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Hamdi Akhsan
Department Of Physics Education Faculty Of Teaching And Education, Sriwijaya University, Indralaya, 30139, Indonesia
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Machine Learning to Predict Climate Change in Coastal Areas of Indonesia Firdausi, Huriyatul; Ariska, Melly; Siahaan, Sardianto Marcos; Akhsan, Hamdi; Anwar, Yenny; Seprina, Iin; Taufiq, Taufiq
BULETIN FISIKA Vol. 27 No. 1 (2026): BULETIN FISIKA
Publisher : Departement of Physics Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, and Institute of Research and Community Services Udayana University, Kampus Bukit Jimbaran Badung Bali

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24843/BF.2026.v27.i01.p05

Abstract

Indonesia's coastal regions face significant threats from climate change, including rainfall uncertainty, rising temperatures, and sea level rise. This study aims to explore the potential of machine learning algorithms in predicting climate parameter changes in the coastal areas of Minangkabau, Pesawaran, and Maritim Panjang. Daily climatological data obtained from the Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) were used as the basis for model training. Three primary algorithms were tested Random Forest, XGBoost, and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) selected for their capability to handle complex and temporal data. The research methodology included data preprocessing, model training, cross-validation, and predictive performance evaluation using metrics such as Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and the coefficient of determination (R²). Preliminary results show that LSTM excels in time series prediction, while XGBoost offers a good balance between speed and accuracy. These findings indicate that machine learning-based approaches have strong potential as decision-support tools for climate change mitigation and adaptation planning in Indonesia’s coastal regions.
Co-Authors Abidin Pasaribu Abidin Pasaribu Abidin Pasaribu, Abidin Adam Darmawan Ade Kurniawan Ade Kurniawan Agustina, Atika Aji, Dwi Purnomo Amalia, Wardah Andriani, Nelly Anggelina, Putri Anggraini, Nadya Apit Fathurohman Ardiantini, Devi Arini Rosa Sinensis Atika Agustina Aulia, Maghfira Ayu Sekar Sari Azizah Putri Berimah Berimah, Azizah Putri Cahyani, Delvina Putri Cahyati, Nilam Damayanti, Fitria Siska Dwi Purnomo Aji Dwi Purnomo Aji Dwicahyani, Rania Edray, Auliya Einsrizkianne Elsie Sulastry Erazando Alfa Seira Fahreza, Muhammad Aditya Fajriah, Nurkholisa Fatonah, Amelia Febrianti, Tanti Fena Siska Putriyani Fika Nurul Hidayati Firdausi, Huriyatul Fitria Siska damayanti Fitriyani Fitriyani Guruh Sukarno Putra Halim, Noor Dayana Abd Husna, Tsabita Iful Amri Ina Agustina Intan Purnama Sari Ishkaq Iskandar Iskhaq Iskandar Iskhaq Iskandar Iskhaq Iskandar Iskhaq Iskandar Ismet Ismet Ismet Ismet, Ismet Ismet, I. Izzah Nurhidayah, Izzah Jesi Pebralia Juliansyah, Dendi Juwita Febrianti Kartika, Nadia Dwi Ketang Wiyono Ketang Wiyono Ketang Wiyono KHOIRUN NISA Kistiono Kistiono Kistiono Kistiono Kistiono Kistiono Komarudin Komarudin Kurnia, Mega Lara Sania Laras Sapitri, Cindy Leni Marlina Leni Marlina Leni Marlina Lestari, Yora Inda Lira, Lira Lismayana, Pegi Putri M. FURQON Mahdiah, Intan Mahmudah, Indri Maliya, Fina Manurung, Nia Three Markos Siahaan, Sardianto Melly Ariska Melvany, Nanda Eva Miftahul Jannah Mindia Vanessa Pratiwi, Sri Muhamad Yusup Muhammad Aditiyah Muhammad afrizal Muhammad Aufa Riyaldo Muhammad Irfan Muhammad Irfan Muhammad Irfan Muhammad Irfan Muhammad Irfan Muhammad Muslim Muhammad Muslim muhammad muslim Muhammad Muslim, Muhammad Muhammad Romadoni Muhammad Romadoni Muhammad Yusuf Muhammad Yusup Murnia Murniati Murniati . Muslimah, Resta Ulis Mutia Faradini Ramadhanty Napitupulu, Yendri Tri Hartati Nasiroh, Anisa Qoriq Atun Nazhifah, Rizqia Nely Andriani Nely Andriani, Nely Nestity, Alifia Nia Nopeliza, Nia Nia Three Manurung Nilam Cahyati Nora Herliza Noviana, RA Sania Nurhikmah, Putri Oktasari, Tina Patriot, Evelina Astra Pertiwi, Nadiar Pratiwi Ineke Anwar Putra, Gede Mudita Edi Putra, Guruh Sukarno Putri Maulida, Nabila Putri Wijayanti Putri, Arselly Rahmanda Putri, Jamiatul Khairunnisa Putri, Mutiara Juliana Putriyani, Fena Siska Qathrunnada, Sausan Rahman, Nor Farahwahidah Abdul Rahmannisa, Amanda Ramadhani, Neysya Ditha Rara, Rara Redondo, Fernando Eric Ribkoh, Ribkoh Risa Albeta Rizki Novianti, Rizki Romadoni, Muhammad Sadly, Deni Salmah Rianti Salmah Rianti Saparini Saparini Saparini Sardianto Markos Siahaan, Sardianto Markos Sari, Dwita Kartika Sari, Isma Sari, Mona Sari, Nita Arrum Seprina, Iin Sholeha, Nurlita Dwi Siahaan, Sardianto Marcos Siti Nur Azizah Sri Mindia Vanessa Pratiwi Sri Zakiyah Sudirman Sudirman Sudirman Sudirman Suhadi Suhadi Suhadi Suhadi Suhadi Suhadi Supardi Supardi Supardi Supari Supari Supari Supari Supari Supari Supari, Supari Sutanto, Taufiq Sutinah, Eka Syahputri, Selvia Mariska Syuhendri, Syuhendri Taufiq Taufiq Tine Aprianti Utami, Amanda Kurnia Vania, Amanda Asti VIOLANTI ANARKY, VIOLANTI Wailaina Wati, Lira Diska Winarni, Kiki Ayu Wulandari, Dwi Noviana Yenny Anwar Yuli Setianingsih Yuliana, Rahma Zulherman Zulherman Zulherman Zulherman, Zulherman