firdanis, Dewi Fitri Rachmilah Fadmi Flora Ramona Sigit Prakoeswa H Kuntoro Hamidah, Hamidah Hanindita, Meta Herdiana Hardian Bimanto Hardyanto Soebono Hari Setiono Hasan Machfoed Hasyim, Rajak Heri Suroto Heru Santoso Wahito Nugroho Hikmah, Faiqatul Idha Kusumawati Indrianto, Yunita Lestari Ira Nurmala Irwanto Irwanto J Mukono Jassey, Babucarr Joni Wahyuhadi, Joni Jusak Nugraha Karina Pramudita Kartika, Ria Chandra Khuliyah Candraning Diyanah Kinanthi, Citra Anggun Krisnita Dwi Jayanti, Krisnita Dwi KUNTORO Kuntoro Kuntoro Kuntoro Kuntoro Kusuma Halim Kusuma Scorpia Lestari, Kusuma Scorpia Kusuma Wardani, Ratnaningtyas Wahyu Kusumawardani, Emi Lilis Sulistyorini Lusno, M. Farid D. Lysa Veterini M. Yulianto Listiawan Mahmudah Mala Kurniati Maruf, M. Azmi Maulana, Aditya Fika Miftakhul Janah Miftakhul Janah Mira Irmawati Mochammad Bagus Qomaruddin Muhammad Azmi Maruf Muhammad Farid Dimjati Lusno Muhammad Syarif Rukua Muhammad Syarif Rukua, Muhammad Syarif Muhammad Zainur Rasyid, Muhammad Zainur Mustafa, Irwan Muthmainnah Muthmainnah Naser, Mhd. Izzan Nila Kurniasari Nita Istiqomah Nixon Marthinus Lopo Norshinta Anggraini Putri Novi Dian Arfiani Nur Aisiyah Widjaja, Nur Aisiyah Nur Fauzia Laily Mubarokah Nur Hayati Nurfidaus, Yasmine Nursalam . Nyoman Anita Damayanti Oedojo Soedirham Okta Aventi Chusniatul Ainia Oktofianus Sila Pandu Wicaksono Pebriaini, Prisma Andita Prilly Risni Primayanti Primayanti R Azizah Rachmad Hargono Rachmah Indawati Rachmat Hargono Ragu Harming Kristina Ragu Harming Kristina Ramadhaniah Ratna Dwi Puji Astuti Retno Adriyani Ria Puspitasari Rika Subarniati Triyoga Rika Subarniati Triyoga Rika Subarniati Triyoga, Rika Subarniati Ririh Yudhastuti Ririh Yudhastuti Riza, Yeni RM Coen Pramono D Robitha Faiza Roedi Irawan Rofiqi, Erfan Romaniyanto Romaniyanto Romaniyanto Ronny Ronny Rusli, Vinia S Siswanto Saleh, Tania Ardiani Santi Martini Santoso, Febrina Mustika Setya Haksama Shrimarti Rukmini Devy Sigit Ari Saputro Sila, Oktofianus Silvanus Roga Misi Simplicia Maria Anggrahini SITI NURUL HIDAYATI Soebagjo, Hendrian Dwikoloso Soedjajadi Keman Soenarnatalina Melaniani Solly Aryza Sri Iswati Sri Subekti Sri Widati Stefanus Supriyanto SUDARMAJI SUDARMAJI Suryanto Suryanto Suryanto, Suryanto Susindra, Yoswenita Tjipto Suwandi Tri Ratnaningsih Tri Ratnaningsih Tri Siwi Agustina Trisandy, Aldio Yudha Ulfa Aulia Ulya, Dinana Izzatul Wanti Wanti Wasis Budiarto Widjiati Wilianarti, Pipit Festi Windhu Purnomo Yendris Krisno Syamruth Yeni Dhamayanti Yoes Prijatna Dachlan Yustinus Denny Ardyanto Zida Husnina Zuhria, Ismi